يعتبر النشاط الصناعي ركيزة أساسيةً من ركائز التنمية الاقتصادية و الاجتماعية لأي بلد, حيث انه يتضمن سلسلة طويلة و متنوعة من العمليات الانتاجية التي تؤمن معدلاً عالياً من النمو الاقتصادي الذي يمكن من خلاله تعبئة الموارد المادية و البشرية المتوفرة في البلاد بشكل أمثل, كما تبرز أهمية التجارة الخارجية في مجال التنمية الاقتصادية و الاجتماعية من خلال تأمين متطلبات هذه التنمية من المواد الأولية و السلع الرأسمالية و التكنولوجية و مصادر العملات, و بالتالي فإن نجاح أي تجربة تنموية حقيقة تتطلب قطاع صناعي فعال يعكس أثراً إيجابياً على قطاع التجارة الخارجية و ما ينعكس ذلك على تحسن وضع الميزان التجاري و الانتقال بالاقتصاد الوطني نحو تحقيق خطوات هامة في مجال التنمية الاقتصادية .
هدفت الدراسة إلى إيجاد نموذج قياسي مبني على نموذج ECM للتنبؤ بحجم المستوردات الصناعية من خلال دراسة العلاقة بين الاستثمار الصناعي و المستوردات الصناعية, و خلصت إلى إيجاد هذا النموذج الذي يمكن ان يشكل قاعدة علمية لوضع خطط التنمية الاقتصادية.
Industrial activity is one of the pillars of the economic development of any country. It
includes a long and varied series of productive processes that provide a high rate of
economic growth. The importance of foreign trade in development is evidenced by
securing the requirements of raw materials, capital goods and the source of currencies,
Therefore, the success of any real development experience requires an effective industrial
sector that has a positive impact on the foreign trade sector and this is reflected in the
transition of the national economy towards achieving important steps in the field of
economic development. The study aimed to find a standard model based on the ECM
model to predict the volume of industrial imports by studying the relationship between
industrial investment and industrial imports. It concluded that this model could be a
scientific basis for the development of economic and social development plans.
References used
Kasahara Hiroyuki. Lapham, Beverly (2008). Productivity and the Decision to Import and Export: Theory and Evidence. University of British Columbia, Queen's University,Presented at CESIFO Area conferece on Global Economy, CESifo Working Paper Series No. 2240
Guo, Kai. Diaye, Papa (2009). Is China’s Export-Oriented Growth Sustainable?. Asia and Pacific Department. International Monetary Fund (IMF) Working Paper, Authorized for distribution by Nigel Chalk, August 2009
Engle, Robert F.; Granger, Clive W. J. (1987). "Co-integration and error correction: Representation, estimation and testing". Econometric. 55 (2): 251–276
The index of consumer prices is an important economic indicators,
which are relied upon as an indicator of the scale where
expresses the good economic performance so attention is required
to correct the methods predictable given the important econ
The research aims to study the relationship between the health situation variables and
a group of economic variables in Syria during the Period (2000-2011), as the research
aims to create a mathematical model that illustrates the relationship betwe
This study aimed to identify the four industrial estates in the Syrian Arab Republic,
And knowing the size of expenditure and income for these cities, in addition to the
knowledge and the number of licensed projects executed in these cities. And di
This study aims to measure the impact of investment on the
stock market in China, based on the assumption that increased
investment leads to higher stock market index, using annual data for
the period 1993 to 2015, where two explanatory variables
The research focuses on the demands on the study of the total investment evolution,
agricultural, investment and knowledge of the nature of the changes taking place during the
period (2000-2011), and evaluate the performance of the economy and its