تتضمن هذه الدراسة تحليلا شاملا للعوامل المناخية و النباتية و الطبوغرافية لمحمية النبي متى (منطقة الدريكيش- محافظة طرطوس – سوريا) كونها أهم العوامل المؤثرة في حرائق الغابات، حيث تم جمع البيانات المرافقة لكل حريق و تحليلها باستخدام البرامج الاحصائية (SPSS) و (EXCEL) و دراسة الارتباط المتعدد بين هذه العوامل و بين ظاهرة تكرار الحريق في منطقة معينة (خطر حدوث الحريق). تم بعد ذلك معالجة هذه البيانات و نتائج التحليل و الارتباط المتعدد ضمن برنامج نظام المعلومات الجغرافية (GIS) للحصول على الخريطة الممثلة لمناطق خطر حدوث الحريق، و تمت الاستعانة بالخرائط الطبوغرافية بمقياس (1:50000), و الصور الفضائية بمقياس (1:25000)، حيث صممت الخرائط اللازمة للدراسة (خريطة الانحدار – خريطة المعرض - خريطة التغطية النباتية – خريطة البنية التحتية - خريطة مناطق خطر الحريق)، و تم اقتراح أماكن أبراج المراقبة و مراكز التدخل السريع ضمن المناطق ذات درجة الخطورة العالية لحدوث الحرائق. تعدّ هذه الخرائط بمثابة أنظمة إنذار مبكر يمكن التنبؤ من خلالها على احتمال حدوث حريق ما ضمن المحمية عندما تتوفر الشروط الملائمة لذلك.
This study includes a full analysis of climatic, vegetation, and topographical factors in Nabe Matta preserve (Drekish Region – Tartous Governorate – Syria), which is considered as the most important factors affecting forest fires. The data were collected for each fire and analyzed by statistical programs (SPSS) and (EXCEL), and the relationship between these multiple factors and the phenomenon of recurrence of fire in one area (fire risk region) was studied. Then the data and the results of the analysis and multi relationship had been studied within the geographic information system software (GIS) to obtain the map of fire risk region, as well as results from topographic maps (1:50.000), aerial photographs (1:25.000), and the needed maps were designed for the study such as (slope map - aspect map - vegetation cover map - infrastructure map - fire risk region map),then places of monitoring towers and centers of rapid intervention in high-risk areas have been proposed for the occurrence of fires. These maps are considered as warning systems and with it we can predict the probability of any fire in the Preserve when the appropriate conditions are provided for it.
References used
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BARTLETTE, R. Using the normalized difference vegetationindex from AVHRR imagery for fire potential assessment in the United States. In: 3rd International Workshop on Remote Sensing and GIS Applications to Forest Fire Management : New Methods and Sensors. Paris, European Association of Remote Sensing Laboratories, . 2001, 19-21
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