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The Impact of Liquidity and Profitability on the Safety of Syrian Private Commercial Banks

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 Publication date 2017
  fields Economy
and research's language is العربية
 Created by امانة التحرير مجلة جامعة تشرين




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Research summary
هدفت هذه الدراسة إلى تحليل تأثير السيولة والربحية على الأمان المصرفي في المصارف التجارية الخاصة السورية. تم جمع البيانات من القوائم المالية والإفصاحات للمصارف المدرجة في سوق دمشق للأوراق المالية للفترة من 2009 إلى 2016، وشملت العينة 11 مصرفًا. استخدم الباحثان معامل الارتباط بيرسون ونموذج الانحدار الخطي المتعدد لتحليل العلاقة بين السيولة والربحية والأمان المصرفي. أظهرت النتائج وجود علاقة ارتباط طردية ذات دلالة إحصائية بين نسب السيولة (إجمالي الأصول السائلة وشبه السائلة/ إجمالي الودائع؛ إجمالي الأصول السائلة/ إجمالي الأصول) والأمان المصرفي. كما أظهرت النتائج وجود علاقة ارتباط طردية بين نسب الربحية (العائد على الأصول؛ العائد على حقوق الملكية) والأمان المصرفي. أوصت الدراسة بالحفاظ على مستويات مرتفعة من الأمان المصرفي تزيد عن 20%، والاهتمام بالسيولة واستثمار أموال المساهمين لتعزيز الأمان المصرفي. كما اقترحت تطوير النماذج المستخدمة في الدراسة بالاعتماد على بيانات لفترات زمنية أطول.
Critical review
دراسة نقدية: تُعد هذه الدراسة خطوة مهمة في فهم العلاقة بين السيولة والربحية والأمان المصرفي في المصارف التجارية الخاصة السورية. ومع ذلك، يمكن الإشارة إلى بعض النقاط التي قد تعزز من قوة الدراسة. أولاً، كان من الأفضل توسيع نطاق العينة لتشمل المصارف العامة والإسلامية للحصول على صورة أشمل. ثانيًا، الاعتماد على بيانات لفترات زمنية أطول قد يعطي نتائج أكثر دقة واستقرارًا. ثالثًا، كان من الممكن استخدام نماذج إحصائية أكثر تعقيدًا لتقديم تحليل أعمق للعلاقات بين المتغيرات. أخيرًا، كان من الممكن تضمين تحليل نوعي لفهم العوامل غير المالية التي قد تؤثر على الأمان المصرفي.
Questions related to the research
  1. ما هي العلاقة بين السيولة والأمان المصرفي في المصارف التجارية الخاصة السورية؟

    أظهرت الدراسة وجود علاقة ارتباط طردية ذات دلالة إحصائية بين نسب السيولة والأمان المصرفي في المصارف التجارية الخاصة السورية.

  2. ما هي التوصيات التي قدمتها الدراسة للحفاظ على الأمان المصرفي؟

    أوصت الدراسة بالحفاظ على مستويات مرتفعة من الأمان المصرفي تزيد عن 20%، والاهتمام بالسيولة واستثمار أموال المساهمين لتعزيز الأمان المصرفي.

  3. ما هي الأدوات الإحصائية التي استخدمها الباحثان في تحليل البيانات؟

    استخدم الباحثان معامل الارتباط بيرسون ونموذج الانحدار الخطي المتعدد لتحليل البيانات.

  4. ما هو تأثير الربحية على الأمان المصرفي وفقًا للدراسة؟

    أظهرت الدراسة وجود علاقة ارتباط طردية بين نسب الربحية (العائد على الأصول؛ العائد على حقوق الملكية) والأمان المصرفي في المصارف التجارية الخاصة السورية.


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