The war on Syria has severely damaged the stock of physical and human capital. This study evaluates the implications of the war on economic growth in Syria by comparing the factors affecting economic growth before and during the crisis, perhaps the m
ost prominent of which are the lack of funding, the high unemployment rate, and the decrease in the exchange rate of the Syrian Pound, as an indicator of high prices and economic inflation, which resulted in the purchasing power of those with limited income, and aggravated the suffering of the population, the main source of power for the economy The Syrian people are the source of the wealth of Syrian society, and the poverty circle has expanded to include 83% of them in 2014 Syria was classified as a fast-growing country before the crisis, but its growth rate declined during the crisis to reach (- 22.5) in 2013. The study concluded that relying on loans as a source of financing is inappropriate and does not match the sustainable debt limit and hinders economic growth in the medium and long term. This research discusses the ability of the Syrian pound to regain its purchasing power, and reached several conclusions, the most prominent of which is that the Syrian pound can regain its purchasing power and its position as soon as the production wheel in the commodity sector begins, and inflation can decline. For this purpose, this research paper proposes adopting a development strategy that takes into account the current reality, the declared international war on Syria, and the brutal siege imposed on its people, taking advantage of the experiences of other countries that have gone through more difficult circumstances than the ones that Syria is going through, and those countries were able to achieve stable and Sustainable economic development.
This study aimed at identifying the concept of human capital migration and identifying the
main internal causes behind the phenomenon of human capital migration in Syria by
studying the impact of a range of economic, social and health factors (unem
ployment rate,
death rate, life expectancy, (15 years and more), the rate of inflation, the graduation rate of
undergraduate students and the graduation rate of students of studies in Syrian universities)
on the rate of human capital migration, based on the data between 1990 and 2010. The
researcher reached the following main results: High inflation leads to l The high rate of
migration of the human capital, while the low unemployment rate leads to the high rate of
migration, but the high rate of employment leads to a slight increase in the rate of
migration and this is because most of the young groups pursue studies outside the country
after graduation, The increase in life expectancy at birth leads to a sharp drop in the rate of
human capital migration. The high percentage of university graduates leads to a high rate
of human capital migration. This is due to the fact that the largest proportion of graduates
prefer immigration to work or to follow them in countries Other,
while a The increase in the proportion of graduates of study students leads to a decline in
the rate of human capital migration. This is due to the fact that they prefer to continue their
education within the country, thus reducing their chances of emigration due to the
continuation of their education or because of their increasing awareness of the importance
of their presence within the country.
Information and communication technology (ICT), Gross capital formation,
Openness, and Inflation are frequently well-thought-out as important drivers of economic
growth for all countries, and especially for developing countries. This study aims to
examine the effect of these factors no economic growth in Syria covering the period from
1995-2012, with main interest of the impact of ICT. To this end, the study utilized annual
time series data set over the period 1990 to 2010. Econometric techniques include testing
the stationary of data by applying (ADF) test and applying Autoregressive Distributed Lag
(ARDL) method of estimation. Moreover, Short run and long run estimates were found .
The paper confirms a negative and statistically significant relationship between the
economic growth and technology index in the short run, but the relationship becomes
positive and statistically significant in the long run. This paper confirms a negative and
statistically significant relationship between the economic growth and GFC in the short
run, but the relationship becomes positive and statistically significant in the long run,
where the relationship between openness and economic growth is positive both in the short
and long run, whereas the relationship between the inflation rate and economic growth is
negative both in the short and long run.
The world has witnessed during the last century, increases in the number of the population has never seen before because of medical advances that benefit from developing countries and led to a decline in the mortality rate remained the birth rate is
high, and Syria as one of the developing countries saw large population increases over the past forty years, where the population has doubled more than three times that established lower birth rates and taking population growth and decline rate factors, but the increase is still going on because of the breadth of women slice Procreation a result of high growth - despite the low total fertility rate (from 3- 7 births per woman) - stands now on the threshold of the third stage of demographic transition, and as a result the structures of synthetic population changed and the percentage of those under the age of 15 years, about 48% of the total population in 1981 and decreased to 37% in 2011, however, it remains high and led to increased burdens dependency that emerged clearly during the crisis that we are living now because of inflation and rising prices and the inability of many families to provide for the nutritional needs of their members not to increase incomes in line with inflation and forced every member of the workforce has to support three people in addition to himself.
The aim of this research is to investigate the effect of preparing the
financial statements through International Accounting Standard /29/ on
the financial analysis through ratios, since the increase in the inflation
rate affects social and econom
ic aspects, the purchasing power of cash
had been decreased, so the financial statement of the listed companies
in the Syrian Stock Exchange didn't show the right position of these
companies because it didn't take into consideration the changes in
purchasing power even they are in compliance with International
Financial Reporting Standards (IFRS), so it wouldn't be possible to rely
on it for making decision, when use the financial analysis which is one of
the methods to help the financial statement user for their decision.
This study aims to identify the factors affecting the velocity of
money in Syria during the period ( 1990-2010) based on the study
and review of the monetary theories, and the analysis of some
empirical studies that examined the velocity of money
and its
relation to macroeconomic variables. In addition to an
econometric study focused on the relationship between the
velocity of money in its narrow sense (M1) with the rate of
inflation, per capita GDP, real exchange rate, financial evolution,
interest rate and political instability, using ARDL methodology to
test joint integration.
This study aims to illustrate the Inflation's effect associated with
the crisis which Syria suffers from , on the Financial statements,
especially that related to the income statement and balance sheet .
Besides presenting the proposed accounting
income's by
professional accounting organizations to treat the effect of inflation
on the financial statement .
To achieve the study's goals, one of the proposed income has been
applied according to the international accountant standard to treat
such phenomena on the financial statements in one of the
companies operating in the country.
The stock market conditions are a mirror reflecting the general
economic situation in the country ,and the stability of these markets
measure of the general economic policy of the country of success
,and then be trying to understand the fluctuatio
ns in stock prices and
their relationship to economic ,financial and monetary factors and
financial crises.
The research examines the effect of inflation on the returns of index
in Damascus Stock Exchange (DSE),the monthly data for the rate of
inflation for the Damascus market indices has been collected during
the period (2010-2013).
The researcher concluded that there is a weak positive relationship
but insignificant for inflation rate on the return of market index in(
DSE) during the study period.
This survey has aimed at knowledge how the effect of inflation
average is on the volume of the Islamic deposit banks. This survey has
been made on a group of Islamic banks in Syria during the period from
2006 to 2014. The descriptive analytical me
thod has been followed in
this survey, and analyzing data by using the program Statistical
Package for the Social Sciences spss. And this survey has concluded
that there is a positive relation between inflation average and the
volume of deposits, in addition the increase of deposit volumes in
Islamic banks during the survey period except for the year 2011 which
saw a decrease in the deposits average, and also an increase in inflation
average in general until the year2011. However, the increases have
become sudden and so big.
The index of consumer prices is an important economic indicators,
which are relied upon as an indicator of the scale where
expresses the good economic performance so attention is required
to correct the methods predictable given the important econ
omic
effects, including the stock market This study aimed to the
conclusion based on the models VAR standard form of inflation.