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This paper aims to check whether the index (DWX) of Damascus Stock Exchange (DSE) is characterized by some of the stylized facts of most of the international and Arab stock markets, as: Volatility Clustering, Reversion to the Mean, and the Leverage E ffect. The GARCH and EGARCH models were applied using the returns series of DWX for a period from 31/12/2009 till 16/4/2013. The findings showed that DSE is characterized by: Volatility Clustering, meaning that large volatility today will be followed by large volatility tomorrow, Leverage Effect, meaning that volatility tends to rise more after a negative shock that a positive one, But the DWX is not characterized by the reversion to the mean process, due the explosive volatility of the index.
This study is concerned in the long relation between monetary policy variable and Damascus stock exchange (DSE) index, In general, monetary policy transmission can affect the markets, so the stock market also effected by that, and this study is in terested in this relation, so it start by made theoretical introduction about how can monetary variables effect the stock market index, then it follow the statistical methodology by use Autoregressive-Distributed Lag model (ARDL) to estimate the relation between independents variables which are money supply M1,M2,exchange rate EX, interest rate I, inflation INF, and dependent variables which is DSE index (M_I) The result, by using the Unrestricted error correction model (UECM) shows that there is positive relation in short and long term between money supply (M1) and DSE index, but it was and negative one in short term between M2 and DSE index, and became a positive in long term, and the relation was negative between inflation and DSE index in short and long term. There was a negative one with exchange rate in short and long term, and also negative one with interest rate. As conclusion, it should be necessary to improve the behavior of monetary policy to control all this variable in the way that made it has positive effects on DSE index.
This study sought to find out whether there is any significant relationship between the in trading volume shares of Syrian companies listed in the Damascus market Securities Exchange, and Volatility of stock returns monthly in that market, during t he period 1-1- 2010 till 31-8-2014, and to discover what kind of that relationship (positive or negative correlation) in order to give appropriate weight to them for interpreting fluctuations in the volume of trading in the stock Damascus market Securities Exchange, or for predicting. When using the method of Nonlinear regression analysis method GARCH(1,1) to process the data related to Return on the stock in DSE we found that the relationship between the trading volume shares and volatility of stock returns wasn't statistically significant. This volatility in stock returns mustn't be taken into account as an important factor when trying to explain the reasons for fluctuations in trading volume market or when predicting.
The financial markets play an important role in the economies of the developing and undeveloped countries likewise. As they are ones of the financial political tools are used in filling the local savings and an attractive instrument for the foreign investments in addition to its active role in financing the growing economic plans. The study aimed to test the effect of changing exchange rate of the Syrian pound against the dollar on the shares of joint stock companies listed on the Damascus Securities Exchange, the study covered the monthly data for the period extending from July 2011 until November 2015.
Given The Importance of Relationship between Macroeconomic Variables and Financial Market for Researchers, Investors and officials, This Relationship has been Studied in This Research during Period 1-1-2010 to 31-12-2011 Using Monthly Data for Nom inal Effective Exchange Rate SNEER, Money Supply SM2, Exports Coverage Imports SXM, Inflation Rate SINF, Damascus Market Index SDWX. Stability of Time Series Studied through Augmented Dickey Fuller Test, Johansen Co-Integration Test Confirmed There is Longitudinal Relationship-Term, Using Granger- Causality Test Appeared That The Relationship Reciprocal between Money Supply and The Index, Nominal Effective Exchange Rate is Causing Change in The Index, VAR Model Estimated, and Characterized by High R2, Jarque-Bera Test Shows The Residuals do not Follow Normal Distribution, Finally, Prediction in Some Time Periods Close to Realistic Values of Index. By Analyzing This Result We Come up That The Relationship between Macroeconomic Variables and Damascus Market Index has a Medium Strength.
The study addressed the investments of insurance companies listed market Damascus Securities Exchange, and its impact on the performance of the market to know how much they contribute to the improvement of Damascus Securities Exchange performance through the study of the relationship between the size of the investment represented by turnover of the shares of insurance companies listed in Damascus Securities Exchange and Index Damascus Securities Exchange, During the period 1-1-2010 until 31- 12-2014 in order to improve and raise the level of the insurance sector as an important investment sectors in the national economy.
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