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Register a new userStudying The Relationship Between Foreign Direct Investment And Its Determinants For A Sample Of Arab Countries
دراسة العلاقة بين الاستثمار الأجنبي المباشر ومحدداته لعينة من الدول العربية
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Added by
Tishreen University ورقة بحثية
Publication date
2022
fields
Economy
and research's language is
العربية
Created by
Shamra Editor
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هدفت هذه الدراسة الى اختبار العلاقة بين الاستثمار الأجنبي المباشر ومحدداته في سورية والجزائر والمغرب والأردن خلال الفترة (1990-2010) وذلك باستخدام تقدير التكامل المشترك وفق الانحدار الذاتي للفجوات الزمنية الموزعة المتباطئة (Auto Regressive Distributed Lag) ARDL. أشارت الدراسة إلى أن نموذج وسط المجموعة المدمجةPMG هو النموذج المناسب؛ حيث توصل النموذج إلى وجود علاقة معنوية طويلة الأجل بين المتغيرات المستقلة (ما عدا سعر الصرف) والاستثمار الأجنبي المباشر في الدول المختارة؛ وبالتالي يجب التركيز على أهمية المحددات, واتخاذ خطوات لتطوير السياسات التي تشجع الاستثمار الأجنبي المباشر؛ ويمكن أن تشمل هذه التدابير: تطوير حجم السوق, وجعل القوانين أكثر جاذبية للتجارة الدولية, بالإضافة الى ذلك يمكن اتخاذ خطوات لإبقاء معدلات التضخم تحت السيطرة.
This study examines the relationship between foreign direct investment and its determinants in Syria, Algeria, Morocco and Jordan during the period (1990-2010), using the Auto Regressive Distributed Lag ARDL. The results of the study indicate that the PMG model is the appropriate model, as the model concluded that there is a significant long-term relationship between the independent variables (except for the exchange rate) and foreign direct investment in the study countries, and therefore it is necessary to focus on the importance of determinants and take steps to develop policies that Encourages foreign direct investment. These measures can include developing market size and making laws more attractive to international trade. In addition, steps can be taken to keep inflation rates under control.
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Research summary
تستهدف هذه الدراسة تحليل العلاقة بين الاستثمار الأجنبي المباشر ومحدداته في أربع دول عربية (سوريا، الجزائر، المغرب، والأردن) خلال الفترة من 1990 إلى 2010 باستخدام نموذج ARDL. توصلت الدراسة إلى أن نموذج PMG هو الأنسب، حيث أظهرت النتائج وجود علاقة طويلة الأجل بين المتغيرات المستقلة (باستثناء سعر الصرف) والاستثمار الأجنبي المباشر. بناءً على النتائج، توصي الدراسة بضرورة تطوير سياسات تشجع الاستثمار الأجنبي المباشر مثل تحسين حجم السوق، جعل القوانين أكثر جاذبية للتجارة الدولية، والسيطرة على معدلات التضخم.
Critical review
تعتبر الدراسة مفيدة في تسليط الضوء على العلاقة بين الاستثمار الأجنبي المباشر ومحدداته في الدول العربية المدروسة. ومع ذلك، يمكن انتقاد الدراسة من عدة جوانب. أولاً، تركز الدراسة بشكل كبير على المتغيرات الاقتصادية وتغفل عن العوامل غير الاقتصادية مثل الاستقرار السياسي والجوانب المؤسسية التي قد تؤثر بشكل كبير على تدفقات الاستثمار الأجنبي المباشر. ثانياً، الفترة الزمنية المدروسة قديمة نسبياً، حيث تنتهي في عام 2010، مما يجعل النتائج أقل ملاءمة للوضع الحالي. ثالثاً، كان من الممكن استخدام نماذج تقدير أخرى بجانب ARDL للحصول على نتائج أكثر دقة وشمولية.
Questions related to the research
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ما هي الفترة الزمنية التي غطتها الدراسة؟
الفترة الزمنية التي غطتها الدراسة هي من 1990 إلى 2010.
-
ما هو النموذج الذي وجدته الدراسة الأنسب لتحليل البيانات؟
وجدت الدراسة أن نموذج PMG هو الأنسب لتحليل البيانات.
-
ما هي المتغيرات التي لم تظهر علاقة معنوية مع الاستثمار الأجنبي المباشر؟
المتغير الوحيد الذي لم يظهر علاقة معنوية مع الاستثمار الأجنبي المباشر هو سعر الصرف.
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ما هي التوصيات التي قدمتها الدراسة لتحفيز الاستثمار الأجنبي المباشر؟
أوصت الدراسة بتطوير حجم السوق، جعل القوانين أكثر جاذبية للتجارة الدولية، والسيطرة على معدلات التضخم.
References used
Babuga, U. T., & Naseem, N. A. M. (2020).Asymmetric Effect of Oil Price Change on Inflation: Evidence from Sub Saharan Africa Countries. International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, 11(1), 448-458
Chu, J. F., & Sek, S. K. (2014). Investigating the relationship between inflation and growth: Evidence from panel ARDL models. InAIP Conference Proceedings.1605(1), 943-948. American Institute of Physics.
Hadjira, M & Mohamed, B. (2020). The Effect of the Public Budget Deficit on the Exchange Rate inAlgeriaAn Econometric Study Using ARDL Approach from 2003-2018.Strategy and Development Magazine, 10(5), 71-88
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