This study aimed at identifying the concept of human capital migration and identifying the
main internal causes behind the phenomenon of human capital migration in Syria by
studying the impact of a range of economic, social and health factors (unem
ployment rate,
death rate, life expectancy, (15 years and more), the rate of inflation, the graduation rate of
undergraduate students and the graduation rate of students of studies in Syrian universities)
on the rate of human capital migration, based on the data between 1990 and 2010. The
researcher reached the following main results: High inflation leads to l The high rate of
migration of the human capital, while the low unemployment rate leads to the high rate of
migration, but the high rate of employment leads to a slight increase in the rate of
migration and this is because most of the young groups pursue studies outside the country
after graduation, The increase in life expectancy at birth leads to a sharp drop in the rate of
human capital migration. The high percentage of university graduates leads to a high rate
of human capital migration. This is due to the fact that the largest proportion of graduates
prefer immigration to work or to follow them in countries Other,
while a The increase in the proportion of graduates of study students leads to a decline in
the rate of human capital migration. This is due to the fact that they prefer to continue their
education within the country, thus reducing their chances of emigration due to the
continuation of their education or because of their increasing awareness of the importance
of their presence within the country.
The war on Syria has severely damaged the stock of physical and human capital. This study evaluates the implications of the war on economic growth in Syria by comparing the factors affecting economic growth before and during the crisis, perhaps the m
ost prominent of which are the lack of funding, the high unemployment rate, and the decrease in the exchange rate of the Syrian Pound, as an indicator of high prices and economic inflation, which resulted in the purchasing power of those with limited income, and aggravated the suffering of the population, the main source of power for the economy The Syrian people are the source of the wealth of Syrian society, and the poverty circle has expanded to include 83% of them in 2014 Syria was classified as a fast-growing country before the crisis, but its growth rate declined during the crisis to reach (- 22.5) in 2013. The study concluded that relying on loans as a source of financing is inappropriate and does not match the sustainable debt limit and hinders economic growth in the medium and long term. This research discusses the ability of the Syrian pound to regain its purchasing power, and reached several conclusions, the most prominent of which is that the Syrian pound can regain its purchasing power and its position as soon as the production wheel in the commodity sector begins, and inflation can decline. For this purpose, this research paper proposes adopting a development strategy that takes into account the current reality, the declared international war on Syria, and the brutal siege imposed on its people, taking advantage of the experiences of other countries that have gone through more difficult circumstances than the ones that Syria is going through, and those countries were able to achieve stable and Sustainable economic development.
After the global financial crisis and the subsequent sovereign debt crisis that hit European economies in 2010, the German economy was able to recover faster than the others, achieving what has been called the "second German miracle". While some rese
archers had attributed this miracle to the monetary policy of the European Central Bank which is largely biased towards Germany (as the strongest economy in the region), others attributed it to the German economy’s reliance on the export sector and its successful strategy before and during the 2010 crisis. Accordingly, This study aimed to determine the extent of the contribution of the German export policy to achieve that miracle in order to extract some lessons. To this end, the impact of the export growth rate on the German economy has been analyzed since the outbreak of the European sovereign debt crisis in 2010 until the end of 2019; This is done by analyzing the changes in both the export growth rate and the main indicators of the German economy (growth, inflation, and unemployment rates) graphically and statistically depending on ARDL methodology in order to test the existence of a relationship in the long and short term.The research concluded that there was a significant effect of the export growth rate on growth and unemployment rates, while it didn’t have any effect on the inflation rates. That is, the German export-dependent growth model has relatively contributed to the recovery of the economy and the improvement of its indicators, depending on its export strategy on the one hand, the strength and resilience of the economy on the other hand, and on German’s benefit from the European crisis on the third hand.
