This study investigated the effect of the water extract of two types
of algae which spread in Syrian marine: Colpomenia sinuosa
(Brown) and Ulva fasciata (green) and a combination of them in
the cultivation on tomato and tobacco seeds with concent
rations of
(1: 2 1: 4 1: 6 1: 8 1:10 1: 20) By adding 5ml of each
concentration, and comparing it with the control sample with only
distilled water added, the comparison was made in terms of: The
germination, stem length, root length, root branch.
The objective of the research is to predict the production and
area of tobacco production in the Syrian Arab Republic for the period
(2019-2027) using ARIMA analysis, based on time series data on
production and cultivated area for the period 1975-
2017.The research
was based primarily on the secondary data of FAO, based on the
descriptive method of analysis in both descriptive and quantitative
terms, using the linear analysis of the time series regression function
in its various mathematical images, as well as using Box-Jenkins
method to predict future values of production The maximal
Likelihood Estimation (MLE) for Autoregressive Integrated Moving
Average (ARIMA) models.Results showed that the best predictive
models of production and cultivated area during the required period
were ARIMA (2.2,2)According to the selected model, the production
volume in 2019 will reach 9130.9 tons between a minimum of 3056.9
tons and a maximum of 15205.0 tons, and it will continue to decline
until 2025 to reach 920.0 tons and increase again in 2026 to 6766.4
tons between a minimum of 6579.3 tons and a maximum of 7932.0
tons, and then returns to decline again in the year (2027) to 2281.4
tons.The cultivated area will reach 2,736.9 hectares in the year 2019
to a minimum of 3010.4 ha and a maximum of 11,236.5 ha. It will
continue to decline until 2088 to reach 3588.5 hectares. This will
increase again in 2026 to 4966.7 hectares between a minimum of
4553.5 ha and maximum of 10487.0 hectares and it is expected to
decline in 2027 to reach 3830.5 hectares between a minimum of
3623.6 and maximum of 10284.5 hectares.