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The impact of health services in the deaths in Syria

أثر الخدمات الصحية في الوفيات في سورية

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 Publication date 2016
and research's language is العربية
 Created by Shamra Editor




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our goal through this research to determine affecting health services in the mortality rates in Syria and reduced to a smaller number of default variables (factors), and provide mathematical models reflect the estimated the impact of health services in the studied mortality rates in Syria, where we turned to the style factor analysis in the reduction of the number of health services variables, and then multiple linear regression method in the study of the decline of deaths variables on the health service factors and reached a result, three mathematical models estimated the impact of health services in deaths in Syria.


Artificial intelligence review:
Research summary
تناول البحث أثر الخدمات الصحية على معدلات الوفيات في سورية، حيث تم تحليل ثلاثة مؤشرات رئيسية للوفيات: معدل الوفيات الخام، معدل وفيات الأطفال الرضع، ومعدل وفيات الأطفال دون سن الخامسة. استخدم الباحثون أسلوب التحليل العاملي لاختزال عدد متغيرات الخدمات الصحية إلى عدد أقل من العوامل الافتراضية، ثم استخدموا أسلوب الانحدار الخطي المتعدد لدراسة تأثير هذه العوامل على معدلات الوفيات. توصل البحث إلى ثلاثة نماذج رياضية تعكس العلاقة بين الخدمات الصحية ومعدلات الوفيات، حيث أظهرت النتائج أن هناك تأثيراً كبيراً للخدمات الصحية على معدلات الوفيات في سورية. أوصى البحث بزيادة عدد المراكز الصحية والمستشفيات، وزيادة نسبة موازنة الصحة، وتحسين قواعد البيانات المتعلقة بالخدمات الصحية والتنمية السكانية في سورية.
Critical review
دراسة نقدية: على الرغم من أهمية البحث ونتائجه القيمة، إلا أن هناك بعض النقاط التي يمكن تحسينها. أولاً، يعتمد البحث بشكل كبير على البيانات الإحصائية من فترة زمنية محددة (2001-2011)، مما قد يجعل النتائج غير محدثة في ظل التغيرات السريعة في الوضع الصحي في سورية. ثانياً، لم يتم التطرق بشكل كافٍ إلى تأثير العوامل الاجتماعية والاقتصادية الأخرى التي قد تؤثر على معدلات الوفيات. ثالثاً، يمكن تحسين التحليل باستخدام تقنيات إحصائية أكثر تقدماً مثل التحليل السببي أو النمذجة الديناميكية. وأخيراً، يجب توسيع نطاق البحث ليشمل مناطق أخرى في سورية للحصول على صورة أكثر شمولية.
Questions related to the research
  1. ما هي المتغيرات الثلاثة التي تم استخدامها لقياس معدلات الوفيات في سورية؟

    المتغيرات الثلاثة هي معدل الوفيات الخام، معدل وفيات الأطفال الرضع، ومعدل وفيات الأطفال دون سن الخامسة.

  2. ما هو الهدف الرئيسي من البحث؟

    الهدف الرئيسي هو تحديد الخدمات الصحية المؤثرة في معدلات الوفيات في سورية واختزالها في عدد أقل من المتغيرات الافتراضية، وتقديم نماذج رياضية تعكس أثر هذه الخدمات على معدلات الوفيات.

  3. ما هي التوصيات التي قدمها الباحثون لتحسين الخدمات الصحية في سورية؟

    التوصيات تشمل زيادة عدد المراكز الصحية والمستشفيات، زيادة نسبة موازنة الصحة، وتحسين قواعد البيانات المتعلقة بالخدمات الصحية والتنمية السكانية.

  4. ما هي الأساليب الإحصائية التي استخدمها الباحثون في تحليل البيانات؟

    استخدم الباحثون أسلوب التحليل العاملي لاختزال عدد متغيرات الخدمات الصحية، وأسلوب الانحدار الخطي المتعدد لدراسة تأثير هذه العوامل على معدلات الوفيات.


References used
DAVID. G, KLEIN. B, LAWRENCE. K, 1997- Applied Regression Analysis and Another Multivariate Method, Duxbury, pp383- 405
SCHULTZ. P2009- Population and Health Policies, IZA, DP, No.4340, pp1-122
TRYFOS, P2001- Technical notes on the optimal choice of sizes. York University, downsview, Ontario. Canada
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