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Using classical simulated annealing to maximise a function $psi$ defined on a subset of $R^d$, the probability $p(psi(theta_n)leq psi_{max}-epsilon)$ tends to zero at a logarithmic rate as $n$ increases; here $theta_n$ is the state in the $n$-th stage of the simulated annealing algorithm and $psi_{max}$ is the maximal value of $psi$. We propose a modified scheme for which this probability is of order $n^{-1/3}log n$, and hence vanishes at an algebraic rate. To obtain this faster rate, the exponentially decaying acceptance probability of classical simulated annealing is replaced by a more heavy-tailed function, and the system is cooled faster. We also show how the algorithm may be applied to functions that cannot be computed exactly but only approximated, and give an example of maximising the log-likelihood function for a state-space model.
Maximum simulated likelihood estimation of mixed multinomial logit (MMNL) or probit models requires evaluation of a multidimensional integral. Quasi-Monte Carlo (QMC) methods such as shuffled and scrambled Halton sequences and modified Latin hypercub
Given a target function $U$ to minimize on a finite state space $mathcal{X}$, a proposal chain with generator $Q$ and a cooling schedule $T(t)$ that depends on time $t$, in this paper we study two types of simulated annealing (SA) algorithms with gen
The asymptotic variance of the maximum likelihood estimate is proved to decrease when the maximization is restricted to a subspace that contains the true parameter value. Maximum likelihood estimation allows a systematic fitting of covariance models
The mixed fractional Vasicek model, which is an extended model of the traditional Vasicek model, has been widely used in modelling volatility, interest rate and exchange rate. Obviously, if some phenomenon are modeled by the mixed fractional Vasicek
This paper considers a new method for the binary asteroid orbit determination problem. The method is based on the Bayesian approach with a global optimisation algorithm. The orbital parameters to be determined are modelled through an a posteriori dis