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اختبار منفعة المعلومات المحاسبية للتقارير المالية الأولية و النهائية في سوق دمشق للأوراق المالية
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يهدف هذا البحث إلى اختبار العلاقة بين المعلومات المحاسبية المنشورة في التقارير المالية الأولية و أسعار أسهم الشركات المدرجة في سوق دمشق للأوراق المالية، و ذلك من أجل تقييم منفعة تلك المعلومات بالنسبة للمستثمرين في السوق. باستخدام نموذج انحدار السعر و الذي يقوم على ربط سعر السهم بكل من القيمة الدفترية للسهم و ربحية السهم خلال الفترة الواقعة بين عامي 2009 و 2012، أظهرت نتائج الدراسة (1) أن المعلومات المحاسبية الواردة في التقارير المالية الأولية هي معلومات ذات منفعة بالنسبة للمستثمر (2) أن لربحية السهم تأثيراً أكبر على سعر السهم بالمقارنة مع القيمة الدفترية له (3) بالمقارنة مع التقارير المالية النهائية، كانت التقارير المالية الأولية أكثر منفعة من حيث المعلومات الواردة في قائمة المركز المالي، بينما كانت أقل منفعة من حيث معلومات قائمة الدخل.
The objective of this study is to examine the relationship between accounting information and stock prices of listed companies on Damascus Stock Exchange in order to assess the usefulness of accounting information for investor’s decisions. Price Regression Model has been used to measure the explanatory power of book value and earnings in relation to variations in stock prices during the period from 2009 to 2012. The findings show that (1) preliminary financial reports provide useful accounting information for investors (2) earnings per share has a stronger impact on stock prices than book value (3) in comparison with final financial reports, balance sheet accounting information were more useful; whereas, income statement information were less useful.
References used
ANDRIANTOMO, A.; YUDIANTI, N. .The Value Relevance of Accounting Information at Indonesia Stock Exchange. The 2013 IBEA, International Conference on Business, Economics, and Accounting 20 – 23 March 2013, Bangkok – Thailand, Working Paper
AMIR, E.; HARRIS, T.; VENUTI, E. A Comparison of the Value-Relevance of U.S. versus Non-U.S. GAAP Accounting Measures Using Form 20-F Reconciliations. Journal of Accounting Research, Vol. 31 Supplement 1993, 230-264
GHAYOUMI, A.; NAYERI, M.; ANSARI, M.; RAEESI, T. Value-Relevance of Accounting Information: Evidence from Iranian Emerging Stock Exchange. World Academy of Science, Engineering and Technology, Vol. 78, 2011, 124-129
GLEZAKOS, M.; MYLONAKIS, J.; KAFOUROS,C. The Impact of Accounting Information on Stock Prices: Evidence from the Athens Stock Exchange. International Journal of Economics and Finance Vol. 4, No. 2; 2012, 56-68
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This study examines the relevance-value of accounting information represented by
earnings and book values for firms listed on Damascus Stock Exchange. This study is
based on the Return Model developed by Easton & Harris (1991), and on the Price Mod
el
developed by Ohlson (1995).The researcher uses the annual data of the financial
statements from 2009 to 2012. The results of this study show that accounting earnings are
value-relevant to explaining the changes in stock returns, and that the change-variable in
earnings correlates positively and significantly with cumulative return, but earnings level
variable does not related significantly to cumulative returns. Based on the price model, the
earnings of each share and its book-value relate positively and significantly to share-price.
Therefore, income statements and balance sheets reflect value-relevant information for
investors at Damascus Stock Exchange. This information is represented by accounting
earnings and book values, but the variable of earnings level does not explain the changes in
cumulative returns.
This paper aims to check whether the index (DWX) of Damascus Stock Exchange (DSE) is characterized by some of the stylized facts of most of the international and Arab stock markets, as: Volatility Clustering, Reversion to the Mean, and the Leverage E
ffect. The GARCH and EGARCH models were applied using the returns series of DWX for a period from 31/12/2009 till 16/4/2013.
The findings showed that DSE is characterized by: Volatility Clustering, meaning that large volatility today will be followed by large volatility tomorrow, Leverage Effect, meaning that volatility tends to rise more after a negative shock that a positive one, But the DWX is not characterized by the reversion to the mean process, due the explosive volatility of the index.
The research examines the Capital Asset Pricing Model
(CAPM) in Damascus Stock Exchange (DSE), by using the
monthly excess returns of (8) companies listed in (DSE), for the
period of (2010-2013), and the monthly excess return of (DSE)
index (DWX)
for the same period.
The researcher concluded that there is a significant relation
between the volatility of the market excess return and the volatility of the excess returns of stocks of the examined companies, But the researcher also concluded that (CAPM) is not valid in (DSE), because of the failure in the statistical test. That the constant of the regression equation is not equal to zero and the slope of the security market line is not equal to the average excess return of the stocks of examined companies.
The researcher recommended that this study should be retested
when there are a suitable number of listed companies in order to
form portfolios that can diversify away the effect of the unsystematic risk of each company, and to retest the CAPM after
the crises, because the average excess returns for all of the
examined companies were negative. Finally, the researcher
recommended trying other models of asset pricing such as
Arbitrage Pricing Theory (APT), and (Fama) Multifactor Model.
This study aimed to examine the weak form efficiency of the
Damascus Securities Exchange (DSE). The study used the monthly
returns, adjusted for thin trading, of firms listed in the Damascus
Securities Exchange from 2009 until 2014 and applied var
ious tests
to examine the random walk behavior in returns: the unit root test,
the autocorrelation test, the runs test and the GARCH model. To
take the impact of the Syrian crisis into account when judging the
efficiency of the market, the study period was divided into three
periods, the pre-crisis period, the crisis period and the whole period.
The results revealed inability to reject the weak form efficient
market hypothesis for more than half of the studied firms. Also it
showed that the Syrian crisis, in general, has negatively affected the
efficiency of most of the studied firms.
This study sought to investigate the effect of price limits on the
volatility of stock returns on the Damascus Stock Exchange. Where
the study period divided into two periods the first test period
3/3/2009 and until 23/6/2011, the second test period 13/2/2011 until
30/3/2017. Using the model (1,1) GARCH.
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