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Register a new userStudy of the most important economic and social factors affecting the adoption of water collective management in Al- Ghab basin farms using binary logistic regression
دراسة أهم العوامل الاقتصادية و الاجتماعية المؤثرة على تبني نظام الري الجماعي في مزارع حوض الغاب باستخدام أسلوب الانحدار الاحتمالي الثنائي
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Aِl-Baath University ورقة بحثية
Publication date
2017
fields
Agrarian Economy
and research's language is
العربية
Authors
محمد المقداد( باحث )
Created by
Shamra Editor
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هدف البحث إلى دراسة أثر أهم العوامل الاقتصادية و الاجتماعية على تبني أنظمة الزراعة الحديثة ممثلة بأسلوب الري الجماعي في منطقة حوض الغاب في سورية، و ذلك باستخدام أسلوب الانحدار الاحتمالي الثنائي، حيث أن المتغير التابع هو متغير ثنائي يأخذ القيمة 1 (استخدام أسلوب الري الجماعي)، و القيمة 0 (عدم استخدام أسلوب الري الجماعي) ، و يتأثر بنوعين من المتغيرات المستقلة ( فئوية و مستمرة ).
The research aimed at studying the impact of the most important economic and social factors affecting the adoption of new irrigation techniques، namely water collective management in ALGhab basin in Syria .The research accomplished by taking a simple random sample of 264 farmers .Because of the nature of dependent variable which is dichotomous ،(1= adoption of water collective management،0=otherwise)،The binary logistic regression was used.
Artificial intelligence review:
Research summary
تهدف هذه الدراسة إلى تحليل العوامل الاقتصادية والاجتماعية التي تؤثر على تبني نظام الري الجماعي في منطقة حوض الغاب في سوريا، باستخدام أسلوب الانحدار الاحتمالي الثنائي. تم جمع البيانات من 264 مزارعًا باستخدام استبيان، وتم تحليلها لتحديد تأثير العوامل المختلفة مثل منطقة الاستقرار الزراعي، نوع ملكية الحيازة، وضع المياه في المنطقة والمزرعة، وعدد أفراد الأسرة. أظهرت النتائج أن هذه العوامل لها تأثير معنوي على قرار المزارعين بتبني نظام الري الجماعي. تم استخدام أسلوب الانحدار الاحتمالي الثنائي لتحليل البيانات، وأظهرت النتائج أن منطقة الاستقرار الزراعي ونوع ملكية الحيازة ووضع المياه في المنطقة والمزرعة وعدد أفراد الأسرة لها تأثير كبير على تبني نظام الري الجماعي. كما أوصت الدراسة بتهيئة البنى التحتية الضرورية وتوعية المزارعين بأهمية نظام ملكية الحيازة الزراعية من نوع المشاركة والحد من تفتت الحيازة الزراعية.
Critical review
تعتبر هذه الدراسة مهمة لأنها تسلط الضوء على العوامل الاقتصادية والاجتماعية التي تؤثر على تبني نظام الري الجماعي في منطقة حوض الغاب. ومع ذلك، هناك بعض النقاط التي يمكن تحسينها. أولاً، الدراسة تعتمد بشكل كبير على البيانات المستمدة من استبيان، مما قد يؤدي إلى تحيز في النتائج إذا لم تكن العينة ممثلة بشكل كافٍ. ثانياً، الدراسة تركز فقط على منطقة حوض الغاب، مما يجعل من الصعب تعميم النتائج على مناطق أخرى في سوريا أو في بلدان أخرى. ثالثاً، كان من الممكن أن تتضمن الدراسة تحليلًا أعمق للعوامل البيئية والتكنولوجية التي قد تؤثر أيضًا على تبني نظام الري الجماعي. وأخيراً، كان من الممكن أن تقدم الدراسة توصيات أكثر تفصيلاً حول كيفية تحسين البنى التحتية وتوعية المزارعين.
Questions related to the research
-
ما هي العوامل الرئيسية التي تؤثر على تبني نظام الري الجماعي في منطقة حوض الغاب؟
العوامل الرئيسية تشمل منطقة الاستقرار الزراعي، نوع ملكية الحيازة، وضع المياه في المنطقة والمزرعة، وعدد أفراد الأسرة.
-
ما هو الأسلوب الإحصائي المستخدم في هذه الدراسة لتحليل البيانات؟
تم استخدام أسلوب الانحدار الاحتمالي الثنائي لتحليل البيانات.
-
ما هي التوصيات التي قدمتها الدراسة لتحسين تبني نظام الري الجماعي؟
التوصيات تشمل تهيئة البنى التحتية الضرورية، توعية المزارعين بأهمية نظام ملكية الحيازة الزراعية من نوع المشاركة، والحد من تفتت الحيازة الزراعية.
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ما هي النقاط التي يمكن تحسينها في هذه الدراسة؟
يمكن تحسين تمثيل العينة، تعميم النتائج على مناطق أخرى، تضمين تحليل أعمق للعوامل البيئية والتكنولوجية، وتقديم توصيات أكثر تفصيلاً.
References used
GLENN. D 1992 - Sampling The Evidence of Extension Program Impact. IFAS، University of Florida. PEOD-5. October
Hosmer .D.W. Lemeshow،S. and Klor ،J.1998- Goodness of fit testing for the logistic model when the estimated probabilities are small .pp.456-465
Brown،C.E.1998-Applied Multivariate statistics in Geohydrology and related sciences Springer-verlag . Berlin Heidelberg.Chapter 6 ،multiple regression،pp.62-66
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