The Implications Of The War On Syria At Economic Growth (2011-2020)

The war on Syria has severely damaged the stock of physical and human capital. This study evaluates the implications of the war on economic growth in Syria by comparing the factors affecting economic growth before and during the crisis, perhaps the most prominent of which are the lack of funding, the high unemployment rate, and the decrease in the exchange rate of the Syrian Pound, as an indicator of high prices and economic inflation, which resulted in the purchasing power of those with limited income, and aggravated the suffering of the population, the main source of power for the economy The Syrian people are the source of the wealth of Syrian society, and the poverty circle has expanded to include 83% of them in 2014 Syria was classified as a fast-growing country before the crisis, but its growth rate declined during the crisis to reach (- 22.5) in 2013. The study concluded that relying on loans as a source of financing is inappropriate and does not match the sustainable debt limit and hinders economic growth in the medium and long term. This research discusses the ability of the Syrian pound to regain its purchasing power, and reached several conclusions, the most prominent of which is that the Syrian pound can regain its purchasing power and its position as soon as the production wheel in the commodity sector begins, and inflation can decline. For this purpose, this research paper proposes adopting a development strategy that takes into account the current reality, the declared international war on Syria, and the brutal siege imposed on its people, taking advantage of the experiences of other countries that have gone through more difficult circumstances than the ones that Syria is going through, and those countries were able to achieve stable and Sustainable economic development.

The Effect of Information and Communication Technology on Economic Growth Analytical & Statistical Research: 1995-2012

Information and communication technology (ICT), Gross capital formation, Openness, and Inflation are frequently well-thought-out as important drivers of economic growth for all countries, and especially for developing countries. This study aims to examine the effect of these factors no economic growth in Syria covering the period from 1995-2012, with main interest of the impact of ICT. To this end, the study utilized annual time series data set over the period 1990 to 2010. Econometric techniques include testing the stationary of data by applying (ADF) test and applying Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) method of estimation. Moreover, Short run and long run estimates were found . The paper confirms a negative and statistically significant relationship between the economic growth and technology index in the short run, but the relationship becomes positive and statistically significant in the long run. This paper confirms a negative and statistically significant relationship between the economic growth and GFC in the short run, but the relationship becomes positive and statistically significant in the long run, where the relationship between openness and economic growth is positive both in the short and long run, whereas the relationship between the inflation rate and economic growth is negative both in the short and long run.

The Relationship Between the Development of Financial System and Economic Growth (Literary Review)

This article aims to revision of literature concerned with the study of relationship between financial system development and the economic growth. To confirm the nature of this relationship and its direction and also defining how the financial system may affect economy, because many theoretical and applied studies treated this questions due to its huge importance and the importance of decision based on its results. So to what extent these studies could answer.

Using Factor Analysis for studying the relationship between Financial Sector Development and Economic Growth

this study aimed to use derived indicators for development of financial system by using factor analysis to fully understand the level of financial development in Syria and it's relationship with the economic growth.

Studying the Relationship between Financial Development and Economic Growth in Syria (1980-2010)

This study investigates the relationship between the financial development and the economic growth in Syria during the period (1980-2010). The financial development was measured by the credit granted to the private sector and the broad money M2 whereas the economic growth was measured by the real gross domestic product per capita.

The Role and Importance of the Syrian Investment organization in rebuilding and Development

Investments are generally real and actual swatch of overall community development، development that generate power from factors and of itself and of itself، the importance of investment flows in difficult circumstances with which that State as it is now in Syria، and especially that she was subjected to significant losses as a result of this unjust war waged since March 15، 2011، and therefore reflected the priority of economic policy generally improving economic indicators of economic growth rate and GDP and improving The balance of trade and increase cash reserves and others، Syrian investment body policy particularly stimulating domestic and foreign investment and attracted to Syria، and that is the essence and substance of our research.

The impact of FDI on Economic Growth in Syria during the period 2000-2010

Foreign direct investment FDI has been started to play a major role in supporting the growth of the economies of developing countries since the eighties of the last century, taking advantage of the rapid spread of information and communication technology ICT and the trend towards a market economy in most developing countries and trade liberalization in them. These countries began to depend more on foreign direct investment because of the great benefits that derive from it in terms of capital, employment and increase in exports, or in terms of obtaining the modern technology which is necessary to achieve the economic development. In Syria, foreign direct investment flows started to increase since 2003 as a result of the new directions of the Syrian government to open up to domestic and foreign private sector, and reliance on the market economy. The objective of this research is to shed light on the reality of foreign direct investment in Syria, and to clarify the impact of this investment on economic growth during the period 2000-2010. It has reached to find out that this effect was weak.

Determinants of real exchange rates in Syria (1990-2011)

The purpose of this research is to study the determinants of the real exchange rate in Syria during the period 1990 to 2011. We employed Vector Auto Regression (VAR) model to study the long-term relationship between the real exchange rate and the factors affecting it. Also we applied the Granger causality test to investigate the direction of the relationship between these variables. In addition, the Impulse Response Functions (IRF) and the Variance Decomposition to determine thecontribution of thesedeterminantsin the interpretation ofthe variance oftherealexchangerateof the Syrian pound. Eight possible determinants have been included in the empirical model: Foreign direct investment,realGDPgrowthrate,money supply, government consumption, trade openness,real interest rate, terms of trade, political stability indictor. The variables that have been found to have a long run relationship with the real exchange rate are: theforeign direct investment, real GDP growth rate and trade openness.EspeciallyForeign direct investment and Real GDP growth rate which have the greatest effect on the real exchange rate, while the trade openness had the least effect on the real exchange rate in Syria.Leavingthe other determinants with insignificant effect on real exchange rate in Syria.

Using Overlapping Generations Model for studying the impact of Intervention in Financial sector on Economical Growth

Many studies showed that interventionist policies play negative role on the economical growth process. Others, based on realistic statistics related to some countries, showed that some of this politics can play positive role on the economical growth of these countries. In this course, this study aimed to stand on the role that the interventional polices may play on the economical growth using real mathematical model that is The Overlapping Generations Model where a study of probable effect of these policies on individual saving level took place. Results show that interventionist policies affect negatively on investment level accordingly capital stock accumulation on the long term. But in the countries with high saving level, the effect of such policies is positive through its effect on the efficiency of resources allocation of investment.

The relationship between interest rate ع and real growth rate in Syria

The interest rate is one of the most important way by the monetary police for achieving its economical goal and raising growth rate, it effects on banking activity by accepting deposits and giving loans, which mean that harmonic between the structure of banking deposits and loans give a needed support to investment, production and income to reach the stability economic. To show the relationship between interest and growth rates, we have to aware the various effectives of inflation and population rates on real growth, so we study it by using statistical system SPSS.