This study aims at develop the model to predict the production of wheat in Syria
which is based on the model State Space. The study to develop a model and predict
the production of wheat in the Syrian Arab Republic until 2016. As it turns out to
c
ompare the model State Space with the models used in the analysis of time series
priority model State Space for modeling wheat production in Syria. ...
Wheat is the most cultivated strategic crop in Syria , it occupied first
rank of cultivated area , and second rank of production value , in addition
to that bread is the main nutrition in Syria .
The aim of present study is to recognize to sectori
al structure of
wheat production in Syria through studying the spatial concentration,
specialization, economic efficiency, and recognizing the dynamic
production of wheat during the study period to give a real picture about
this strategic crop .
The practical significance of this study is to give a real picture about
trends of wheat production, areas, yield, and to determine the level of
spatial concentration, specialization, and economic efficiency in every
governorate in Syria during studying period to show the impact of spatial
diversities on wheat production in Syria .
This research discusses an economic study of wheat crop in Syria during the
period of forty years (from the sixty to the end of the twentieth century)
regarding the production, domestic supply from wheat for consumption with
calculation an equatio
n to the general regression for development of each of
them. To clarify the food gap positions for wheat and coefficient of selfsufficiency,
consumption per capita from wheat and percentage of its
consumption from durum wheat, the factors affecting consumption with types
of nutritive use of wheat and its forms.
The research was classified to a group of secondary titles. The study starts
with an introduction to identify the World and the Arab status for wheat
consumption. After determining the research objectives, material was
presented and ended up with a conclusion and an abstract.