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Econometrics Analysis of the Costs Functions of Rain Fed Barley in the First, Second and Third Stability Zones (AL-Hasakah Governorate)

التّحليل الاقتصاديّ القياسي لدوال تكاليف إنتاج محصول الشّعير البعل في مناطق الاستقرار الأولى و الثّانية و الثّالثة (محافظة الحسكة)

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 Publication date 2018
and research's language is العربية
 Created by Shamra Editor




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This research aims to conduct a descriptive and econometric analysis of the costs functions of rain fed barley in the first, second and third stabilization zones in Al - Hasakah governorate, and to determine the optimum sizes for production and the profit-maximizing size. Data were collected through a questionnaire for rain fed barley farmers in the study area for the average season (2015 / 2016-2016 / 2017).


Artificial intelligence review:
Research summary
تهدف هذه الدراسة إلى إجراء تحليل اقتصادي وصفي وقياسي لدوال تكاليف إنتاج محصول الشعير البعل في مناطق الاستقرار الأولى والثانية والثالثة في محافظة الحسكة، وتحديد الحجوم المثلى للإنتاج والمُعظِّمة للربح. تم جمع البيانات من خلال استبيان موجه لمزارعي الشعير البعل في منطقة الدراسة لمتوسط الموسمين (2015/2016-2016/2017). أظهرت نتائج التحليل الكمي أن أعلى متوسط تكلفة إنتاج للهكتار الواحد بلغ نحو 89925.66 ل.س في منطقة الاستقرار الأولى، تلاها منطقتا الاستقرار الثانية والثالثة بمتوسط تكلفة إنتاج بلغت 77705.24 و69159.1 ل.س/هكتار على الترتيب. وأشارت نتائج تحليل التكاليف والعائدات إلى أن أعلى صافي عائد للهكتار بلغ نحو 73342.07 ل.س في منطقة الاستقرار الزراعي الأولى، تلاها منطقتا الاستقرار الثانية والثالثة بصافي ربح بلغ 49742.59 و26265.19 ل.س/هكتار على الترتيب. وباستخدام النماذج القياسية الاقتصادية لدالة التكاليف، تم تحديد الحجم الأمثل المحقق للكفاءة الاقتصادية وحجم الإنتاج المعظم للربح لكل منطقة، حيث تبين ابتعادها عن حجم الإنتاج الفعلي لمزارعي المناطق الثلاث والبالغ نحو 2.46، 2.47، 1.84 طن/هكتار. ودلت النتائج على أن المساحة المحققة للكفاءة الاقتصادية بلغت نحو 1.28، 1.57، 0.9 هكتار لمنطقة الاستقرار الأولى والثانية والثالثة على الترتيب، حيث تبين ابتعادها أيضاً عن متوسط المساحة المزروعة في كل منطقة. توصي الدراسة بتخفيض المساحات المزروعة بهذا المحصول على مستوى مناطق الاستقرار الثلاث في ظل الظروف الراهنة، واتباع سياسات زراعية تهدف إلى خفض تكاليف الإنتاج وخاصة تكاليف البذار والأسمدة، واستخدام التقانات الزراعية الحديثة التي تؤدي إلى تخفيض التكاليف وزيادة الإنتاج.
Critical review
دراسة نقدية: تعتبر هذه الدراسة مهمة في مجال التحليل الاقتصادي لدوال تكاليف إنتاج الشعير البعل، حيث تقدم بيانات وتحليلات قيمة تساعد في فهم التكاليف والعائدات المرتبطة بهذا المحصول. ومع ذلك، يمكن تحسين الدراسة من خلال توسيع نطاق العينة لتشمل مناطق أخرى من سوريا، مما يمكن أن يوفر صورة أكثر شمولية ودقة. كما يمكن تعزيز الدراسة بإضافة تحليل للآثار البيئية والاجتماعية لزراعة الشعير البعل، مما يعزز من فهم الأبعاد المختلفة لهذا المحصول. بالإضافة إلى ذلك، يمكن أن تكون التوصيات أكثر تفصيلاً ومرونة لتتناسب مع التغيرات المحتملة في الظروف الاقتصادية والسياسية.
Questions related to the research
  1. ما هي أعلى تكلفة إنتاج للهكتار الواحد في مناطق الاستقرار الثلاث؟

    أعلى تكلفة إنتاج للهكتار الواحد بلغت نحو 89925.66 ل.س في منطقة الاستقرار الأولى.

  2. ما هو أعلى صافي عائد للهكتار في مناطق الاستقرار الثلاث؟

    أعلى صافي عائد للهكتار بلغ نحو 73342.07 ل.س في منطقة الاستقرار الأولى.

  3. ما هي المساحة المحققة للكفاءة الاقتصادية في منطقة الاستقرار الأولى؟

    المساحة المحققة للكفاءة الاقتصادية في منطقة الاستقرار الأولى بلغت نحو 1.28 هكتار.

  4. ما هي التوصيات الرئيسية التي قدمتها الدراسة؟

    توصي الدراسة بتخفيض المساحات المزروعة بهذا المحصول، واتباع سياسات زراعية تهدف إلى خفض تكاليف الإنتاج، واستخدام التقانات الزراعية الحديثة.


References used
Abbas .G., M. A. Ali., M. Azamand and I. Hussain., (2009). Impact of Planting Methods on Wheat Grain Yield and Yield Contributing Parameters. The Journal of Animal & Plant Sciences 19(1): 30-33
Elmahy, M., (2003).An Economic study of the Role and Impact of ELBustan Agricultural Development project (BADP)-in Improving Resources-Utilization Efficiency in the production of the most prominent summer crops of the project’s Area-Bustan Agricultural Development project (BADP), Ministry of Agriculture and land reclamation &commission of the European union- December
Edrees, N., S. Khayat and M.B. Al-Shalak. 2014. AL-Tahleel aleqtesadi le dawal takaleef entaj alshaeer albal fe almanteka alshemalia men Soria. Majalat jameat demashq le aloloom alzeraia, 30(3): 259-275
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