The velocity and direction of the wind greatly affect marine navigation and the
movement of merchant ships in harbors, It also affects the rapid movement of pollutants
into the air from industrial cities to agricultural and residential areas.
The
importance of the research comes from forecasting monthly wind velocity in the
Tartous station and to achieve this goal the data of time series for the monthly wind
velocity at Tartous station in Tartous governorate The methodology of "Box – Jenkins"
been used in the study, this methodology relies on finding future forecasts from original
data series.
Also, the applications “MINITAB, EXCEL” have been used to obtain the results of the
study.
As a result, the study found that wind velocity value in the ' Tartous station' decreasing,
this decline amounted to 0.002 km/h per month during the monitoring period.
Also, the appropriate (SARIMA) model for the series was build after it passed the
various statistical tests are required, and founded that SARIMA(1,0,0)(1,1,1)12 model is a
good representation of the data and the SARIMA(1,0,1)(1,1,0)12 model is the right model
to forecast future monthly wind.
Solar and wind energy is considered as one of the best renewable energy resources
because it Available and economical . We can take advantage of these two resources of
renewable energy in Katina area in Homs for designing and building a bilateral r
esources
(solar-wind) electric power system, depending on the daily bending of the wind speed and
the solar radiation intensity in the studied area.
This research studies the design of a hybrid wind and solar system by selecting its
components that available in the local market in terms of their nominal, technical
specifications, based on the technical and economic studies and the corresponding
international standards. The obtained results showed that we have approximately (1246.7
Kw/Year) surplus during the year for the benefit of consumers, which makes the system
economically feasible for investment, as explained in research needs an additional resource
to feed the load and charge the energy-savings with (3360.2 w/day) that constituting (50.4
%) of the volume of the load in addition to the practical results provides a theoretical
database, whether for the researcher or the investor in the field of renewable energies,
particularly in terms of the efficiency of selecting the system’s components.
