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The Effect of Information and Communication Technology on Economic Growth Analytical & Statistical Research: 1995-2012

أثر تكنولوجيا المعلومات و الاتصالات على النمو الاقتصادي في سورية دراسة تحليلية إحصائية خلال الفترة 1995-2012

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 Publication date 2018
  fields Economy
and research's language is العربية
 Created by Shamra Editor




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Information and communication technology (ICT), Gross capital formation, Openness, and Inflation are frequently well-thought-out as important drivers of economic growth for all countries, and especially for developing countries. This study aims to examine the effect of these factors no economic growth in Syria covering the period from 1995-2012, with main interest of the impact of ICT. To this end, the study utilized annual time series data set over the period 1990 to 2010. Econometric techniques include testing the stationary of data by applying (ADF) test and applying Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) method of estimation. Moreover, Short run and long run estimates were found . The paper confirms a negative and statistically significant relationship between the economic growth and technology index in the short run, but the relationship becomes positive and statistically significant in the long run. This paper confirms a negative and statistically significant relationship between the economic growth and GFC in the short run, but the relationship becomes positive and statistically significant in the long run, where the relationship between openness and economic growth is positive both in the short and long run, whereas the relationship between the inflation rate and economic growth is negative both in the short and long run.


Artificial intelligence review:
Research summary
تتناول هذه الدراسة تأثير تكنولوجيا المعلومات والاتصالات (ICT) على النمو الاقتصادي في سوريا خلال الفترة من 1995 إلى 2012. استخدم الباحثان بيانات سنوية واختبارات اقتصادية مثل اختبار ديكي فولر الموسع (ADF) ونموذج الانحدار الذاتي للفجوات الزمنية الموزعة (ARDL) لتحليل البيانات. أظهرت النتائج أن هناك علاقة سلبية معنوية في الأجل القصير بين تكنولوجيا المعلومات والاتصالات والنمو الاقتصادي، بينما كانت العلاقة إيجابية ومعنوية على المدى الطويل. كما أظهرت الدراسة وجود علاقة سلبية بين إجمالي تكوين رأس المال والنمو الاقتصادي على المدى القصير وإيجابية على المدى الطويل. بالإضافة إلى ذلك، كانت العلاقة بين الانفتاح الاقتصادي والنمو الاقتصادي إيجابية على المديين القصير والطويل، في حين كانت العلاقة بين معدل التضخم والنمو الاقتصادي سلبية على المديين القصير والطويل. توصلت الدراسة إلى أن تكنولوجيا المعلومات والاتصالات يمكن أن تكون محركًا مهمًا للنمو الاقتصادي في سوريا إذا تم استغلالها بشكل صحيح وفعال.
Critical review
دراسة نقدية: على الرغم من أن الدراسة تقدم تحليلًا شاملاً لتأثير تكنولوجيا المعلومات والاتصالات على النمو الاقتصادي في سوريا، إلا أن هناك بعض النقاط التي يمكن تحسينها. أولاً، الفترة الزمنية المدروسة تنتهي في 2012، وبالتالي فإن النتائج قد لا تكون محدثة لتعكس التغيرات الاقتصادية والسياسية الأخيرة في البلاد. ثانيًا، الدراسة تعتمد بشكل كبير على البيانات الكمية دون النظر إلى العوامل النوعية التي قد تؤثر على النتائج مثل السياسات الحكومية والبنية التحتية. ثالثًا، يمكن أن تكون هناك حاجة لمزيد من الدراسات المقارنة مع دول أخرى في المنطقة لتقديم رؤية أوسع حول تأثير تكنولوجيا المعلومات والاتصالات على النمو الاقتصادي.
Questions related to the research
  1. ما هي الفترة الزمنية التي تغطيها الدراسة؟

    تغطي الدراسة الفترة من 1995 إلى 2012.

  2. ما هي العلاقة بين تكنولوجيا المعلومات والاتصالات والنمو الاقتصادي على المدى القصير؟

    العلاقة سلبية ومعنوية على المدى القصير.

  3. ما هي العلاقة بين إجمالي تكوين رأس المال والنمو الاقتصادي على المدى الطويل؟

    العلاقة إيجابية ومعنوية على المدى الطويل.

  4. ما هي التأثيرات التي وجدتها الدراسة لمعدل التضخم على النمو الاقتصادي؟

    وجدت الدراسة أن العلاقة بين معدل التضخم والنمو الاقتصادي سلبية على المديين القصير والطويل.


References used
Ben Youssef, A., M’henni, H. (2003), ICT contribution to growth; the case of Tunisia. (No. 27537). Germany: University Library of Munich
Gillett, S., Lehr, W., and Osorio, C., & Sirbu, M. A. (2006). Measuring Broadband's Economic Impact
Koutroumpis, P. (2009), The economic impact of broadband on growth: A simultaneous approach. Telecommunications Policy, 33(9), 471-485
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