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an optimal investment portfolio of all securities listed on the Damascus Stock Exchange

تشكيل المحفظة الاستثمارية المثلى

1419   2   27   0.0 ( 0 )
 Publication date 2018
  fields Financial
and research's language is العربية
 Created by Majd Khoudari




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The objective of this research was to create an optimal investment portfolio of all securities listed on the Damascus Stock Exchange based on the historical prices of the listed companies by using the Solver tool in Excel. A simple analytical study was conducted for Damascus Stock Exchange. Since the beginning of the period studied in 2010 to 2017 significantly, where the increase was observed in 2017 clearly as a result of increased trading and large volumes. Thus, an optimal financial portfolio was formed with a yield of 1.79%, a risk value of 6.17% and a risk pricing of 0.29 and a lower risk than the majority of companies, in addition to ensuring the highest return in the portfolio at the same time less risk. The portfolio consists of 21 securities, including 11 from the banking sector, ie 52.3%, 6 insurance companies, or 27.7%, one industrial company and one service company. In addition, another investment portfolio was formed, weighted by the market values of listed companies for the end of 2017, a return of total portfolio of 2.13%, a risk value of 15.68% and a risk pricing of 0.1358. The portfolio consisted of 21 securities, including 10 from the banking sector, ie 47%, 6 insurance companies, or 27.7%, one industrial company and two service companies. This indicates the extent to which the Syrian banking sector has acquired the optimal investment portfolio.


Artificial intelligence review:
Research summary
تهدف هذه الدراسة إلى تشكيل محفظة استثمارية مثلى من الأوراق المالية المدرجة في سوق دمشق للأوراق المالية، باستخدام الأسعار التاريخية للأسهم المدرجة وأداة Solver في برنامج Excel. تم إجراء دراسة تحليلية بسيطة لسوق دمشق للأوراق المالية، حيث لوحظ ارتفاع مؤشر السوق بشكل كبير منذ بداية الفترة المدروسة في العام 2010 وحتى العام 2017، نتيجة زيادة عمليات التداول وارتفاع أسعار الأسهم. تم تشكيل محفظة مالية مثلى بعائد قدره 1.79% وقيمة مخاطرة بحدود 6.17%، وبتسعير مخاطرة بحدود 0.29، حيث حققت أقل مخاطرة من أغلبية الشركات. كما تم تشكيل محفظة استثمارية أخرى مثقلة بالقيم السوقية للأسهم المدرجة بنهاية العام 2017، بعائد قدره 2.13% وقيمة مخاطرة بحدود 15.68% وبتسعير مخاطرة بحدود 0.1358. لوحظ سيطرة القطاع المصرفي على سوق دمشق للأوراق المالية بشكل كبير، حيث تكونت المحفظة من 21 ورقة مالية، بينهم 11 ورقة من قطاع المصارف و6 شركات تأمين، مما يدل على مدى استحواذ القطاع المصرفي السوري للمحفظة الاستثمارية المثلى.
Critical review
تعد هذه الدراسة خطوة مهمة نحو فهم كيفية تشكيل المحفظة الاستثمارية المثلى في سوق دمشق للأوراق المالية. ومع ذلك، هناك بعض النقاط التي يمكن تحسينها. أولاً، الدراسة تعتمد بشكل كبير على البيانات التاريخية، والتي قد لا تكون دائماً مؤشراً دقيقاً للأداء المستقبلي. ثانياً، التركيز الكبير على القطاع المصرفي يمكن أن يزيد من المخاطر في حالة حدوث أي تقلبات في هذا القطاع. ثالثاً، لم يتم تناول تأثير العوامل الاقتصادية والسياسية بشكل كافٍ، والتي قد تؤثر بشكل كبير على أداء السوق. وأخيراً، يمكن أن تكون هناك حاجة لمزيد من التنوع في المحفظة لتقليل المخاطر بشكل أكبر.
Questions related to the research
  1. ما هو الهدف الرئيسي من هذه الدراسة؟

    الهدف الرئيسي هو تشكيل محفظة استثمارية مثلى من الأوراق المالية المدرجة في سوق دمشق للأوراق المالية باستخدام الأسعار التاريخية وأداة Solver في Excel.

  2. ما هي القيمة المتوقعة لعائد المحفظة المثلى التي تم تشكيلها؟

    القيمة المتوقعة لعائد المحفظة المثلى التي تم تشكيلها هي 1.79%.

  3. ما هي نسبة المخاطرة في المحفظة المثلى؟

    نسبة المخاطرة في المحفظة المثلى هي 6.17%.

  4. ما هو القطاع الذي يسيطر على سوق دمشق للأوراق المالية وفقاً للدراسة؟

    يسيطر القطاع المصرفي بشكل كبير على سوق دمشق للأوراق المالية وفقاً للدراسة.


References used
30. Richard C. Marston, Portfolio Design: A Modern Approach to Asset Allocation, 2011.
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