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Following the seminal approach by Talagrand, the concept of Rademacher complexity for independent sequences of random variables is extended to Markov chains. The proposed notion of block Rademacher complexity (of a class of functions) follows from renewal theory and allows to control the expected values of suprema (over the class of functions) of empirical processes based on Harris Markov chains as well as the excess probability. For classes of Vapnik-Chervonenkis type, bounds on the block Rademacher complexity are established. These bounds depend essentially on the sample size and the probability tails of the regeneration times. The proposed approach is employed to obtain convergence rates for the kernel density estimator of the stationary measure and to derive concentration inequalities for the Metropolis-Hasting algorithm.
We extend Hoeffdings lemma to general-state-space and not necessarily reversible Markov chains. Let ${X_i}_{i ge 1}$ be a stationary Markov chain with invariant measure $pi$ and absolute spectral gap $1-lambda$, where $lambda$ is defined as the opera
Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) produces a correlated sample for estimating expectations with respect to a target distribution. A fundamental question is when should sampling stop so that we have good estimates of the desired quantities? The key to a
The naive importance sampling estimator, based on samples from a single importance density, can be numerically unstable. Instead, we consider generalized importance sampling estimators where samples from more than one probability distribution are com
This paper proposes a family of weighted batch means variance estimators, which are computationally efficient and can be conveniently applied in practice. The focus is on Markov chain Monte Carlo simulations and estimation of the asymptotic covarianc
We consider MCMC methods for learning equivalence classes of sparse Gaussian DAG models when $p = e^{o(n)}$. The main contribution of this work is a rapid mixing result for a random walk Metropolis-Hastings algorithm, which we prove using a canonical