Subscribe to the gold package and get unlimited access to Shamra Academy
Register a new userThe Inflationary Recession In The Syrian Economy
الركود التضخمي في الاقتصاد السوري خلال الفترة 2000-2010
2178
1 51
0
(
0
)
Authors
مضر معلا يوسف( باحث )
Created by
Shamra Editor
Ask ChatGPT about the research
يعد الركود أو توقف النمو المصحوب بارتفاع معدل التضخم من الحالات الضارة بالاقتصاد كما جرى تعريفه على انه تضخم مصحوب بارتفاع معدل البطالة و هو يشكل دوما عائقاً امام حسابات واضعي السياسات, لتداعياته السلبية على الاقتصاد خصوصاً بسبب تضرر الإنفاق و دفع الطلب نحو التراجع. و تشير الآراء إلى ان السياسي البريطاني بان ماكلويد هو أول من صاغ المصطلح في كلمة له امام البرلمان عام 1965 بقوله لدينا حالة تضخم في جانب و توقف للنمو في جانب آخر لذلك فإننا نعاني ركوداً تضخمياً. نظرا لأهمية هذه الظاهرة فقد هدفت الدراسة إلى إثبات وجود ظاهرة الركود التضخمية في الاقتصاد السوري الذي لم يصل إلى مرحلة التشغيل الكامل من خلال جمع البيانات عن هذا الاقتصاد خلال فترة زمنية معينة و تحليلها و ذلك لرصد مؤشرات كل من الركود و التضخم في الاقتصاد السوري و آثارها خلال ذات الفترة الزمنية و بيان دور الحكومة في ظهور الركود التضخمي من خلال السياسات ( الاقتصادية – المالية – النقدية ) التي تتبعها الحكومة و بيان الإجراءات الواجب إتباعها لإزالة التناقض بين السياسات الحكومية لمعالجة ظاهرة الركود التضخمي و تنشيط الاقتصاد الوطني و زيادة معدل نمو الناتج المحلي الإجمالي و تقليص معدلات البطالة.
The recession or the stopping of the growth accompanied with an increase in the rate of the inflation is considered as one of the damaging situations of the economy and has also been defined as inflation accompanied by an increase in the rate of unemployment and it is used to be an obstacle to the calculations of the policy makers because of its negative consequences on the economy, particularly because of the damage on the expenditure and pushing of the demand backwards. It is believed that the British politician Pan MacLoid is the first person to form the idiom in the speech of the parliament in 1965 when he said that we had an inflation situation on one side and a stopping of the development on the other side, so we were suffering from an inflationary recession. Because of the importance of this phenomenon, the study aims to prove the existence of the inflationary recession phenomenon in the Syrian economy, which doesn’t reach to the level of the entire employment through the collecting of data about this economy during a specific period and analyzing them in order to monitor the indexes and the effects of the recession and the inflation in the Syrian economy during the same period and reveal the role of the government in the emergence of the inflationary recession as a result of the economic, financial and monetary policies followed by the government as well and reveal the procedures which they must follow to remove of the contradiction among the governmental policies to treat the inflationary recession phenomenon, to activate the national economy and to increase the rate of development of the entire local production as well as to reduce the unemployment rates.
References used
نبيل الروبي , نظرية التضخم الطبعة الثانية , الإسكندرية , مؤسسة الثقافة الجامعية 1984.
علي كنعان النظام النقدي و المصرفي السوري مشكلاته و اتجاهات إصلاحه الطبعة الأولى , لعام 2000.
rate research
Read More
The inflation is considered a great challenge to the economy of the most countries in the world, and that is because of its negative effects of the economic growth rate. This study investigates the impact of cost of production on the inflation in Syr
ian Arab Republic during the period (1996-2010) by using modern standard ways.
The results of this study showed that the reasons for increasing the inflation rate in Syrian economy are domestic intermediate goods and intermediate imported goods. Regression analysis has been used to estimate the effects of the output of the real wage and the cost of production on GDP implicit price deflator.
It has been concluded that the cost of production affects the implicit price deflator at significance level less than 0.05.
The purpose of this research is to explain the impact of money supply on inflation in
the Syrian economy by using cointegration and causality test as a method during (1996 –
2010). The results of this research has showed that there is no causality
relation runs from
the money supply into inflation indicator. In addition, here is no long run effect between
the Consumer price index and the inflation in Syria as Johansson’s Co-integration Test has
showed.
Investment is considered the engine to economic growth because it leads to many productive and service projects and in many other fields as well. Investment creates lots of job opportunities and offer the government and individuals financial revenues
which usually come back in the economic circle through sales, this increases the absorption capacity of the national economy and expanding consumption in addition to ameliorate the living conditions for citizens.
Investment has different aspects such as local private and public investment, direct and indirect foreign investment. In all cases, it is considered a fundamental venue and basic motivation for growth in any community.
The research concentrates on the subject of investment and the role of private investment in the Syrian economy during the period 2006-2010. The objectives are first to explore the legislative and legal structure of private investment through analyzing the main features of the Syrian economy in early twenty 1st century and the development of this structure, which is the first part of the research.
The second objective is to study the importance of private investments at the sector level and locally and abroad as well, which constitute the main theme of the second part of the research under the title “the development of the private investments in the Syrian Economy”.
This research studies the important role that can be played by the railway
transportation in the development of the Syrian commercial exchanges with countries
around the world، especially the neighboring countries with which we have a network of
r
ailway lines,
And the problem of this research leads us to ask the following question: What are the
role and effect that can be played by the railway transportation in the growth of the
commercial balance and especially the growth of the Syrian export sector to the countries
of the world, while the aims of research concentrate on the study of the development of the
Syrian railway transportation income within the period of ten years(2000-2010) and the
study of the development of the Syrian exports within the same period of time then, the
relationship between the previous items was studied and they were analyzed by using
(SPSS) system to determine the relationship between them.
The researcher reaches several results, such as the weakness of the Syrian railway
transport and the highness of its costs and inability to compete with other sections of local
and external transportation never the less it still contributes in the development and the
enhancement of the quality and quantity of the exports to the countries around the world,
especially the neighboring countries with which we have a network of railway lines,
moreover the researcher has come to recommendations such as the enhancement of the
development of the railway network and the adoption of standardized costs system and the
increment of the railway lines, and the extension of the network to cover all areas and
countries around the world for the activation of the important role that played by the
railway transportation in the development of commercial exchanges with countries
around the world .
There are many ideas that come to the mind and many questions that keep coming
to the mind when it comes to analyzing the phenomenon of using the methods and tools to
help in the planning and making appropriate decisions.
In this research we tried
to display the importance of statistics and the most important
methods depending on the number of variables used in this analysis: descriptive
statistical indicators in case we had one variable, indexes in case we had two variables,
and factor analysis and analysis of variance in case we had several variables. These methods
were applied to production of irrigated wheat crop, both types soft and hard, during
the period 2000 - 2010 and the factors affecting its production, such as: the cultivated area,
yield, fertilizers, water, the average cost and the average price. Then the data were analyzed
using the Statistical package SPSS and program Excel. After that, they summarized
in two main factors that justify together (86.116%) of the overall variance. The first factor
was related to the land and everything related to it through a set of variables, which are:
the cultivated area and the need to fertilizers and water., The second factor was the importance
of the selling price of the crop per kilogram.
Log in to be able to interact and post comments
comments
Fetching comments
Sign in to be able to follow your search criteria
