Subscribe to the gold package and get unlimited access to Shamra Academy
Register a new userAnalyzing the relationship between money supply and inflation In the Syrian economy during (1996-2010)
تحليل العلاقة بَيْنَ التَّضخُّم و عَرْضِ النُّقود في الاقتصاد السُّوري خلال الفترة (2010 - 1996)
1222
3 95
0
(
0
)
Created by
Shamra Editor
Ask ChatGPT about the research
هدفت هذه الدِّراسة إلى إلقاء الضَّوء على تأثير عَرْضِ النُّقود على ظاهرة التَّضخُّم في سورية خلال المُدَّة الزمنيَّة (1996-2010)، و تستخدم الدراسة في قياس هذا الأثر أسلوب التكامل المشترك و اختبار السببية باستخدامِ البرنامج الإحصائيِّ Eviews ،و قد بين اختبار غرانجر للسببية عدم وجود علاقة سببية متجهة من العرض النقدي إلى الرقم القياسي لأسعار المستهلكين، كما حيث أظهرت نتائج اختبار Johansson للتكامل المشترك عدم وجود علاقة تكامل بين المتغيرين موضوع الدراسة مما يثبت عدم وجود علاقة توازنية طويلة الأجل بين المتغيرات.
The purpose of this research is to explain the impact of money supply on inflation in the Syrian economy by using cointegration and causality test as a method during (1996 – 2010). The results of this research has showed that there is no causality relation runs from the money supply into inflation indicator. In addition, here is no long run effect between the Consumer price index and the inflation in Syria as Johansson’s Co-integration Test has showed.
References used
Dickey, D. and Fuller, W (1981) likelihood Ratio Statistics for Autoregressive Time Series with a Unit Root. Econometric Vol.49 No, 4. Pp1057-1072
Jon ,H.G. ,Essays in monetary Economics, George Allen &un win, Ltd, London, 1969, 2nd Ed
rate research
Read More
The inflation is considered a great challenge to the economy of the most countries in the world, and that is because of its negative effects of the economic growth rate. This study investigates the impact of cost of production on the inflation in Syr
ian Arab Republic during the period (1996-2010) by using modern standard ways.
The results of this study showed that the reasons for increasing the inflation rate in Syrian economy are domestic intermediate goods and intermediate imported goods. Regression analysis has been used to estimate the effects of the output of the real wage and the cost of production on GDP implicit price deflator.
It has been concluded that the cost of production affects the implicit price deflator at significance level less than 0.05.
The study was conducted in the eastern region of Syria to know the extent of
cultivation development of wheat and cotton production and the factors
affecting these crops during 1996-2010. The results showed that the effect of
time on the productio
n and productivity of wheat was not changed statistically,
while the cotton area was decreased significantly during the study period. The
total production of wheat was also affected significantly and positively by
cultivated area and planting costs per hectare, and negatively by purchase
price, while the production of cotton was affected significantly and positively by
costs and purchase prices. According to the geographical region, the results
showed that the production in the eastern region was significantly affected by
Al-Raqqa production for wheat and cotton crops and Al-Hassake production
for wheat crop. However, wheat productivity at Deir Ezzor was significantly
superior compared to Al-Raqqa and Al-Hassake. The study recommended
expanding the cultivation of wheat and cotton and support and expand the role
of agricultural extension.
This research investigates the main factors (domestic and foreign) affecting inflation rate in Syria.
Choosing the factors is based on the analysis of the major economic hypothesis concerning inflation determinants such as: excess purchasing power,
cost push inflation, foreign inflation.
By using OLS method, we find long run function, and it shows that the excess purchasing power has no significant effect on inflation rate.
The error correction model shows that high cost rate has the biggest effect on inflation rate in the short run.
The recession or the stopping of the growth accompanied with an increase in the rate
of the inflation is considered as one of the damaging situations of the economy and has
also been defined as inflation accompanied by an increase in the rate of un
employment and
it is used to be an obstacle to the calculations of the policy makers because of its negative
consequences on the economy, particularly because of the damage on the expenditure and
pushing of the demand backwards. It is believed that the British politician Pan MacLoid is
the first person to form the idiom in the speech of the parliament in 1965 when he said that
we had an inflation situation on one side and a stopping of the development on the other
side, so we were suffering from an inflationary recession.
Because of the importance of this phenomenon, the study aims to prove the existence
of the inflationary recession phenomenon in the Syrian economy, which doesn’t reach to
the level of the entire employment through the collecting of data about this economy
during a specific period and analyzing them in order to monitor the indexes and the effects
of the recession and the inflation in the Syrian economy during the same period and reveal
the role of the government in the emergence of the inflationary recession as a result of the
economic, financial and monetary policies followed by the government as well and reveal
the procedures which they must follow to remove of the contradiction among the
governmental policies to treat the inflationary recession phenomenon, to activate the
national economy and to increase the rate of development of the entire local production as
well as to reduce the unemployment rates.
This research studies inflation and its reasons in the Syrian
economy using (1990-2010) data, also it studies imported inflation and its reflects on inflation rates, considering that the imported inflation is one of the major drivers of inflation in
transitioning economies.
We find that the imported inflation has a significant effect on
inflation rate, and it leads – beside endogenous factors – to high
inflation rates. Hence, there must be coordination among economic policies to achieve the balance between money market and commodities market, in addition to the optimal use of the potential sources, thus less import.
Log in to be able to interact and post comments
comments
Fetching comments
Sign in to be able to follow your search criteria
