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The impact of price policy in the economic return to farmers of soft and durum wheat and barley crops in Al-Hassakah governorate

أثر السياسة السعرية في العائد الاقتصادي لمزارعي محاصيل القمح الطري و القمح القاسي و الشعير في محافظة الحسك

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 Publication date 2014
  fields Agrarian Economy
and research's language is العربية
 Created by Shamra Editor




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The aim of research was to study the impact of price policy on the economic return of soft and durum wheat and barley farmers in Al-Hassakah governorate to determine the extent of government intervention in supporting the prices of these crops. Scales of nominal protection and effective coefficients were used to analyze the actual difference between domestic prices and global prices of product, and the net impact of the policy on output and input. A total of 208 farmers from 44 villages were selected on the basis of simple class sample. Results of the analysis showed that the values of nominal protection and effective protection coefficients for soft and durum wheat and barley amounted 1.08, 1.21, 1.97, and 1.17, 1.33, 2.26 respectively, Thus, a clear government intervention was observed to support crop prices and the overall effect of the policy indicated a positive incentive for soft and durum wheat price with higher subsidies for barley price through year 2011.


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Research summary
تهدف هذه الدراسة إلى تحليل تأثير السياسة السعرية على العائد الاقتصادي لمزارعي القمح الطري والقمح القاسي والشعير في محافظة الحسكة. استخدم الباحثان مقياس معامل الحماية الأسمية ومقياس معامل الحماية الفعال لتحديد الفروق بين الأسعار المحلية والعالمية وتأثير السياسة على المخرجات والمدخلات. تم اختيار 208 مزارعًا من 44 قرية في المحافظة كعينة للدراسة. أظهرت النتائج أن هناك تدخل حكومي واضح في دعم أسعار المحاصيل، حيث بلغت قيم معامل الحماية الأسمية للقمح الطري والقمح القاسي والشعير 1.08، 1.21، و1.97 على التوالي، بينما بلغت قيم معامل الحماية الفعال 1.17، 1.33، و2.26 على التوالي. يشير ذلك إلى وجود دعم حكومي كبير لأسعار الشعير مقارنة بالقمح. خلصت الدراسة إلى أن السياسة السعرية الحكومية توفر حوافز إيجابية للمزارعين، مما يعزز الإنتاج المحلي ويقلل من الاعتماد على الواردات.
Critical review
دراسة نقدية: تعتبر هذه الدراسة مهمة لأنها تسلط الضوء على تأثير السياسة السعرية على العائد الاقتصادي للمزارعين في محافظة الحسكة. ومع ذلك، يمكن توجيه بعض النقد البناء للدراسة. أولاً، كان من الممكن أن تكون الدراسة أكثر شمولية إذا تم تضمين محاصيل أخرى ذات أهمية اقتصادية في المنطقة. ثانيًا، كان من الممكن أن تكون النتائج أكثر دقة إذا تم استخدام بيانات أكثر حداثة، حيث أن البيانات المستخدمة تعود إلى عام 2011. ثالثًا، كان من الممكن أن تكون الدراسة أكثر فائدة إذا تم تحليل تأثير السياسة السعرية على المدى الطويل بدلاً من التركيز على فترة زمنية محددة. أخيرًا، كان من الممكن أن تكون الدراسة أكثر تفاعلية إذا تم تضمين آراء المزارعين حول السياسة السعرية وتأثيرها على حياتهم اليومية.
Questions related to the research
  1. ما هو الهدف الرئيسي من الدراسة؟

    الهدف الرئيسي من الدراسة هو تحليل تأثير السياسة السعرية على العائد الاقتصادي لمزارعي القمح الطري والقمح القاسي والشعير في محافظة الحسكة.

  2. ما هي الأدوات المستخدمة في تحليل البيانات؟

    تم استخدام مقياس معامل الحماية الأسمية ومقياس معامل الحماية الفعال لتحليل البيانات وتحديد الفروق بين الأسعار المحلية والعالمية وتأثير السياسة على المخرجات والمدخلات.

  3. ما هي النتائج الرئيسية التي توصلت إليها الدراسة؟

    توصلت الدراسة إلى أن هناك تدخل حكومي واضح في دعم أسعار المحاصيل، حيث بلغت قيم معامل الحماية الأسمية للقمح الطري والقمح القاسي والشعير 1.08، 1.21، و1.97 على التوالي، بينما بلغت قيم معامل الحماية الفعال 1.17، 1.33، و2.26 على التوالي.

  4. ما هي التوصيات التي قدمتها الدراسة؟

    توصي الدراسة بالاستمرار في دعم أسعار محاصيل القمح الطري والقاسي والشعير لتشجيع المزارعين على الاستمرار في زراعتها، وتوفير الإنتاج المطلوب لتلبية احتياجات السكان من القمح وحاجة الثروة الحيوانية من الشعير، وتحقيق فائض للتصدير وتقليل الكميات المستوردة.


References used
Escwa, 1995. Evaluation of agricultural policies in the Syrian Arab republic(policy analysis matrix approach. USA. New York
Mona, N, 2001. Agriculture trade in Syria case study, consultant report for the development department (RDD), the world bank, Washington, D. C., 20422 USA 36 P
وزارة الزراعة والإصلاح الزراعي. 2011 . المجموعة الإحصائية الزراعية. دمشق، سورية.
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