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Register a new userA statistical and Econometric Study of The Unemployment Problem in Syria
دراسة إحصائية قياسية لمشكلة البطالة في سورية
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Aِl-Baath University ورقة بحثية
Publication date
2018
fields
Economy
and research's language is
العربية
Created by
Shamra Editor
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هدف هذا البحث إلى دراسة مشكلة البطالة في سورية خلال الفترة 2010-1991 لذلك بدأ باستعراض حجم هذه المشكلة من خلال تتبع تغيّر قيمة معدل البطالة و تركيبه حسب العمر و الحالة التعليمية. بعد ذلك، تمّ استعراض مجموعة من المتغيرات التي تعد من أهم الأسباب المحتملة وراء هذه المشكلة.
This study aims at studying the problem of unemployment in Syrian during the period 1991-2010. The starting point was showing the size of this problem by tracing the changes in unemployment rate and its age and educational structure. Then, some variables expected to affect unemployment rate were listed.
References used
Begg, D., Fischer, S. and Dornbusch, R. (1991) "Economics" 3rd edition, McGraw-Hill Book Company, UK
Edmark, K. (2003), "The Effects of Unemployment on Property Crime: Evidence from a Period of Unusually Large Swings in the Business Cycle"
Fargani, N. (2001) "Aspects of Labour Migration and Unemployment in The Arab Region" Almishkat Research Center, Egypt
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Saving is an important indicator of economic development as it is an element which
finances domestic investment to achieve economic growth. The purpose of this research is
to determine the variables that affect Syria’s national savings, by testing
the expected
variables, applying the unit root test on the time series of the variables, then using the
Johansen cointegration test and an error correction model. The conclusion is that inflation
and real economic growth positively affect national saving whereas national disposable
income has a negative effect. The speed of adjustment is significant and 100% which
indicates that there is cointegration between the variables of the study and national savings.
This study aims to identify the factors affecting the velocity of
money in Syria during the period ( 1990-2010) based on the study
and review of the monetary theories, and the analysis of some
empirical studies that examined the velocity of money
and its
relation to macroeconomic variables. In addition to an
econometric study focused on the relationship between the
velocity of money in its narrow sense (M1) with the rate of
inflation, per capita GDP, real exchange rate, financial evolution,
interest rate and political instability, using ARDL methodology to
test joint integration.
The new crisis of Arab countries aria proved that openness on global economy would
expose their economies to global economy crisis, which destroyed economic gains due to
economical openness. Youth, poor and neglected people played main role in thes
e crisis,
demanding for work opportunities and ending unemployment problem.
This research focuses on unemployment in Syria within last decade, and expects
unemployment within next decade. It showed that unemployment reached new high level
in the middle of last decade. Youth people were the most affected in that period. This need
new trend towards knowledge sectors to face new predicted future employment in addition
to unemployment.
Due to the problem of unemployment of adverse effects at all levels
of social , economic and political in could threaten the stability of
societies , so it was necessary to work to find solutions to this
serious problem , small and medium enterpri
ses was one of these
solutions to meet them , and the importance of this matter dealt with
the pages of this paper the concept of unemployment defined as the
types and causes of it in the first section , the concept of small and
medium enterprises in terms of the various definitions ,
characteristics and their importance and their role in reducing the
worsening problem of unemployment , in the second topic of it.
Unemployment is considered one of the most risky
economic problems that faces the developing countries including
Syria due to overpopulation, decreased investment growth, and
capitals lack.
Jeopardy of unemployment forwards as its negative
conse
quences overwhelm life all paces economic, social, political,
and demographical …etc.
As there are many solutions, small enterprise seems to be
among the most realistic and reasonable out costing ones in
comparison with the big projects that require huge capitals,
advanced technology, and highly professional work mass.
Furthermore, they are difficulty competent with their counterparts
in the developed countries where there is no economic laboratory
else than reality.
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