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An analytical study of the reality of food in Syria during the years 2011-2012 and the prospects for demand for food

دراسة تحليلية لواقع الغذاء في سورية خلال 2011-2012 و آفاق الطلب على الغذاء

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 Publication date 2015
  fields Agrarian Economy
and research's language is العربية
 Created by Shamra Editor




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The research aims to identify the reality of food in Syria during the 2011-2012 period and compared to the situation before the crisis (2008-2010). The study showed that the total cultivated area in Syria during the crisis amounted to about 4479 thousand hectares, and the total lack of 323 thousand hectares from the pre-crisis period, as well as the decreasing size of the vegetation of agricultural production during the same period increased by 3081.2 thousand tons to score 11021.5 thousand tons, However, the availability of vegetarian food and animal size increased overall during the period of crisis by 923.7 thousand tons to score 18704.1 thousand tons, With regard to per capita food shortage has been during the crisis period by 8 kg to score 864.8 kg while it was before the crisis 872.8 kg, With regard to the value of the food gap turned out to be increased during the crisis by 640.5 million dollars to up to 1727.2 million dollars,. And finally the study showed that the demand for food will increase in Syria during the period 2016-2020, as will 22832.5 thousand tons in 2020, so the size of the domestic production of Syria, to be achieved in 2020 will be 18170.8 thousand tons.


Artificial intelligence review:
Research summary
تهدف هذه الدراسة إلى تحليل واقع الغذاء في سوريا خلال الفترة 2011-2012 ومقارنته بالفترة التي سبقت الأزمة (2008-2010). أظهرت النتائج أن المساحة المزروعة انخفضت بمقدار 323 ألف هكتار، بينما زاد الإنتاج الزراعي النباتي بمقدار 923.7 ألف طن. ومع ذلك، انخفض نصيب الفرد من الغذاء بمقدار 864.8 كغ. كما زادت قيمة الفجوة الغذائية بمقدار 640.5 مليون دولار. توقعت الدراسة زيادة الطلب على الغذاء في سوريا خلال الفترة 2016-2020 ليصل إلى 22832.5 ألف طن في عام 2020. وأوصت الدراسة بزيادة الإنتاجية الزراعية ودعم القوة الشرائية للمواطن السوري لتلبية الطلب المتزايد على الغذاء.
Critical review
دراسة نقدية: تقدم هذه الدراسة تحليلاً شاملاً لواقع الغذاء في سوريا خلال فترة الأزمة، ولكن هناك بعض النقاط التي يمكن تحسينها. أولاً، تعتمد الدراسة بشكل كبير على البيانات الإحصائية دون تقديم تحليل نوعي للأسباب الجذرية وراء التغيرات في الإنتاج الزراعي. ثانياً، لم تتناول الدراسة بشكل كافٍ تأثير السياسات الحكومية والإجراءات المتخذة لمواجهة الأزمة الغذائية. أخيراً، كان من الأفضل تضمين دراسات مقارنة مع دول أخرى تمر بظروف مشابهة لتقديم رؤية أوسع وأعمق للمشكلة.
Questions related to the research
  1. ما هو الهدف الرئيسي من الدراسة؟

    الهدف الرئيسي هو تحليل واقع الغذاء في سوريا خلال الفترة 2011-2012 ومقارنته بالفترة التي سبقت الأزمة (2008-2010) وتقديم توقعات للطلب على الغذاء حتى عام 2020.

  2. ما هي النتائج الرئيسية التي توصلت إليها الدراسة؟

    النتائج الرئيسية تشمل انخفاض المساحة المزروعة بمقدار 323 ألف هكتار، وزيادة الإنتاج الزراعي النباتي بمقدار 923.7 ألف طن، وانخفاض نصيب الفرد من الغذاء بمقدار 864.8 كغ، وزيادة قيمة الفجوة الغذائية بمقدار 640.5 مليون دولار.

  3. ما هي التوصيات التي قدمتها الدراسة؟

    أوصت الدراسة بزيادة الإنتاجية الزراعية، دعم القوة الشرائية للمواطن السوري، وتخفيض قيمة الفجوة الغذائية من خلال إيجاد أسواق خارجية لتسويق الفوائض الزراعية.

  4. كيف توقعت الدراسة تطور الطلب على الغذاء في سوريا حتى عام 2020؟

    توقعت الدراسة أن الطلب على الغذاء سيزداد ليصل إلى 22832.5 ألف طن في عام 2020، مع زيادة ملحوظة في الطلب على القمح والمنتجات الزراعية الأخرى.


References used
لمكتب المركزي للإحصاء ( 2010 ). المجموعة الإحصائية السنوية لعام 2009 ، رئاسة مجلس الوزراء.
المجموعة الإحصائية الزراعية السورية لأعوام 2003 حتى 2012 وزارة الزراعة و الإصلاح الزراعي، دمشق سورية.
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