Support marketing campaigns decisions in mobile Telecommunications to provide Location-Based services, by using Big Data technologies

Our proposed work is to introduce a combination of active and passive customer modes. And this will enhance the detecting the customers, even though they are not using their mobile by making a call.

Time Series Forecasting

حظيت نمذجة وتوقع السلاسل الزمنية بأهمية كبيرة في العديد من المجالات التطبيقية كالتنبؤ بالطقس وأسعار العملات ومعدلات استهلاك الوقود والكهرباء، إن توقع السلاسل الزمنية من شأنه أن يزود المنظمات والشركات بالمعلومات الضرورية لاتخاذ القرارات الهامة، وبسبب أهمية هذا المجال من الناحية التطبيقية فإن الكثير من الأعمال البحثية التي جرت ضمنه خلال السنوات الماضية، إضافةً إلى العدد الكبير من النماذج والخوارزميات التي تم اقتراحها في أدب البحث العلمي والتي كان هدفها تحسين كل من الدقة والكفاءة في نمذجة وتوقع السلاسل الزمنية.

Prediction of tobacco crop production in Syria using )ARIMA( model analysis

The objective of the research is to predict the production and area of tobacco production in the Syrian Arab Republic for the period (2019-2027) using ARIMA analysis, based on time series data on production and cultivated area for the period 1975-2017.The research was based primarily on the secondary data of FAO, based on the descriptive method of analysis in both descriptive and quantitative terms, using the linear analysis of the time series regression function in its various mathematical images, as well as using Box-Jenkins method to predict future values of production The maximal Likelihood Estimation (MLE) for Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) models.Results showed that the best predictive models of production and cultivated area during the required period were ARIMA (2.2,2)According to the selected model, the production volume in 2019 will reach 9130.9 tons between a minimum of 3056.9 tons and a maximum of 15205.0 tons, and it will continue to decline until 2025 to reach 920.0 tons and increase again in 2026 to 6766.4 tons between a minimum of 6579.3 tons and a maximum of 7932.0 tons, and then returns to decline again in the year (2027) to 2281.4 tons.The cultivated area will reach 2,736.9 hectares in the year 2019 to a minimum of 3010.4 ha and a maximum of 11,236.5 ha. It will continue to decline until 2088 to reach 3588.5 hectares. This will increase again in 2026 to 4966.7 hectares between a minimum of 4553.5 ha and maximum of 10487.0 hectares and it is expected to decline in 2027 to reach 3830.5 hectares between a minimum of 3623.6 and maximum of 10284.5 hectares.