اشترك بالحزمة الذهبية واحصل على وصول غير محدود شمرا أكاديميا
تسجيل مستخدم جديدBART-based inference for Poisson processes
82
0
0.0
(
0
)
اسأل ChatGPT حول البحث
ﻻ يوجد ملخص باللغة العربية
The effectiveness of Bayesian Additive Regression Trees (BART) has been demonstrated in a variety of contexts including non parametric regression and classification. Here we introduce a BART scheme for estimating the intensity of inhomogeneous Poisson Processes. Poisson intensity estimation is a vital task in various applications including medical imaging, astrophysics and network traffic analysis. Our approach enables full posterior inference of the intensity in a nonparametric regression setting. We demonstrate the performance of our scheme through simulation studies on synthetic and real datasets in one and two dimensions, and compare our approach to alternative approaches.
قيم البحث
اقرأ أيضاً
We present a machine learning model for the analysis of randomly generated discrete signals, which we model as the points of a homogeneous or inhomogeneous, compound Poisson point process. Like the wavelet scattering transform introduced by S. Mallat
, our construction is a mathematical model of convolutional neural networks and is naturally invariant to translations and reflections. Our model replaces wavelets with Gabor-type measurements and therefore decouples the roles of scale and frequency. We show that, with suitably chosen nonlinearities, our measurements distinguish Poisson point processes from common self-similar processes, and separate different types of Poisson point processes based on the first and second moments of the arrival intensity $lambda(t)$, as well as the absolute moments of the charges associated to each point.
For the particles undergoing the anomalous diffusion with different waiting time distributions for different internal states, we derive the Fokker-Planck and Feymann-Kac equations, respectively, describing positions of the particles and functional di
stributions of the trajectories of particles; in particular, the equations governing the functional distribution of internal states are also obtained. The dynamics of the stochastic processes are analyzed and the applications, calculating the distribution of the first passage time and the distribution of the fraction of the occupation time, of the equations are given.
In this paper, we develop uniform inference methods for the conditional mode based on quantile regression. Specifically, we propose to estimate the conditional mode by minimizing the derivative of the estimated conditional quantile function defined b
y smoothing the linear quantile regression estimator, and develop two bootstrap methods, a novel pivotal bootstrap and the nonparametric bootstrap, for our conditional mode estimator. Building on high-dimensional Gaussian approximation techniques, we establish the validity of simultaneous confidence rectangles constructed from the two bootstrap methods for the conditional mode. We also extend the preceding analysis to the case where the dimension of the covariate vector is increasing with the sample size. Finally, we conduct simulation experiments and a real data analysis using U.S. wage data to demonstrate the finite sample performance of our inference method.
We are interested in estimating the location of what we call smooth change-point from $n$ independent observations of an inhomogeneous Poisson process. The smooth change-point is a transition of the intensity function of the process from one level to
another which happens smoothly, but over such a small interval, that its length $delta_n$ is considered to be decreasing to $0$ as $nto+infty$. We show that if $delta_n$ goes to zero slower than $1/n$, our model is locally asymptotically normal (with a rather unusual rate $sqrt{delta_n/n}$), and the maximum likelihood and Bayesian estimators are consistent, asymptotically normal and asymptotically efficient. If, on the contrary, $delta_n$ goes to zero faster than $1/n$, our model is non-regular and behaves like a change-point model. More precisely, in this case we show that the Bayesian estimators are consistent, converge at rate $1/n$, have non-Gaussian limit distributions and are asymptotically efficient. All these results are obtained using the likelihood ratio analysis method of Ibragimov and Khasminskii, which equally yields the convergence of polynomial moments of the considered estimators. However, in order to study the maximum likelihood estimator in the case where $delta_n$ goes to zero faster than $1/n$, this method cannot be applied using the usual topologies of convergence in functional spaces. So, this study should go through the use of an alternative topology and will be considered in a future work.
In this paper we obtain the limit distribution for partial sums with a random number of terms following a class of mixed Poisson distributions. The resulting weak limit is a mixing between a normal distribution and an exponential family, which we cal
l by normal exponential family (NEF) laws. A new stability concept is introduced and a relationship between {alpha}-stable distributions and NEF laws is established. We propose estimation of the parameters of the NEF models through the method of moments and also by the maximum likelihood method, which is performed via an Expectation-Maximization algorithm. Monte Carlo simulation studies are addressed to check the performance of the proposed estimators and an empirical illustration on financial market is presented.
الأسئلة المقترحة
سجل دخول لتتمكن من نشر تعليقات
التعليقات
جاري جلب التعليقات
سجل دخول لتتمكن من متابعة معايير البحث التي قمت باختيارها
