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Register a new userThe Syrian Water Situation – An Analytical Study with Future Prospects
الواقع المائي السّوري- دراســـة تحليلية و آفاق مستقبلية
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يهدف هذا البحث إلى إلقاء الضوء على الواقع المائي السّوري من خلال دراسة الموارد المائية المتاحة و استخداماتها، و من ثمّ تحليل الموازنة المائية السّورية خلال الفترة 2012-1992 ، و التنبؤ بالطلب المستقبلي على الموارد المائية لوضع تصور مستقبلي للواقع المائي السوري، و ذلك بهدف الوصول إلى مجموعة من النتائج التي توضّح الواقع المائي السوري الراهن و المستقبلي، و تقديم جملة من التوصيات التي من الممكن أن تساهم في تحسين الواقع المائي و حماية الموارد المائية من الاستنزاف و استغلالها بكفاءة و بشكل يحقق استدامتها.
This research aims to shed a light on the current state of the Syrian water resource through studying the present resources and analyzing the demand on them and their availability during the period (1992-2012). This study focues at deriving the future forecast on the development of the demand on these resources in order to better conceptualize their current state. This in turn will lead to concluding a set of results and recommendations that could contribute to improve the state of the water resource in the sense of achieving sustainability and prohibiting its depletion through the efficient and planned usage.
Artificial intelligence review:
Research summary
تهدف هذه الدراسة إلى تحليل الواقع المائي في سوريا من خلال دراسة الموارد المائية المتاحة واستخداماتها خلال الفترة 1992-2012، والتنبؤ بالطلب المستقبلي على الموارد المائية حتى عام 2030. تتناول الدراسة الموارد المائية التقليدية مثل الأمطار والمياه السطحية والجوفية، والموارد غير التقليدية مثل مياه الصرف الصحي والزراعي والصناعي، وتحلية المياه واستمطار الغيوم. أظهرت النتائج أن الموارد المائية المتاحة ازدادت بمعدل 2.67% سنويًا خلال الفترة المدروسة، بينما ازداد الطلب على المياه بمعدل 2.06% سنويًا، مما أدى إلى عجز مائي مستمر. توصي الدراسة بضرورة ترشيد استخدام الموارد المائية وتطوير السياسات المائية لتحقيق التوازن بين العرض والطلب، والتوسع في استخدام الموارد غير التقليدية.
Critical review
دراسة نقدية: تعتبر هذه الدراسة شاملة ومهمة لفهم الواقع المائي في سوريا، إلا أنها تعتمد بشكل كبير على البيانات المتاحة حتى عام 2012، مما يجعلها غير محدثة بالقدر الكافي لتعكس التغيرات الأخيرة في الوضع المائي بسبب الأحداث السياسية والاقتصادية الجارية. كما أن الدراسة تركز بشكل كبير على التحليل الكمي دون تقديم حلول عملية قابلة للتنفيذ على المدى القصير. كان من الممكن أن تكون الدراسة أكثر فائدة إذا تضمنت تحليلاً أعمق للسياسات المائية الحالية وتقييمًا لتأثيرها على الموارد المائية.
Questions related to the research
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ما هي الفترة الزمنية التي تغطيها الدراسة لتحليل الموارد المائية في سوريا؟
تغطي الدراسة الفترة الزمنية من عام 1992 إلى عام 2012.
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ما هي أهم توصيات الدراسة لتحسين الواقع المائي في سوريا؟
توصي الدراسة بترشيد استخدام الموارد المائية، تطوير السياسات المائية، التوسع في استخدام الموارد غير التقليدية، وإجراء دراسات هيدرولوجية متكاملة.
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ما هي الموارد المائية غير التقليدية التي تناولتها الدراسة؟
تناولت الدراسة موارد مائية غير تقليدية مثل مياه الصرف الصحي والزراعي والصناعي، تحلية المياه المالحة، واستمطار الغيوم.
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ما هو معدل الزيادة السنوية في الموارد المائية المتاحة خلال الفترة المدروسة؟
ازداد معدل الموارد المائية المتاحة بمقدار 2.67% سنويًا خلال الفترة المدروسة.
References used
Fantozzi, M., et al. 2014- ICT for efficient water resources management: the Ice Water energy management and control approach, Procedia Engineering 70
Desalination Association (IDA), 2011- Desalination Water Supply, Foundation for Water Research, United States of America, 112
Desalination Association (ID) 2002- World Wide Desalting Plants, Foundation for Water Research, United States of America
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اقتصاديات الحجم
الموارد المائية المتجددة
النّدرة النّسبية للموارد المائية
النّضوب الاقتصادي
الاحتكار الطّبيعي
الطّلب على المياه
مرونة الطّلب السّعرية للماء
Renewable water resources
The relative scarcity of water resources
Economic depletion
Natural monopoly
Economies of scale
The demand for water
Price elasticity of demand for water
المزيد..
The crisis in Syria since the beginning of the year 2011 had devastating
effects on Syrian economy, which based on the priorities of the war
economy and stopped the economic reform programs and long-term
development plans to move to the social market economy and integration
into the world economy.
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