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Register a new userStudy of The Daily Changes of Table Grape Prices, Which Sales for Export in The Syrian Wholesale Market For The period 2006 - 2008
دراسة التغيرات اليومية لأسعار عنب المائدة المباع للتصدير في سوق الجملة في سورية للأعوام 2006-2008
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هدفت الدراسة إلى تحديد التغيرات اليومية لأسعار عنب المائدة الذي يباع للمـصدرين فـي سـوق الجملة، و تحليل هذه الأسعار، و تحديد تبايناتها، و تفسير أسباب هذه التباينات؛ تلك الأسعار التي بِيعبهـا عنب المائدة المعروض للبيع بصورة الجملة في سوق الهال بدمشق. كونها السوق الوحيدة في سـورية التي يجري فيها بيع عنب المائدة بصورة جملة. و أُجريت هذه الدراسة كدراسة تحليلية للسلاسل الزمنيـة للأسعار اليومية خلال الموسم لكل من المواسـم الـثلاث (2006 ،2007 ،2008)؛ مـستندةً إلـى قـيم متوسطات الأسعار المرجحة اليومية (ضمن كل موسم من المواسم على حدة)، و لغرض الدراسة المقارنة اعتمدنا على تحديد الفوارق في هذه البيانات (بين المواسم). و خلُصت الدراسة إلـى تفـسير التغيـرات السعرية التي مر بها العنب في كل مسلك، و أهمية كل منها على أساس الأسعار التي حظيت بها الأعنـاب التي دخلته.
This study aimed to definition the daily changes of table grape prices which sells to the exporters in the wholesale market, analysis these prices, definition it's contrasts, explanation the contrasts causations. That’s prices which table grape take it in AL-Hal's market in Damascus that it's the single wholesale market in Syria for sale the table grape as wholesale. And we build this study as analysis study for the daily prices time series during seasons (2006, 2007, 2008) depend on the daily prices average (in each seasons), and we depend on the difference between the seasons data for the comparative study. Then the study abide to explanation the changes of table grape prices in each marketing ways, and the way importance depending on the price.
Artificial intelligence review:
Research summary
تهدف هذه الدراسة إلى تعريف التغيرات اليومية في أسعار العنب الطازج الذي يباع للمصدرين في سوق الجملة في دمشق، وتحليل هذه الأسعار وتفسير أسباب التباينات فيها. تعتمد الدراسة على تحليل سلسلة زمنية لأسعار العنب اليومية خلال مواسم 2006 و2007 و2008، باستخدام المتوسط اليومي للأسعار في كل موسم، ومقارنة البيانات بين المواسم المختلفة. كما تسعى الدراسة إلى تفسير التغيرات في أسعار العنب في كل طريقة تسويقية وأهمية الطريقة بناءً على السعر. تم استخدام معامل الارتباط لبيرسون ودوال الانحدار لتحليل البيانات. النتائج أظهرت تباينات واضحة في الأسعار اليومية للعنب الطازج في سوق الجملة بدمشق، مع وجود عوامل متعددة تؤثر على هذه التباينات مثل الموسم والطلب والعرض وظروف السوق المحلية والدولية.
Critical review
دراسة نقدية: تعتبر هذه الدراسة مهمة لفهم ديناميكيات أسعار العنب الطازج في سوق الجملة بدمشق، إلا أنها تفتقر إلى تحليل أعمق للعوامل الخارجية التي قد تؤثر على الأسعار مثل السياسات التجارية الدولية والتغيرات المناخية. كما أن استخدام المتوسط اليومي قد يخفي بعض التباينات الدقيقة التي يمكن أن تكون ذات أهمية. كان من الممكن أن تكون الدراسة أكثر شمولاً إذا تضمنت مقابلات مع المزارعين والمصدرين لفهم التحديات التي يواجهونها بشكل أفضل.
Questions related to the research
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ما هو الهدف الرئيسي من هذه الدراسة؟
الهدف الرئيسي من الدراسة هو تعريف التغيرات اليومية في أسعار العنب الطازج الذي يباع للمصدرين في سوق الجملة في دمشق وتحليل هذه الأسعار وتفسير أسباب التباينات فيها.
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ما هي الفترة الزمنية التي تغطيها الدراسة؟
تغطي الدراسة الفترة الزمنية لمواسم 2006 و2007 و2008.
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ما هي الأدوات التحليلية التي استخدمتها الدراسة؟
استخدمت الدراسة معامل الارتباط لبيرسون ودوال الانحدار لتحليل البيانات.
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ما هي بعض العوامل التي تؤثر على تباينات أسعار العنب الطازج في سوق الجملة بدمشق؟
تشمل العوامل التي تؤثر على تباينات الأسعار الموسم، الطلب والعرض، وظروف السوق المحلية والدولية.
