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Register a new userThe Reality and the Evolution of olive Production in the province of Latakia An Empirical Study in the period 2002-2013
واقع و تطوّر إنتاج الزيتون في محافظة اللاذقية دراسة تطبيقية في خلال الفترة 2002-2013
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Tishreen University ورقة بحثية
Publication date
2015
fields
Economy
and research's language is
العربية
Authors
ثائر محمد نديم معروف( باحث )
Created by
Shamra Editor
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يهدف البحث إلى دراسة واقع إنتاج الزيتون في محافظة اللاذقية, و ذلك من خلال سلسلة زمنية تمتد من عام 2002 لغاية عام 2013, و بالاعتماد على الأرقام القياسية, و معدلات النمو, و الانحدار البسيط, تمّت فيه دراسة واقع و تطوّر إنتاج الزيتون, و المساحات المزروعة, و عدد أشجاره خلال الفترة المدروسة, و كان من أهم نتائج البحث: *إنّ العلاقة بين إنتاج الزيتون و الزمن خلال الفترة (2002-2013) هي علاقة طردية و قوية, إذ إنّ 73% من التغيرات الحاصلة في إنتاج الزيتون يفسرها الزمن, و الباقي يعود لتأثير عوامل أخرى لم تضمن في النموذج. *إنّ العلاقة بين المساحات المزروعة بالزيتون و الزمن خلال الفترة (2002-2013) هي علاقة طردية و قوية جداً, إذ إن ّ 87.3% من التغيرات الحاصلة في المساحات المزروعة بالزيتون يفسرها الزمن, و الباقي يعود لتأثير عوامل أخرى لم تضمن في النموذج. *إنّ العلاقة بين عدد أشجار الزيتون و الزمن خلال الفترة (2002-2013) هي علاقة طردية و قوية جداً, إذ إن أنّ 89% من التغيرات الحاصلة في أشجار الزيتون يفسرها بالزمن, و الباقي يعود لتأثير عوامل أخرى لم تضمن في النموذج.
The research aims to study the reality of olive production in the province of Latakia, and of time-series extends from the year 2002 to the year 2013, and based on the indices, growth rates, and simple regression, has been studying the reality and the evolution of olive production, and areas planted with olive trees, and the number of trees olive during the period studied, and it was the most important results: *The relationship between the olive production and the time during the period (2002- 2013) is a strong and positive relationship, where 73% of the developments in the production of olive explained by changes of time, and the rest is due to the influence of other factors not included in the model. *The relationship between the cultivated olives space and time during the period (2002-2013) is a very positive and strong relationship, where 87.3% of the developments in the areas cultivated with olives interpret the changes of time, and the rest is due to the influence of other factors not included in the model. *The relationship between the olive trees and the time during the period (2002-2013) is the relationship between positive and very strong, since 89% of the developments in the olive trees explained by changes in time, and the rest is due to the influence of other factors not included in the model.
References used
وزارة الزراعة, مديرية الزراعة باللاذقية, إحصائيات الزيتون للفترة 2002-2013
الرفاعي, عبد الهادي؛ طيوب, محمود, مبادئ الإحصاء, منشورات جامعة تشرين, اللاذقية, سورية, 2012
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In order to achieve the objectives of the research a
series of pen'ds of time extending from 2001 to
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