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This research studies inflation and its reasons in the Syrian economy using (1990-2010) data, also it studies imported inflation and its reflects on inflation rates, considering that the imported inflation is one of the major drivers of inflation in transitioning economies. We find that the imported inflation has a significant effect on inflation rate, and it leads – beside endogenous factors – to high inflation rates. Hence, there must be coordination among economic policies to achieve the balance between money market and commodities market, in addition to the optimal use of the potential sources, thus less import.
This research investigates the main factors (domestic and foreign) affecting inflation rate in Syria. Choosing the factors is based on the analysis of the major economic hypothesis concerning inflation determinants such as: excess purchasing power, cost push inflation, foreign inflation. By using OLS method, we find long run function, and it shows that the excess purchasing power has no significant effect on inflation rate. The error correction model shows that high cost rate has the biggest effect on inflation rate in the short run.
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