References used
Crisosto; C. H., and Smilanick; J. L. (2000). Table Grape Postharvest Quality Maintenance Guidelines. University of California. U.S.A. P.1-10
El- Sawalhy; H, A., Abou El-Azayem; M, G. M., Zaghloul; E, A. (2008). Analysis of Egyptian Grapes Market Shares in the World Markets. Department of Agricultural Economics, National Research Centre, Dokki, Giza, Egypt. American-Eurasian J. Agric. & Environ. Sci., 3 (4):P.656 – 662
(Krishnamurtly; R. (2002). Evaluation Study of Postharvest Center (Pre- Cooling ETC) for Export of Grapes. National Bank for Agriculture and Rural Development, Maharashtra State India. P.89 (67
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Study detected wide range of obstacles that prevented achievement of
exported Syrian grapes of competitive advantage in external markets, And
prevented penetration of new markets, based on a questionnaire to a sample of
table grapes exporters in S
yria, for Monitor changes in the obstacles that faced
each of them during the three years 2006-2008. The study compared the
changing importance of each of these obstacles, relying on some of central
tendency and dispersion, also showed some of them through the box plot. The
study revealed that the importance of the obstacles that faced exporters rose at
the end of the study period than in the beginning, The study showed it need for
concerted efforts by producers and exporters, as well as direction and guidance
by the authorities concerned, and uncover that most of the obstacles faced
exporters when export grapes, were obstacles them before buying grapes, But
they could not overcome the effects lasted accompany grapes when exported,
also identified ways to overcome them, conducted an another classification on
the basis of obstacles' originators, so they can be avoided. The study pointed to
another aspect of the obstacles, it seemed - through the study of the market - is
of great importance, is worthy of independent study, and thorough, which is the
subject of trade interaction between the agricultural products exported.
We performed in this research forecast in the direction of the index
numbers for consumer prices for ( food- clothes and shoes –
education -health- transportation communications - housing water,
electricity, gas and other fuel oils), by using Mark
ov chains in
estimating with dependence on monthly data were taken from the
central bureau of statistics in Syria during the period (1/1/2010 ,
31/12/2011) , So results were analyzed by calculating the vector of
states probabilities in the moment 0 t and using it with matrix of
transition probabilities states transition probability for forecasting in the
vector of states probabilities on the long and short range for knowing
the direction at which the index numbers may behave in the future.
The most important results of the study were instability of the beam of
the transition probabilities (high low stability) during the prediction
period, as well as for the matrix of transition probabilities.
Drought is one of the most important challenges facing sustainable development in eastern Mediterranean regions, where water resources are already limited and ecosystems are fragile. Sums of weighted standardized monthly precipitation anomalies were
used to assess annual drought intensity, frequency and spatial extent in five climatic stations located in Syrian coastal region during the period 1966-2008.Changes in drought intensity were detected using trends with Mann – Kendall test. Results show that drought occurs with high frequency over all parts of the coastal region(up to 35% in some parts),but with different intensities.Extreme drought can hit all regions in some years as happened in 1972-1973. Moreover drought may strike the same region for three consecutive years (1988-1991). Also the results show an increasing tendency in drought intensityrelated to the decreasein drought index values (between 0.29-0.96). This can have serious ecological and economic consequences and will pose an increasing challenge to agriculture and the management of water resources in this region.
This research aimed to monitor and analyze press coverage of the issue of price
inflation in the economic pages in the Syrian daily newspapers (Al-thawra, Al-Baath, Alwatan),
and evaluate the reality of their performance and their impact on the cit
izen
through the editorial arts used in addressing the phenomenon of inflation, which counts
large numbers of citizens. In order to achieve these goals, the researcher used the
descriptive approach and style of content analysis. Research revealed that the Syrian daily
press to address the problem of rising prices is dominated by news of handling which is
based on reports and stories of news type. The research also revealed that the headlines
topped ranked first among the means of highlighting used in addressing the phenomenon
of inflation, and all the pictures published were free of comments and annotations and
descent to the source. Research has shown, too, that the sources of published material
about inflation are primarily delegates and reporters, officials actually about interpretation
and opinion articles in newspapers studied, then the ministries and official departments.
Also, it indicated that the geographical scope to address the newspapers to inflation was
limited to the city of Damascus and its suburbs to other cities and the countryside of the
Syrian account.
This research deals with evaluating the financial performance of Syria International Islamic Bank during the period 2008-2012 through the presentation, analysis and interpretation of the most important components of the financial statements of the ba
nk, which include: analysis of assets (uses of funds). Analysis of liabilities (sources of funds). Analysis of own resources, namely: (analysis of capital stock paid, analyzing reserves, retained earnings analysis, analysis of property rights). Analysis of external resources (deposits). Investment analysis. Analysis of revenue. Profitability Analysis. Analysis of financial solvency. Using statistical methods appropriate average annual change, and the average growth rate, and simple regression, was reached following results:
1 - grow assets (uses of funds) at an increasing rate, and this demonstrates the ability of Syria International Islamic Bank to generate future cash flows, including it with high efficiency in its financial performance.
2 - grow liabilities ( sources of funds) increased continuously, and this indicates that the bank is the process of attracting deposits and development, as a result of the confidence gained by depositors which will reflect positively on its financial performance.
3- Revenue achieved high growth rates in most of the years of study and was Murabaha istisna, and leave ended Bittamleek formulas are used within the revenue from financing activities.
4 - low rates of investment grow with time in most years of the study, where there is an Islamic investment Kalmzarah formats and Musaqah. and the other did not enter the bank yet, as there are some formulas entered the bank in a limited way Kalmdharbh and participation.
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