The Implications Of The War On Syria At Economic Growth (2011-2020)

The war on Syria has severely damaged the stock of physical and human capital. This study evaluates the implications of the war on economic growth in Syria by comparing the factors affecting economic growth before and during the crisis, perhaps the most prominent of which are the lack of funding, the high unemployment rate, and the decrease in the exchange rate of the Syrian Pound, as an indicator of high prices and economic inflation, which resulted in the purchasing power of those with limited income, and aggravated the suffering of the population, the main source of power for the economy The Syrian people are the source of the wealth of Syrian society, and the poverty circle has expanded to include 83% of them in 2014 Syria was classified as a fast-growing country before the crisis, but its growth rate declined during the crisis to reach (- 22.5) in 2013. The study concluded that relying on loans as a source of financing is inappropriate and does not match the sustainable debt limit and hinders economic growth in the medium and long term. This research discusses the ability of the Syrian pound to regain its purchasing power, and reached several conclusions, the most prominent of which is that the Syrian pound can regain its purchasing power and its position as soon as the production wheel in the commodity sector begins, and inflation can decline. For this purpose, this research paper proposes adopting a development strategy that takes into account the current reality, the declared international war on Syria, and the brutal siege imposed on its people, taking advantage of the experiences of other countries that have gone through more difficult circumstances than the ones that Syria is going through, and those countries were able to achieve stable and Sustainable economic development.

The Role and Importance of the Syrian Investment organization in rebuilding and Development

Investments are generally real and actual swatch of overall community development، development that generate power from factors and of itself and of itself، the importance of investment flows in difficult circumstances with which that State as it is now in Syria، and especially that she was subjected to significant losses as a result of this unjust war waged since March 15، 2011، and therefore reflected the priority of economic policy generally improving economic indicators of economic growth rate and GDP and improving The balance of trade and increase cash reserves and others، Syrian investment body policy particularly stimulating domestic and foreign investment and attracted to Syria، and that is the essence and substance of our research.

Determinants of real exchange rates in Syria (1990-2011)

The purpose of this research is to study the determinants of the real exchange rate in Syria during the period 1990 to 2011. We employed Vector Auto Regression (VAR) model to study the long-term relationship between the real exchange rate and the factors affecting it. Also we applied the Granger causality test to investigate the direction of the relationship between these variables. In addition, the Impulse Response Functions (IRF) and the Variance Decomposition to determine thecontribution of thesedeterminantsin the interpretation ofthe variance oftherealexchangerateof the Syrian pound. Eight possible determinants have been included in the empirical model: Foreign direct investment,realGDPgrowthrate,money supply, government consumption, trade openness,real interest rate, terms of trade, political stability indictor. The variables that have been found to have a long run relationship with the real exchange rate are: theforeign direct investment, real GDP growth rate and trade openness.EspeciallyForeign direct investment and Real GDP growth rate which have the greatest effect on the real exchange rate, while the trade openness had the least effect on the real exchange rate in Syria.Leavingthe other determinants with insignificant effect on real exchange rate in Syria.

The relationship between interest rate ع and real growth rate in Syria

The interest rate is one of the most important way by the monetary police for achieving its economical goal and raising growth rate, it effects on banking activity by accepting deposits and giving loans, which mean that harmonic between the structure of banking deposits and loans give a needed support to investment, production and income to reach the stability economic. To show the relationship between interest and growth rates, we have to aware the various effectives of inflation and population rates on real growth, so we study it by using statistical system SPSS.