يحتل قانون الجاذبية في التجارة أهمية كبيرة في تفسير محددات التجارة الخارجية للدول، سواء في العلاقات التجارية الثنائية أو الإقليمية أو الدولية، و إن متطلبات تطوير التجارة الخارجية السورية يقتضي إيجاد منافذ جديدة لها، لذلك تناولت هذه الدراسة تطبيق نموذج الجاذبية على التجارة الخارجية السورية مع دول مجموعة بريكس، لتحليل محددات هذه العلاقة، باستخدام بيانات مقطعية لخمس دول و خلال الفترة الممتدة من عام 1980 و لغاية عام 2015. و توصل البحث إلى أهمية كل من الحجم الاقتصادي المتمثل بالناتج المحلي الإجمالي للدول المدروسة في زيادة حجم التجارة الخارجية السورية إلى تلك الدول، و أن المسافة الاقتصادية و الجغرافية من أهم قيود نمو التجارة الخارجية السورية مع دول بريكس.
Gravity model in trade is the most important factor in analyzing international trade
determinants in bilateral، regional or international trade relationship between countries.
Developing of Syrian external trade requires finding new outlets .For that ،this research
discusses the determinants of Syrian international trade with BRICS countries by gravity
model، using panel data for five counties and period from 1980 to 2015.
The research proofed several facts including: the big scale of countries economy increase
trade with BRICS countries، but both of economic and geographic distance between Syria
and BRICS countries decrease scale of Syrian international trade with these countries.
References used
BERGEIJK, P.; BRAKMAN ,S. The Gravity Model in International Trade: Advances and Application, Cambridge University Press, United States Of America, New York, 2010, 50
GAJURATI, D., Econometrics By Example, 2nd,Palgrave Nacmellan , Uk, 2012, 416
KAREEM ,F.; KAREEM ,O. Specification And Estimation Of Gravity Models: A Review Of The Issues In The Literature, European University Institute,Working Papers,Robert Schuman Center For Advanced Students, 2014, 25
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