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Studying the Impact the profitability of the tobacco types produced in the Syrian coast on the Agriculture Domestic product during the period (2000 -2011)

دراسة أثر ربحية أصناف التبغ المنتجة في السّاحل السّوري على الناتج المحلّي الزراعي خلال الفترة (2000-2011)

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 Publication date 2015
and research's language is العربية
 Created by Shamra Editor




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Given the economic importance of tobacco in the Syrian coast, which is one of the most important agricultural crops which contribute to raising the level of economic life. In this research we focused on studying the varieties of tobacco produced in the Syrian coast by studying the quantities produced of each item and the costs and revenues of the production and profitability of production and its role in agricultural GDP during the period (2000-2011), which gives a clear picture of the impact on economic development, through applying multiple regression to examining the contribution of various tobacco varieties produced on the Syrian coast agricultural GDP, and is based on data collected from the General Organization for tobacco and cigarettes company in the governorate of Latakia. One of the most important findings: 1. Type Verginia achieved higher profitability during the period (2000-2011), while the lowest type Zegreen profit achieved during the same period. 2. - Shak Elbent followed by Verginia and Tanbak are considered the most important types and the most contributable to the Agricultural Domestic Product (ADP). 3- There is no impact of the profitability of Basma and Prilep and Gernata and Zegreen and Berly types produced in the Syrian coast on the Agricultural Domestic Product (ADP).


Artificial intelligence review:
Research summary
تتناول هذه الدراسة أهمية محصول التبغ في الساحل السوري وتأثيره على الناتج المحلي الزراعي خلال الفترة من 2000 إلى 2011. يركز البحث على تحليل الكميات المنتجة من أصناف التبغ المختلفة، تكاليف الإنتاج، الإيرادات، والربحية الناتجة عن هذه الأصناف. تم استخدام تحليل الانحدار المتعدد لدراسة مدى مساهمة كل صنف في الناتج المحلي الزراعي. من بين النتائج الرئيسية التي توصلت إليها الدراسة، حقق صنف الفيرجينيا أعلى ربحية خلال الفترة المدروسة، بينما كان صنف زغرين الأقل ربحية. كما تبين أن أصناف شك البنت، الفيرجينيا، والتتباك هي الأكثر مساهمة في الناتج المحلي الزراعي، في حين لم تظهر أصناف البصما، البريليب، الغرناطة، زغرين، والبرلي أي تأثير يذكر على الناتج المحلي الزراعي.
Critical review
تعتبر هذه الدراسة مهمة في تسليط الضوء على الأهمية الاقتصادية لمحصول التبغ في الساحل السوري، إلا أنها تعاني من بعض النواقص. أولاً، تركز الدراسة بشكل كبير على الجوانب الكمية دون التعمق في الجوانب النوعية التي قد تؤثر على ربحية المحصول. ثانياً، لم تأخذ الدراسة في الاعتبار العوامل البيئية والاجتماعية التي قد تؤثر على زراعة التبغ وإنتاجيته. ثالثاً، الاعتماد على بيانات المؤسسة العامة للتبغ فقط قد يحد من شمولية النتائج، وكان من الأفضل تضمين مصادر بيانات متنوعة. وأخيراً، كان من الممكن توسيع فترة الدراسة لتشمل سنوات أكثر حداثة للحصول على صورة أكثر دقة عن الوضع الحالي.
Questions related to the research
  1. ما هو الصنف الذي حقق أعلى ربحية خلال الفترة المدروسة؟

    صنف الفيرجينيا حقق أعلى ربحية خلال الفترة المدروسة من 2000 إلى 2011.

  2. ما هي الأصناف التي لم تظهر أي تأثير على الناتج المحلي الزراعي؟

    أصناف البصما، البريليب، الغرناطة، زغرين، والبرلي لم تظهر أي تأثير على الناتج المحلي الزراعي.

  3. ما هي المنهجية المستخدمة في الدراسة لتحليل البيانات؟

    تم استخدام تحليل الانحدار المتعدد لدراسة مدى مساهمة أصناف التبغ المختلفة في الناتج المحلي الزراعي.

  4. ما هي التوصيات التي قدمتها الدراسة لتحسين زراعة التبغ في الساحل السوري؟

    توصي الدراسة بزيادة الاهتمام والدعم لأصناف التبغ مثل البصما، البريليب، الغرناطة، زغرين، والبرلي، وتعميق الدراسات اللاحقة لمعرفة أسباب تراجع دور بعض الأصناف في النمو الاقتصادي.


References used
FREDRICK, H ؛FOREMAN, G ؛CAPEHART, T, Tobacco and the Economy: Farms, Jobs, and Communities, By H. Frederick Gale, Jr., Linda Foreman, and Thomas Capehart, Research Service, U.S. Department of Agriculture, Agricultural Economic Report No. 789.Washington,DC.2000.44
HARASHIMA.A, The Impact of Tobacco Production Liberalization on Smallholders in Malawi, IDE DISCUSSION PAPER No. 170,2008.23
<DD International, The role of tobacco growing in rural livelihoods, Rethinking the debate around tobacco supply reduction, 2012.28.< www.ddinternational.org.uk
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