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تحليل مخاطر الائتمان

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 Publication date 2020
  fields Economy
and research's language is العربية
 Created by Shamra Editor




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The purpose of this study is to know the impact of credit risk on the share prices by applying in listed Syrian private banks in DSE. It was presented the concept of credit and its importance and types, addition to the concept of credit risk and i ts causes The study based on sample of 6 Syrian banks in the practical section . And for a period (2010-30/6/2015) included 10 semiannual periods .For analysis simple and multiple regression model was used. The evidence revealed that no relationship between unproductive debt ratio and share prices. and indicated also no relationship between credit losses reserve ratio and share prices. because of the smallness of DSE and weakness of its efficiency, On order to reducing credit risk and improve DSE performance several recommendations have been presented by the end of study.
Credit risk management is one of the important topics in the banking sector and it is considered As an essential and decisive and proactive factor to reduce losses and earn an acceptable level of return to its shareholders. The objective of researc h to study the impact of credit risk management on the rate of return on equity in private banks in Syria and the nature of this effect. To achieve the goal of the search a Convenience sample was selected from private banks in Syria for which financial reports and risk management reports were available. The search results showed There is no statistically significant relationship between credit risk management and rate of return on equity in private banks in Syria in that time period At a significant level of 5% . but there is a statistically significant relationship between credit risk management and return on equity if the hypothesis is tested at a significant level of 10%. The results also showed a statistically significant relationship between the rate of non-performing loans and the rate of return on equity , And The capital adequacy ratio negatively affects the rate of return on equity.
The banking sector shapes a main backbone of economy in any country, given the great services provided by the economic life in any society, in addition to the significant developmental role play as a motivator and a engine of development wheel, and l ike all other institutions banks seem subject to the competition element among them in the domain of credit granting. The significant developments in the financial sector at the level of the world marked by the enormous technological progress in the banking industry, and the introduction of new financial instruments some financial crises, and most of the crises in the financial sector problems were common denominator where the banks, experts attributed this to increased risks, led by banking credit risk arising from credit granting, therefore it was necessary for each bank to put specific controls that guarantee the possibility of increasing granting credit while maintaining risk within acceptable limits, this requires the availability of an efficient system of credit analysis. Here they sought researcher of this study is to focus on the study of credit made ​​in the Commercial Bank of Syria, which overlook a lot of the important aspects that need to be studied and which may constitute a starting point for risk, Which leads in turn to stumble in the future, the researcher in theoretical section depended on the descriptive approach to what is stated in the most important books and references Banking and Finance, and depended on field study in the practical side to get to know the reality of the studies conducted by the Commercial Bank of Syria before granting loans and advances. The goal of the researcher of this study to verify the existence of a certified system of credit analysis at the Commercial Bank of Syria, and the efficiency analysis in commercial bank credit to reduce the size of the credit risk associated with the granting of loans. The most important results lack a holistic system of system credit analysis at the Commercial Bank of Syria, particularly with regard to financial ratios used in the analysis process, the adoption of curriculum diversification to reduce risks associated with the granting of credit, The bank's focus on collateral and personal for the granting of loans, and credit analysis neglects to identify the purpose of the granting of the loan as well as the history of banking transactions for credit applicants with other banks.
This research aims to investigate the impact of macroeconomic variables on credit risks in the private commercial banks operating in Syria. Considering 10 commercial banks during 2009-2015, we study and analyze a number of macroeconomic variables pr oposed by the associated economic literature, and it seems that these variables have an important effect on credit risk. Preliminary tests are applied to test for the Stationarity of the selected variables. Besides, a (co-integrating) long-term relationship between the explanatory variables and the dependent variable is investigated using an ARDL model. A Fixed Effect panel model is fitted to assess the potential effects of the considered macro-variables on credits risks. It seems that macroeconomics variables have a significant role in explaining the changes in quality loans portfolio, which causes an increasing in the nonperforming loans in Syrian commercial banks. In effect, it results that there is a negative and statistically significant effect of both economic growth and inflation rate on credit risk, whereas, there is a positive and statistically significant effect of both real interest rate and real effective exchange rate on credit risk
The risk management one of the most important pillars of corporate governance, and play an important role in protecting the company from external threats and opportunities exist to achieve the objectives of the company, and in order to fulfill its duty to the fullest risk management need to follow a legal approach in their work, or guided by the principles and standards set by organizations or committees international protection for the sector given as a committee of the Basel to protect the banking business, as the general principles of risk management is to identify, evaluate and measure and control the risks according to specific strategy adopted risk management, and can therefore risk management in companies that take the general rules laid down by the international committees to suit the nature of its business.

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