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Register a new userA Step towards Building Environmental Protection Strategy: Game Theory Framework for Al-Abrash River Basin Management
خطوة نحو بناء إستراتيجية حماية بيئية: إطار نظرية اللعبة لإدارة حوض نهر الأبرش
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Tarek Rahmoun
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إن السلوك العشوائي الحالي لأصحاب المصالح داخل حوض نهر الأبرش في الاقليم الساحلي السوري بما يحتويه من البحيرة والنهر يهدد أكثر من أي وقت مضى بتلويث الحوض بأكمله. الهدف من هذه الورقة هو معالجة حالة الإدارة المشتركة للموارد المائية بين اللاعبين المحليين من خلال تطبيق نظرية اللعبة على أساس استراتيجيتين مبنيتين على المصلحة الخاصة لكل لاعب للوصول إلى نقطة التوازن مع مراعاة تدخل السلطة الحكومية كمنظم للعبة . لذلك ، اعتمدت نظرية اللعبة غير التعاونية NCGT كنهج تحليلي لنمذجة تعارض أصول التخطيط، في حين تم اعتماد برنامج ArcGIS لتحديد نطاق المناطق وفقًا لأنواع المخاطر / استخدام الأراضي. توضح النتيجة أن استراتيجية نقطة التوازن لاستراتيجية "عدم التعاون -عدم التعاون" بين اللاعبين يمكن أن تميل نحو استراتيجية "تعاون- تعاون" في ضوء تأثير الجهة الحكومية المحلية المعنية عند تبني سياسات تخطيطية تنافسية مبتكرة. وهذا بدوره سيؤدي إلى توازن اقتصادي-بيئي تفاعلي في حوض النهر كما يساعد على الوصول إلى قرارات ادارية عقلانية. بالتالي، يمكن تصنيف هذه الورقة كواحدة من الدراسات التي تسعى إلى تطبيق نهج التخطيط التشاركي نحو التنمية المستدامة.
The current random behavior of stakeholders within the Al-Abrash river basin in Syrian coastal region, the lake and the river, threatens more than ever to pollute the whole basin. The goal of this paper is to address the state of shared management of water resources among local players through game theory application based on two self-interest strategies for each player to reach a balance point taking into consideration the government intervention as the organizer of the game. Therefore, non-cooperative game theory NCGT adopted as an analytical approach for modeling planning assets conflicts. ArcGIS software adopted to define different areas according to its risk/land-use types. The result shows that the equilibrium point "non-cooperate-non-cooperate" strategy between the players could lean towards "cooperative-cooperative" strategy in the light of the provincial government effect, adopting innovating competitive planning policies. That will lead to an interactive economical-environmental balance in the river basin and helps to reach rational decisions. Therefore, this paper could be classified as one of the studies seeking to apply the participatory planning approach toward sustainable development. Index Terms-Al-Abrash river basin, environmental protection strategy, game theory, participatory approach.
References used
W. M. Zhao et al., Theories of Human Settlements in Mountainous Regions (in Chinese), Chongqing: China Architecture& Building Press, 2015
T. Rahmoun, W. Zhao, M. Hammad, and M. Hassan, “Ruralization vs. Urbanization Sprawl as Guiding Regional Planning: Development Scenario for Rivers Watershed in the Southern Syrian Coastal Region,” IOP Conference Series Earth and Environmental Science, vol. 151, no. 1, Paris, France, 2018
T. B. H. Nyerges, C. Steinitz, T. Canfield, M. Roderick, J. Ritzman, and W. Thanatemaneerat, “Geodesign dynamics for sustainable urban watershed development,” Sustainable Cities and Society, vol. 25, pp. 13-24, 2016
W. M. Zhao et al., Researches on Human Settlements Construction in the Three Gorges: Theories and Practice ( in Chinese), Beijing: CIP, 2013
F. Li, B. Pan, Y. Wu, and L. Shan, “Application of game model for stakeholder management in construction of ecological corridors: A case study on Yangtze River Basin in China,” Habitat International, pp. 113-121, 2017
I. Parrachino, Cooperative Game Theory and Its Application to Natural, Environmental and Water Resource Issues, World Bank Publications, 2006
E. Rasmusen, Games and Information, Third Edition An Introduction to Game Theory, Blackwell Publishers, 2001
C.-S. Lee, “Multi-objective game-theory models for conflict analysis in reservoir watershed management,” Chemosphere, pp. 608-613, 2012
B. Panigrahi and M. R. Goyal, Modeling Methods and Practices in Soil and Water Engineering, CRC Press, 2017
T. C. Sheng, “Challenges and Strategies in Integrated Watershed Management in Developing Countries,” Guide to the Papers of Ted C. Sheng. Series 1: Publications, 2016
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