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Register a new userThe impact of the depended industrialization strategies in the syrian economy on the economic growth
أثر استراتيجيات التصنيع المتبعة في الاقتصاد السوري على النمو الاقتصادي
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عدنان خضور( باحث )
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تهدف هذه الدراسة إلى تحليل انعكاسات استراتيجيات التصنيع المتبعة في سوريةو المتمثلة بشكل رئيسي في استراتيجية إحلال الواردات و استراتيجية نمو الصادرات على التنمية الاقتصادية المستمرة و المدعمة ذاتيا, و دورها في تحقيق الاستقلال الاقتصادي و تقليل الاعتماد على السوق الخارجية و كذلك أثرها على النمو الاقتصادي من خلال أثرها على الناتج المحلي الصافي.
This research aims to analysis the impact of syrian industrialization strategies (import- substiution strategy and the export- growth strategy on the economic development and their role in achieving the economic independence, as well as the achieving of integration into international economy.
References used
الحمصي عبدو ( 1991 ) اقتصاد و تخطيط الصناعة دمشق منشورات جامعة دمشق.
حبيب مطانيوس ( 2006 ), أوراق في الاقتصاد السوري دمشق دار الرضا للنشر.
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Foreign direct investment FDI has been started to play a major role in supporting the
growth of the economies of developing countries since the eighties of the last century,
taking advantage of the rapid spread of information and communication tech
nology ICT
and the trend towards a market economy in most developing countries and trade
liberalization in them. These countries began to depend more on foreign direct investment
because of the great benefits that derive from it in terms of capital, employment and
increase in exports, or in terms of obtaining the modern technology which is necessary to
achieve the economic development.
In Syria, foreign direct investment flows started to increase since 2003 as a result of
the new directions of the Syrian government to open up to domestic and foreign private
sector, and reliance on the market economy.
The objective of this research is to shed light on the reality of foreign direct
investment in Syria, and to clarify the impact of this investment on economic growth
during the period 2000-2010. It has reached to find out that this effect was weak.
The war on Syria has severely damaged the stock of physical and human capital. This study evaluates the implications of the war on economic growth in Syria by comparing the factors affecting economic growth before and during the crisis, perhaps the m
ost prominent of which are the lack of funding, the high unemployment rate, and the decrease in the exchange rate of the Syrian Pound, as an indicator of high prices and economic inflation, which resulted in the purchasing power of those with limited income, and aggravated the suffering of the population, the main source of power for the economy The Syrian people are the source of the wealth of Syrian society, and the poverty circle has expanded to include 83% of them in 2014 Syria was classified as a fast-growing country before the crisis, but its growth rate declined during the crisis to reach (- 22.5) in 2013. The study concluded that relying on loans as a source of financing is inappropriate and does not match the sustainable debt limit and hinders economic growth in the medium and long term. This research discusses the ability of the Syrian pound to regain its purchasing power, and reached several conclusions, the most prominent of which is that the Syrian pound can regain its purchasing power and its position as soon as the production wheel in the commodity sector begins, and inflation can decline. For this purpose, this research paper proposes adopting a development strategy that takes into account the current reality, the declared international war on Syria, and the brutal siege imposed on its people, taking advantage of the experiences of other countries that have gone through more difficult circumstances than the ones that Syria is going through, and those countries were able to achieve stable and Sustainable economic development.
The research about the phenomenon of informal economy so
as to cover the large number of activities that differ from one
country to another was to clarify the concept of the informal
economy and standards, and to try to measure the size of the
in
formal economy in order to clarify the relationship between the
informal economy and the export and import movement in Syria.
In order to achieve the objectives of the research was
descriptive analysis of the phenomenon of informal economy and
statistical method for data analysis through SPSS. One of the
most important findings of the research there is a strong
correlation between the informal economy and exports and imports
of Syria.
The recession or the stopping of the growth accompanied with an increase in the rate
of the inflation is considered as one of the damaging situations of the economy and has
also been defined as inflation accompanied by an increase in the rate of un
employment and
it is used to be an obstacle to the calculations of the policy makers because of its negative
consequences on the economy, particularly because of the damage on the expenditure and
pushing of the demand backwards. It is believed that the British politician Pan MacLoid is
the first person to form the idiom in the speech of the parliament in 1965 when he said that
we had an inflation situation on one side and a stopping of the development on the other
side, so we were suffering from an inflationary recession.
Because of the importance of this phenomenon, the study aims to prove the existence
of the inflationary recession phenomenon in the Syrian economy, which doesn’t reach to
the level of the entire employment through the collecting of data about this economy
during a specific period and analyzing them in order to monitor the indexes and the effects
of the recession and the inflation in the Syrian economy during the same period and reveal
the role of the government in the emergence of the inflationary recession as a result of the
economic, financial and monetary policies followed by the government as well and reveal
the procedures which they must follow to remove of the contradiction among the
governmental policies to treat the inflationary recession phenomenon, to activate the
national economy and to increase the rate of development of the entire local production as
well as to reduce the unemployment rates.
Many studies showed that interventionist policies play negative role on the economical growth process. Others, based on realistic statistics related to some countries, showed that some of this politics can play positive role on the economical growth
of these countries. In this course, this study aimed to stand on the role that the interventional polices may play on the economical growth using real mathematical model that is The Overlapping Generations Model where a study of probable effect of these policies on individual saving level took place. Results show that interventionist policies affect negatively on investment level accordingly capital stock accumulation on the long term. But in the countries with high saving level, the effect of such policies is positive through its effect on the efficiency of resources allocation of investment.
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