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Effect of development of Syrian Commercial Bank Deposits on the net profitsin the Syrian crisis

أثر تطور ودائع المصرف التجاري السوري على الأرباح الصافية في الأزمة السورية

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 Publication date 2015
and research's language is العربية
 Created by Shamra Editor




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The goal of achieving profit and venerate is the first thing on which commercial banks are interested. And in order to achieve commercial bank this end,the bank must attract and compilation of national savings in the form of bank deposits, and then reinjected into the national economy through the granting of credit facilities and loans aimed at financing investment, or the Bank may direct the investment of these funds in order to achieve a profit, and that the policy of the Commercial Bank in this regard depends on the structure and size of deposits and maturities. This research deals with the study and analysis of the impact of the development of deposits in the Commercial Bank of Syria on the size of the net profit achieved during the time period from (2000) to (2013), and the impact of the Syrian crisis on the size of those net profits resulting from the evolution of the volume of bank deposits with the bank, through study evolution as strings of time using including lead us statistics theory, where the link has been studying the Commercial Bank of Syria earnings and the size of bank deposits has a path, and therefore has been measuring the intensity and direction of the correlation between these variables down to build a statistical model objectively reflects the nature and direction of the relationship connectivity deposits between the Commercial Bank of Syria on the one hand, and between the size of the net profits of the bank on the other hand.


Artificial intelligence review:
Research summary
يتناول هذا البحث دراسة وتحليل أثر تطور الودائع في المصرف التجاري السوري على حجم الأرباح الصافية التي حققها خلال الفترة الزمنية الممتدة من عام 2000 إلى 2013، مع التركيز على تأثير الأزمة السورية على تلك الأرباح. يهدف البحث إلى فهم العلاقة بين حجم الودائع المصرفية والأرباح الصافية للمصرف، وذلك باستخدام نماذج إحصائية تعتمد على تحليل الارتباط والانحدار الخطي. تم تقسيم الودائع إلى ودائع جارية تحت الطلب وودائع توفير وودائع لأجل، وتم تحليل تأثير كل نوع من هذه الودائع على الأرباح الصافية. أظهرت النتائج أن هناك علاقة ارتباطية بين حجم الودائع والأرباح الصافية، إلا أن هذه العلاقة تختلف في شدتها واتجاهها بين أنواع الودائع المختلفة. كما أظهر البحث أن الأزمة السورية كان لها تأثير كبير على حجم الودائع والأرباح، حيث شهدت الفترة بعد عام 2011 انخفاضاً حاداً في حجم الودائع والأرباح الصافية. بناءً على هذه النتائج، قدم الباحث مجموعة من التوصيات لتعزيز قدرة المصرف التجاري السوري على جذب الودائع وزيادة أرباحه، مثل تحسين مستوى الشفافية والإفصاح، وزيادة الاندماجات المصرفية، وتوسيع دائرة الاتفاقيات الدولية.
Critical review
دراسة نقدية: يعتبر هذا البحث مهماً في سياق فهم تأثير الأزمات الاقتصادية والسياسية على القطاع المصرفي، إلا أن هناك بعض النقاط التي يمكن تحسينها. أولاً، الاعتماد الكبير على البيانات الثانوية قد يقلل من دقة النتائج، وكان من الأفضل تضمين بيانات ميدانية حديثة. ثانياً، لم يتم تناول تأثير العوامل الخارجية الأخرى مثل التضخم وأسعار الفائدة بشكل كافٍ، مما قد يؤثر على النتائج النهائية. ثالثاً، النموذج الإحصائي المستخدم قد يكون بحاجة إلى تحسينات إضافية لضمان دقة التوقعات المستقبلية. وأخيراً، كان من الممكن تقديم توصيات أكثر تحديداً وقابلة للتنفيذ لتعزيز قدرة المصرف على مواجهة الأزمات وزيادة أرباحه.
Questions related to the research
  1. ما هي الفترة الزمنية التي يغطيها البحث؟

    يغطي البحث الفترة الزمنية من عام 2000 إلى 2013.

  2. ما هي أنواع الودائع التي تم تحليلها في البحث؟

    تم تحليل ثلاثة أنواع من الودائع: الودائع الجارية تحت الطلب، ودائع التوفير، والودائع لأجل.

  3. ما هو التأثير الرئيسي للأزمة السورية على المصرف التجاري السوري وفقاً للبحث؟

    الأزمة السورية أدت إلى انخفاض حاد في حجم الودائع المصرفية والأرباح الصافية للمصرف التجاري السوري بعد عام 2011.

  4. ما هي التوصيات التي قدمها الباحث لتعزيز قدرة المصرف التجاري السوري على جذب الودائع وزيادة أرباحه؟

    من التوصيات تحسين مستوى الشفافية والإفصاح، وزيادة الاندماجات المصرفية، وتوسيع دائرة الاتفاقيات الدولية.


References used
Reed, E. W; Gill, E. K. Commercial Banking. 4th ed, Prentice Hall International, New Jersey, 1989, p.p.140-143
Bourke, Philip. "Concentration And Other Determinant Of Bank Profitability In Europe, North America, And Australia". Journal Of Banking And Finance, Vol.13, 1989
Malyneux, Philip ; Thornton, John. "Determinants Of European Bank Profitability" .Journal Of Banking And Finance, Vol.16, 1992
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