The war on Syria has severely damaged the stock of physical and human capital. This study evaluates the implications of the war on economic growth in Syria by comparing the factors affecting economic growth before and during the crisis, perhaps the m
ost prominent of which are the lack of funding, the high unemployment rate, and the decrease in the exchange rate of the Syrian Pound, as an indicator of high prices and economic inflation, which resulted in the purchasing power of those with limited income, and aggravated the suffering of the population, the main source of power for the economy The Syrian people are the source of the wealth of Syrian society, and the poverty circle has expanded to include 83% of them in 2014 Syria was classified as a fast-growing country before the crisis, but its growth rate declined during the crisis to reach (- 22.5) in 2013. The study concluded that relying on loans as a source of financing is inappropriate and does not match the sustainable debt limit and hinders economic growth in the medium and long term. This research discusses the ability of the Syrian pound to regain its purchasing power, and reached several conclusions, the most prominent of which is that the Syrian pound can regain its purchasing power and its position as soon as the production wheel in the commodity sector begins, and inflation can decline. For this purpose, this research paper proposes adopting a development strategy that takes into account the current reality, the declared international war on Syria, and the brutal siege imposed on its people, taking advantage of the experiences of other countries that have gone through more difficult circumstances than the ones that Syria is going through, and those countries were able to achieve stable and Sustainable economic development.
The study focuses on studying the strategy of targeting the exchange
rate as one of the strategic frameworks of Islamic monetary policy
in the Pakistani economy, By focusing on what the exchange rate
targeting and the most important requirements o
f success in the
Pakistani economy, as well as review factors affecting the behavior
of exchange rate in Pakistan and analysis of stability during the
study period, to offer a mechanism to target exchange rate in the
Pakistani economy.
The objective of this study was to determine the factors
affecting the weighted interest rate margin in the traditional
commercial banking sector within the Syrian banking industry. To
achieve this, the researcher collected the necessary data on t
he
commercial banks listed in Damascus Securities exchange for the
period 2008-2014 and analyzed them statistically. The behavior of
a depended variable that reflect the weighted average of interest
rate margin to deposits and credit facilities (loans, overdraft) was
examined. Also the independent variables that reflect credit risk,
financing risk and some economic factors were examined. The
independent variables are the net exposures to direct credit risk,
the credit default rate, ratio of financial leverage and the exchange
rate of the Syrian Pound against the US Dollar. The multiple linear
regression models of the studied variables were used.
سعر الصرف
هامش سعر الفائدة المرجح
صافي التعرضات لمخاطر التسهيلات الائتمانية المباشرة
معدل التعثر الائتماني
نسبة الرفع المالي
weighted interest rate margin
net exposures to direct credit risk
the credit default rate
ratio of financial leverage
exchange rate of the Syrian Pound against the US Dollar
المزيد..
This study aims to identify the factors affecting the velocity of
money in Syria during the period ( 1990-2010) based on the study
and review of the monetary theories, and the analysis of some
empirical studies that examined the velocity of money
and its
relation to macroeconomic variables. In addition to an
econometric study focused on the relationship between the
velocity of money in its narrow sense (M1) with the rate of
inflation, per capita GDP, real exchange rate, financial evolution,
interest rate and political instability, using ARDL methodology to
test joint integration.
This research contains two part; The first is about theoretical part of
Variables Affecting Exchange Rate of Foreign Currencies Pass –
Through on inflation rate in Syria. The second is statistic part since
this research proposes and estimates a model to determine the effect
of the exchange rate for the Syrian Pound (SYP) vs US Dollar
(USD) Pass – Through on inflation rate in Syria. This research used
monthly data for the period of 2000 to April 2013. This research
employed the unit root test and Causality Test by using E-Views
statistic program.
This research presents a model to determine the exchange
rate for the Syrian Pound in the long term by using monetary
quantity theory; it uses annual data for the period of 1980 to 2011;
it employs Johansen co-integration technique by using E-View
s
statistic program. The research purpose is to determinate the
equilibrium relationship between Exchange rate of Syrian Pound
and economic indicators in the long term, besides studying the
Granger Causality Test between Exchange rate of Syrian Pound and
economic indicators; and analyzing the correlation relationship Test
between Exchange rate of Syrian Pound and economic indicators.
This research aims to investigate the impact of fluctuations in the
exchange rate of the Syrian pound on the general index of the prices
of shares of companies listed in the Damascus Securities Exchange,
and clarify the type of relationship betwee
n these fluctuations and
general share price index,using the linear regression models simple
and multiple, and vector autoregressive (VAR) model of error
correction (VECM) and Granger causality to test the relationship
between the exchange rate and the general share price index in the
Damascus Securities Exchange for the period 2011-2015.
The financial markets play an important role in the economies of the developing and
undeveloped countries likewise. As they are ones of the financial political tools are
used in filling the local savings and an attractive instrument for the foreign
investments in addition to its active role in financing the growing economic plans.
The study aimed to test the effect of changing exchange rate of the Syrian pound
against the dollar on the shares of joint stock companies listed on the Damascus
Securities Exchange, the study covered the monthly data for the period extending
from July 2011 until November 2015.
Given The Importance of Relationship between Macroeconomic Variables and
Financial Market for Researchers, Investors and officials, This Relationship has been
Studied in This Research during Period 1-1-2010 to 31-12-2011 Using Monthly Data for
Nom
inal Effective Exchange Rate SNEER, Money Supply SM2, Exports Coverage
Imports SXM, Inflation Rate SINF, Damascus Market Index SDWX.
Stability of Time Series Studied through Augmented Dickey Fuller Test, Johansen
Co-Integration Test Confirmed There is Longitudinal Relationship-Term, Using Granger-
Causality Test Appeared That The Relationship Reciprocal between Money Supply and
The Index, Nominal Effective Exchange Rate is Causing Change in The Index, VAR
Model Estimated, and Characterized by High R2, Jarque-Bera Test Shows The Residuals
do not Follow Normal Distribution, Finally, Prediction in Some Time Periods Close to
Realistic Values of Index. By Analyzing This Result We Come up That The Relationship
between Macroeconomic Variables and Damascus Market Index has a Medium Strength.
مدى انعكاس سعر الصرف الحقيقي لليرة السورية على التوازن الاقتصادي الكلي - دراسة قياسية ( 1990-2010 )
