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Register a new userRuralization vs. Urbanization Sprawl as Guiding Regional Planning: Development Scenario for Rivers Watershed in the Southern Syrian Coastal Region
التوطين الريفي المستدام في مواجهة التوسع الحضري كموجه للتخطيط الإقليمي: سيناريو تنموي لمستجمعات الأنهار في جنوب الاقليم الساحلي السوري
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Tarek Rahmoun
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تهدف هذه الدراسة إلى فتح باب النقاش أمام الأفكار الجديدة لاقتراح سيناريو مستدام بالاستناد الى مبدأ حلقة التنمية المكانية المتكاملة بين المناطق الحضرية والريفية ضمن و بين منطقة مستجمعات مياه نهري الأبرش والحصين ، كتطبيق لنهج التخطيط التصاعدي "من الاسفل إلى الاعلى"، تسعى إلى تحقيق التوطين الريفي المستدام بالتوازي مع التحضر. اعتمدت هذه الورقة على تحليل البيانات باستخدام نهج تدريجي منظم وفق مايلي. أولاً ، تم التحقيق في تغيير الغطاء الأرضي (LCC) خلال 30 عامًا، حيث استخدمت بيانات الأقمار الصناعية عبر فترات زمنية متعددة لنفس الحدود المكانية لإنشاء خرائط موضعية للغطاء الأرضي والتي يمكن استخدامها لرصد التغيرات الحاصلة في الغطاء الأرضي. تم تصنيف ثلاث صور للقمر الصناعي لاندسات من أعوام 1987 و 2002 و 2017 بشكل منفصل باستخدام طريقة التصنيف الخاضعة للإشراف في ArcGIS لتوفير طريقة اقتصادية للتحليل الكمي للتغيرات الحاصلة ضمن الحدود المكانية بمرور الوقت. بعد ذلك، اعتمد تحليل SWOT للامكانيات والمحددات في ضوء التدفق الثنائي الاتجاه للنشاط الاقتصادي الحالي والمستقبلي إلى جانب مناقشة فرص استخدام الأراضي (LU) مع الأخذ في الاعتبارخارطة الانحدار لتحقيق أولوية الحفاظ على الموارد الطبيعية. أخيرًا ، تم تقييم النتائج لبناء سيناريو مكاني مستدام قابل للترقية بتوسيع النطاق و نقل المخرجات لتشمل مستجمعات المياه في الاقليم الساحلي بشكل يدعم التخطيط الإقليمي وصنع القرار في المستقبل.
This study aimed at opening discussions concerning new ideas of suggesting sustainable scenario based on the principle of an integrated spatial development ring between urban-rural areas along and between AL-Abrash and AL- Hseen rivers watershed, as an application of the bottom-up planning model, seeking to achieve ruralization in parallel with urbanization. This paper adopted data collections and analysis through using a step-by-step approach. Firstly, investigated the land-cover change (LCC) during 30-years. Therefore, using multi-temporal satellite data from different dates for the same study area to create thematic land cover maps which can be used for land cover change detection. Three Landsat satellite images from1987, 2002 and 2017 were classified separately using the supervised classification method in ArcGIS, to provide an economical way to quantify, map and analyse changes over time in land cover. Then, SWOT analysis for the possibilities and determinants within the two-way flow of the current and futuristic economic activity, besides discussion the opportunities of the land-use (LU) taking into account slop map to achieve conservation priority for natural resources. Finally, evaluate results and establishing a sustainable spatial scenario approachable to upgrade into scaling up/out to covering the coastal region watersheds, can support regional planning and decision-making in the future.
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