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Shadow economy is considered the most important economic problem which is still of concern to researchers for it is linked to all economic variables. It is found in all States with different economic patterns. But it is more widespread in developing economies includes a recipe for lawful activities and other illegal .And it exists in all economic levels and affect all social strata and in all ages. Despite its characterization as a phenomenon, it cannot be overlooked as a reality. Depending on that, this research tried to clarify the concept of the shadow economy, and identify its components. As well as, this research shows the most important macroeconomic indicators in Syria and the impact of economic variables on the shadow economy.
This research studies the trade balance in Syria, and how it has been influenced by the public development expenditure which is considered to be the major way to develop production and export capability, and to reduce the dependence on imports, so th at the trade balance gets positive changes. We find that the public development expenditure has significant effect both exports and imports, but the way it manages this expenditure leads to an increase in imports higher than the increase in exports. In other words, this expenditure failed to solve the problem of trade balance deficit. Hence, there must be an expansion in the public development expenditure with efficient management to improve the level of production quantity and quality, in addition to measure the reflects of this expenditure and other economic policies on foreign trade sector constantly, so we can get the maximum benefits of it
The research about the phenomenon of informal economy so as to cover the large number of activities that differ from one country to another was to clarify the concept of the informal economy and standards, and to try to measure the size of the in formal economy in order to clarify the relationship between the informal economy and the export and import movement in Syria. In order to achieve the objectives of the research was descriptive analysis of the phenomenon of informal economy and statistical method for data analysis through SPSS. One of the most important findings of the research there is a strong correlation between the informal economy and exports and imports of Syria.
The export sector is the main driver of the development process of any country and one of the main pillars of its economy, the importance of exports lies in their ability to create new jobs, reform the deficit in the balance of payments, and attract private investment, both domestic and foreign then they help achieve sustained growth rates. They are also the most important sources of foreign exchange, and without export the economy fails to develop and unemployment increases. This research studies the evolution of Syrian trade balance during the period 2000 – 2010. Results show that the balance of trade suffered a deficit between (2004-2010). exports were much lower than imports. Oil exports and their impact on total exports and on the Syrian economy in general as well as agricultural exports and their share in total exports were also analyzed using Hirschman Index.
The issue of export has become a main focus of economic policy-making states, given that exports are an important engine in the process of economic growth. So countries seriously seek to develop their exports and improve the export capacity through the adoption of an export development strategy. There are many international experiences in this field, which have achieved remarkable success in improving their export performance and raising the level of their economic performance. When studying the reality of Syrian exports, it is evident that they suffer from several weaknesses negatively reflected on the reality of the Syrian economy. This research aims to address those points, depending on the strategy of developing exports applied in different countries of the world, representing an important developmental policy and a means for boosting economic growth. It also aims to highlight the possibility of benefiting from successful experiences by formulating a national strategy for the development of Syrian exports in order to improve their position at foreign markets and achieve stable and high growth rates.
Recent technological developments have led to a major development in the ebusiness environment, announcing the emergence of the new term “knowledge economy” as one of the most important economic nomenclatures. E-commerce which is considered as one of the most significant applications of this economy has evolved a lot in the last decade according to the evolution of its revenue in many countries around the world. E-commerce contributes to the economic development through its positive impact on a range of economic indicators such as GDP and export development. The aim of this research is to study whether there was a correlation between the development of electronic commerce and the amount of Syrian exports and imports during the period between 2000 and 2010. The results showed a good correlation between the above mentioned variables, but with no possibility to assert whether it was a causal correlation in the light of general economic conditions in Syria during that period.
The objective of this research was to identify the potentials of Syrian olive oil exports through studying the current situation of the Syrian olive oil in the world and local markets and the most important factors effecting its competitiveness ca pabilities in the world markets. This study was built on analyzing the primary data obtained from the delivered questionnaires, searches lists and personal interviews with the exporting and manufacturing companies (30 companies) of Syrian olive oil. Some of the economic indicators were calculated to determine the competiveness status in the import markets. Results indicated that the Syrian olive oil exports had suffered from low competitiveness indicators of production which was 0.12 in the most important import markets for the studied period. In addition, the increased pricing levels compared with other competitors in the same markets had reached an average of 3083.98 dollars per ton representing 106% of world export price, high production costs, the reduction of the market penetration rate related to Syrian olive oil exports in the most important markets amounted to about 0.245 during the second period of the study. The low value of the dependence on export indicator compared with the competitive countries where Syria occupied the seventh place .This means that Syria doesn’t have a good export efficiency, lack of marketing researches on the foreign markets, the absence of promotional programs the restrictions applied by the European Union on the exports of Syrian olive oil, lack of access to all distribution outlets due to the dependence of the exported companies on the exclusive agents in the process of distribution and marketing. The results had recommended that the establishment of a comprehensive database and accurate studies is very necessary for the Syrian exported products, in addition to detailed studies about the major and promising markets to Syrian olive oil exports, iImproving the Syrian business environment to encourage the foreign direct investment to support the competitiveness of Syrian olive oil exports.
Fruits' trading is considered one of the most important agricultural trades in Syria, due to its big incomings and its role in supporting the national economy. GAFTA members are representing the biggest partner for Syria in this trade. The aim of this research was to assess the impact of GAFA on the exports and imports of orange and apple which are considered the most important Syrian fruits, by using dummy variables through the time series of (1994 - 2010). The research showed that GAFTA had no significant impact on any of the studied commodities through the transitional phase (1998-2004), while it had a positive significant effect on both of the exports and imports of these commodities after the full implementation stage (2005-2010). Significant differences were found between the three stages (before- during- after) GAFTA implementation. after implementation stage showed significant differences comparing to the other stages, in which the exports and imports of both orange and apple had increased in this stage comparing to the previous ones by quantity and value.
The search is focused on the importance of Syrian exports to the national economy، its role of community development; and improve all economic indicators، and their direct and basic role; and a high rate of economic growth and increasing foreign ex change and trade balance adjustment، reduce unemployment and increase cope positively with the world economy; and improve other sectors of activation and improved exchange rate and increase foreign exchange and improve conditions for foreign trade، equity and index of trade integration and the improvement of quality and increase competitiveness، The importance of this research is we are in urgent need current، specifically since the start of the war to Syria since mid- March 2011، to increase foreign exchange and activate economic sectors especially we're rebuilding. This needs to activate economic cycle and increase exports، especially industrial and rationalizing imports، particularly of luxury. This and requires induced economic sector arrangement. We have chosen the agriculture sector، and the need to go to increase agricultural exports. We'll focus on it in our present search، hoping to succeed in serving our country to withstand economic backbone and Foundation of all other types of resilience.
In order to encourage the intra-agricultural exchange, specially for Fruit & Vegetable Crops between Jordan, Syria and Lebanon, and to decrease the exports transportation costs, we will use the transportation model that helps on determine the quan tities that should be transported from the surplus region to the shortage region, which achieve the minimum limited of the place transport cost for the quantities that transported between three countries.
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