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The spectral gap $gamma$ of an ergodic and reversible Markov chain is an important parameter measuring the asymptotic rate of convergence. In applications, the transition matrix $P$ may be unknown, yet one sample of the chain up to a fixed time $t$ may be observed. Hsu, Kontorovich, and Szepesvari (2015) considered the problem of estimating $gamma$ from this data. Let $pi$ be the stationary distribution of $P$, and $pi_star = min_x pi(x)$. They showed that, if $t = tilde{O}bigl(frac{1}{gamma^3 pi_star}bigr)$, then $gamma$ can be estimated to within multiplicative constants with high probability. They also proved that $tilde{Omega}bigl(frac{n}{gamma}bigr)$ steps are required for precise estimation of $gamma$. We show that $tilde{O}bigl(frac{1}{gamma pi_star}bigr)$ steps of the chain suffice to estimate $gamma$ up to multiplicative constants with high probability. When $pi$ is uniform, this matches (up to logarithmic corrections) the lower bound of Hsu, Kontorovich, and Szepesvari.
We consider the three-state toric homogeneous Markov chain model (THMC) without loops and initial parameters. At time $T$, the size of the design matrix is $6 times 3cdot 2^{T-1}$ and the convex hull of its columns is the model polytope. We study the
Various problems in manifold estimation make use of a quantity called the reach, denoted by $tau_M$, which is a measure of the regularity of the manifold. This paper is the first investigation into the problem of how to estimate the reach. First, we
We show that a large subclass of variograms is closed under products and that some desirable stability properties, such as the product of special compositions, can be obtained within the proposed setting. We introduce new classes of kernels of Schoen
The spectral gap $gamma$ of a finite, ergodic, and reversible Markov chain is an important parameter measuring the asymptotic rate of convergence. In applications, the transition matrix $P$ may be unknown, yet one sample of the chain up to a fixed ti
Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) produces a correlated sample for estimating expectations with respect to a target distribution. A fundamental question is when should sampling stop so that we have good estimates of the desired quantities? The key to a