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Register a new userThe Inflationary Recession In The Syrian Economy
الركود التضخمي في الاقتصاد السوري خلال الفترة 2000-2010
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مضر معلا يوسف( باحث )
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يعد الركود أو توقف النمو المصحوب بارتفاع معدل التضخم من الحالات الضارة بالاقتصاد كما جرى تعريفه على انه تضخم مصحوب بارتفاع معدل البطالة و هو يشكل دوما عائقاً امام حسابات واضعي السياسات, لتداعياته السلبية على الاقتصاد خصوصاً بسبب تضرر الإنفاق و دفع الطلب نحو التراجع. و تشير الآراء إلى ان السياسي البريطاني بان ماكلويد هو أول من صاغ المصطلح في كلمة له امام البرلمان عام 1965 بقوله لدينا حالة تضخم في جانب و توقف للنمو في جانب آخر لذلك فإننا نعاني ركوداً تضخمياً. نظرا لأهمية هذه الظاهرة فقد هدفت الدراسة إلى إثبات وجود ظاهرة الركود التضخمية في الاقتصاد السوري الذي لم يصل إلى مرحلة التشغيل الكامل من خلال جمع البيانات عن هذا الاقتصاد خلال فترة زمنية معينة و تحليلها و ذلك لرصد مؤشرات كل من الركود و التضخم في الاقتصاد السوري و آثارها خلال ذات الفترة الزمنية و بيان دور الحكومة في ظهور الركود التضخمي من خلال السياسات ( الاقتصادية – المالية – النقدية ) التي تتبعها الحكومة و بيان الإجراءات الواجب إتباعها لإزالة التناقض بين السياسات الحكومية لمعالجة ظاهرة الركود التضخمي و تنشيط الاقتصاد الوطني و زيادة معدل نمو الناتج المحلي الإجمالي و تقليص معدلات البطالة.
The recession or the stopping of the growth accompanied with an increase in the rate of the inflation is considered as one of the damaging situations of the economy and has also been defined as inflation accompanied by an increase in the rate of unemployment and it is used to be an obstacle to the calculations of the policy makers because of its negative consequences on the economy, particularly because of the damage on the expenditure and pushing of the demand backwards. It is believed that the British politician Pan MacLoid is the first person to form the idiom in the speech of the parliament in 1965 when he said that we had an inflation situation on one side and a stopping of the development on the other side, so we were suffering from an inflationary recession. Because of the importance of this phenomenon, the study aims to prove the existence of the inflationary recession phenomenon in the Syrian economy, which doesn’t reach to the level of the entire employment through the collecting of data about this economy during a specific period and analyzing them in order to monitor the indexes and the effects of the recession and the inflation in the Syrian economy during the same period and reveal the role of the government in the emergence of the inflationary recession as a result of the economic, financial and monetary policies followed by the government as well and reveal the procedures which they must follow to remove of the contradiction among the governmental policies to treat the inflationary recession phenomenon, to activate the national economy and to increase the rate of development of the entire local production as well as to reduce the unemployment rates.
References used
نبيل الروبي , نظرية التضخم الطبعة الثانية , الإسكندرية , مؤسسة الثقافة الجامعية 1984.
علي كنعان النظام النقدي و المصرفي السوري مشكلاته و اتجاهات إصلاحه الطبعة الأولى , لعام 2000.
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