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The standard economic analysis of the variables affecting the agricultural investment and investment in Syria

التحليل القياسي للمتغيرات الاقتصادية المؤثرة على الاستثمار و الاستثمار الزراعي في سورية

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 Publication date 2017
and research's language is العربية
 Created by Shamra Editor




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The research focuses on the demands on the study of the total investment evolution, agricultural, investment and knowledge of the nature of the changes taking place during the period (2000-2011), and evaluate the performance of the economy and its ability to attract investments from the lack of it, in addition to the analysis of the factors affecting the total investment, agriculture and investment in Syria. Using descriptive and analytical approach, and quantitative analysis of the record, and it was the most important findings: that the annual growth of the net balance of payments is negative rate and the rate of 18.35-%, which will result in the deterioration of its value from year to year, as demonstrated by the total flexibility to function total investment transactions that increase the value of both exports College (x1), and foreign reserves (X3), and the deficit in the state budget (X8) 1% can lead both to increase the total investment by 3.5%, in total flexibility transactions to function agricultural investment showed that the increase in the value of each of the total exports GNP (X2), and foreign reserves (X3), the net balance of payments (X6) 1% can lead both to increase the total investment by 22.3%, and is the former variables of the most important determinants-oriented investment product and agriculture in Syria. Accordingly it requires the Syrian economy in order to increase its investments create the economic climate, and political investment and economic development.


Artificial intelligence review:
Research summary
يركز هذا البحث على دراسة تطور الاستثمار الإجمالي والاستثمار الزراعي في سوريا خلال الفترة من 2000 إلى 2011، وتحليل العوامل المؤثرة على هذه الاستثمارات. استخدم الباحثان المنهج الوصفي التحليلي والتحليل الكمي القياسي للوصول إلى النتائج. من بين النتائج الرئيسية، تبين أن معدل النمو السنوي لصافي ميزان المدفوعات كان سالبًا بنسبة -18.35%، مما يؤدي إلى تدهور قيمته سنويًا. كما أظهرت معاملات المرونة الكلية لدالة الاستثمار الإجمالي أن زيادة قيمة الصادرات الكلية والاحتياطات الأجنبية والعجز في الموازنة العامة بنسبة 1% يمكن أن تؤدي إلى زيادة الاستثمار الإجمالي بنسبة 3.5%. أما بالنسبة للاستثمار الزراعي، فإن زيادة قيمة الصادرات الإجمالية إلى الناتج القومي الإجمالي والاحتياطات الأجنبية وصافي ميزان المدفوعات بنسبة 1% يمكن أن تؤدي إلى زيادة الاستثمار الزراعي بنسبة 22.3%. بناءً على هذه النتائج، يوصي البحث بتهيئة المناخ الاقتصادي والسياسي لزيادة الاستثمارات وتعزيز التنمية الاقتصادية في سوريا.
Critical review
دراسة نقدية: على الرغم من أن البحث يقدم تحليلًا شاملاً للعوامل المؤثرة على الاستثمار في سوريا، إلا أنه يفتقر إلى تحليل عميق للظروف السياسية والأمنية التي قد تؤثر بشكل كبير على جذب الاستثمارات. كما أن الاعتماد الكبير على البيانات التاريخية قد لا يعكس بدقة التغيرات الحالية في الاقتصاد السوري. بالإضافة إلى ذلك، كان من الممكن أن يقدم البحث توصيات أكثر تفصيلًا حول كيفية تحسين البيئة الاستثمارية في ظل الظروف الراهنة. على الرغم من هذه النقاط، فإن البحث يساهم بشكل كبير في فهم العوامل الاقتصادية المؤثرة على الاستثمار في سوريا ويقدم قاعدة قوية لمزيد من الدراسات المستقبلية.
Questions related to the research
  1. ما هي الفترة الزمنية التي يغطيها البحث؟

    يغطي البحث الفترة من 2000 إلى 2011.

  2. ما هي العوامل الرئيسية التي تؤثر على الاستثمار الإجمالي في سوريا وفقًا للبحث؟

    العوامل الرئيسية هي الصادرات الكلية، الاحتياطات الأجنبية، والعجز في الموازنة العامة.

  3. ما هو معدل النمو السنوي لصافي ميزان المدفوعات في سوريا خلال فترة الدراسة؟

    كان معدل النمو السنوي لصافي ميزان المدفوعات سالبًا بنسبة -18.35%.

  4. ما هي التوصيات الرئيسية التي يقدمها البحث لزيادة الاستثمارات في سوريا؟

    يوصي البحث بتهيئة المناخ الاقتصادي والسياسي للاستثمار، وتوسيع قاعدة التصدير، وزيادة قيمة الاحتياطات الأجنبية، وتحسين ميزان المدفوعات.


References used
garwal, j. p., Determinates of foreign direct investment, A. survey weltwirtschafls archive, 1980
سالم ، منال، العجز في الموازنة العامة وآثارها، الجمهورية اليمنية، جامعة عدن، كلية الاقتصاد، 2011
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