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Ruralization vs. Urbanization Sprawl as Guiding Regional Planning: Development Scenario for Rivers Watershed in the Southern Syrian Coastal Region

التوطين الريفي المستدام في مواجهة التوسع الحضري كموجه للتخطيط الإقليمي: سيناريو تنموي لمستجمعات الأنهار في جنوب الاقليم الساحلي السوري

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 Publication date 2018
  fields Sociology
and research's language is العربية
 Created by Tarek Rahmoun




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This study aimed at opening discussions concerning new ideas of suggesting sustainable scenario based on the principle of an integrated spatial development ring between urban-rural areas along and between AL-Abrash and AL- Hseen rivers watershed, as an application of the bottom-up planning model, seeking to achieve ruralization in parallel with urbanization. This paper adopted data collections and analysis through using a step-by-step approach. Firstly, investigated the land-cover change (LCC) during 30-years. Therefore, using multi-temporal satellite data from different dates for the same study area to create thematic land cover maps which can be used for land cover change detection. Three Landsat satellite images from1987, 2002 and 2017 were classified separately using the supervised classification method in ArcGIS, to provide an economical way to quantify, map and analyse changes over time in land cover. Then, SWOT analysis for the possibilities and determinants within the two-way flow of the current and futuristic economic activity, besides discussion the opportunities of the land-use (LU) taking into account slop map to achieve conservation priority for natural resources. Finally, evaluate results and establishing a sustainable spatial scenario approachable to upgrade into scaling up/out to covering the coastal region watersheds, can support regional planning and decision-making in the future.


Artificial intelligence review:
Research summary
تناولت هذه الدراسة سيناريوهات التنمية المستدامة في منطقة مستجمعات الأنهار في الساحل الجنوبي السوري، مع التركيز على التوازن بين التحضر والريفية كأداة لتوجيه التخطيط الإقليمي. استخدمت الدراسة بيانات الأقمار الصناعية متعددة الأزمان لتحليل التغيرات في الغطاء الأرضي على مدى 30 عامًا (1987-2017) باستخدام تقنيات نظم المعلومات الجغرافية (GIS) والاستشعار عن بعد. تم تصنيف الصور الفضائية باستخدام طريقة التصنيف الموجه في برنامج ArcGIS، وتم إنشاء خرائط الغطاء الأرضي للكشف عن التغيرات. أظهرت النتائج تدهورًا عامًا في الموارد الأرضية، حيث انخفضت الغابات والنباتات الكثيفة بنسبة 25.66% وزادت الأراضي الزراعية والنباتات المفتوحة بنسبة 23.07%. كما زادت المناطق المبنية والمحاجر بنسبة 2.23%. استخدمت الدراسة تحليل SWOT لتحديد نقاط القوة والضعف والفرص والتهديدات في المنطقة، واقترحت سيناريو مستقبلي لتحقيق الريفية في مواجهة التحضر. تم اقتراح إنشاء مراكز زراعية-سياحية متكاملة لتعزيز النمو الزراعي والسياحي في المناطق الريفية، مع التركيز على تطوير البنية التحتية وتعزيز الروابط الريفية-الحضرية.
Critical review
دراسة نقدية: تقدم هذه الدراسة نموذجًا جديدًا للتخطيط الإقليمي يعتمد على تحليل التغيرات في الغطاء الأرضي واستخدام تقنيات نظم المعلومات الجغرافية والاستشعار عن بعد. ومع ذلك، يمكن القول أن الدراسة قد تفتقر إلى تحليل شامل للتأثيرات الاقتصادية والاجتماعية طويلة الأمد للتغيرات المقترحة. كما أن الاعتماد الكبير على البيانات الفضائية قد يتطلب تدقيقًا إضافيًا لضمان دقتها وملاءمتها للواقع المحلي. بالإضافة إلى ذلك، قد يكون من المفيد تضمين دراسات حالة مشابهة من مناطق أخرى لتقديم مقارنة أوسع وتأكيد فعالية السيناريوهات المقترحة. على الرغم من هذه النقاط، فإن الدراسة تقدم رؤية قيمة لتحقيق التنمية المستدامة في المناطق الريفية والحضرية على حد سواء.
Questions related to the research
  1. ما هي الأهداف الرئيسية لهذه الدراسة؟

    الأهداف الرئيسية للدراسة هي استكشاف خصائص الاستخدام الحالي للأراضي وتغيرات الغطاء الأرضي بين عامي 1987 و2017، وتحليل القوى الدافعة لتغيرات استخدام الأراضي والتوسع الحضري، واقتراح سيناريو مستقبلي لتحقيق الريفية في مواجهة التحضر.

  2. ما هي الأساليب المستخدمة في تحليل التغيرات في الغطاء الأرضي؟

    استخدمت الدراسة بيانات الأقمار الصناعية متعددة الأزمان من لاندسات، وتم تصنيف الصور الفضائية باستخدام طريقة التصنيف الموجه في برنامج ArcGIS. كما تم استخدام تحليل SWOT لتحديد نقاط القوة والضعف والفرص والتهديدات في المنطقة.

  3. ما هي النتائج الرئيسية التي توصلت إليها الدراسة؟

    أظهرت النتائج تدهورًا عامًا في الموارد الأرضية، حيث انخفضت الغابات والنباتات الكثيفة بنسبة 25.66% وزادت الأراضي الزراعية والنباتات المفتوحة بنسبة 23.07%. كما زادت المناطق المبنية والمحاجر بنسبة 2.23%.

  4. ما هي السيناريوهات المقترحة لتحقيق التنمية المستدامة في المنطقة؟

    اقترحت الدراسة إنشاء مراكز زراعية-سياحية متكاملة لتعزيز النمو الزراعي والسياحي في المناطق الريفية، مع التركيز على تطوير البنية التحتية وتعزيز الروابط الريفية-الحضرية. كما تم اقتراح استخدام أسلوب التعاونيات الزراعية الحديثة لتحقيق إنتاج زراعي عالي الجودة وزيادة فرص العمل.


References used
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L. Jiang, X. Deng and K. C. Seto, “The impact of urban expansion on agricultural land use intensity in China,” Land Use Policy, vol. 23, pp. 33-39, 2013
B. Pandey, P. Joshi and K. C. Seto, “Monitoring urbanization dynamics in India using DMSP/OLS night time lights and SPOT-VGT data,” International Journal of Applied Earth Observation and Geoinformation, vol. 23, pp. 49-61, 2013
M. U. Shafiq, A. A. Mir, P. Ahmed and P. A. Bhat, “Landuse/ Land cover Analysis in Hamal Watershed of North western Himalaya's using Remote Sensing & GIS,” International Research Journal of Engineering and Technology, vol. 3, no. 4, pp. 2799-2805, 2016
T. B. H. Nyerges, C. Steinitz, T. Canfield, M. Roderick, J. Ritzman and W. Thanatemaneerat, “Geodesign dynamics for sustainable urban watershed development,” Sustainable Cities and Society, vol. 25, pp. 13-24, 2016
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T. C. Sheng, “Challenges and Strategies in Integrated Watershed Management in Developing Countries,” Guide to the Papers of Ted C. Sheng. Series 1: Publications. Finding aid: http://lib. colostate. edu/archives/findingaids/water/wtcs. html., 2016
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K. L. Martin, T. Hwang, J. Vose, J. W. Coulston, D. N. Wear, B. Miles and L. E. Band, “Watershed impacts of climate and land use changes depend on magnitude and land use context,” Ecohydrology, p. doi: 10.1002/eco.1870, 2017
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