اشترك بالحزمة الذهبية واحصل على وصول غير محدود شمرا أكاديميا
تسجيل مستخدم جديدPeriodic Freight Demand Estimation for Large-scale Tactical Planning
183
0
0.0
(
0
)
اسأل ChatGPT حول البحث
ﻻ يوجد ملخص باللغة العربية
Freight carriers rely on tactical planning to design their service network to satisfy demand in a cost-effective way. For computational tractability, deterministic and cyclic Service Network Design (SND) formulations are used to solve large-scale problems. A central input is the periodic demand, that is, the demand expected to repeat in every period in the planning horizon. In practice, demand is predicted by a time series forecasting model and the periodic demand is the average of those forecasts. This is, however, only one of many possible mappings. The problem consisting in selecting this mapping has hitherto been overlooked in the literature. We propose to use the structure of the downstream decision-making problem to select a good mapping. For this purpose, we introduce a multilevel mathematical programming formulation that explicitly links the time series forecasts to the SND problem of interest. The solution is a periodic demand estimate that minimizes costs over the tactical planning horizon. We report results in an extensive empirical study of a large-scale application from the Canadian National Railway Company. They clearly show the importance of the periodic demand estimation problem. Indeed, the planning costs exhibit an important variation over different periodic demand estimates and using an estimate different from the mean forecast can lead to substantial cost reductions. Moreover, the costs associated with the period demand estimates based on forecasts were comparable to, or even better than those obtained using the mean of actual demand.
قيم البحث
اقرأ أيضاً
Freight carriers rely on tactical plans to satisfy demand in a cost-effective way. For computational tractability in real large-scale settings, such plans are typically computed by solving deterministic and cyclic formulations. An important input is
the periodic demand, i.e., the demand that is expected to repeat in each period of the planning horizon. Motivated by the discrepancy between time series forecasts of demand in each period and the periodic demand, Laage et al. (2021) recently introduced the Periodic Demand Estimation (PDE) problem and showed that it has a high value. However, they made strong assumptions on the solution space so that the problem could be solved by enumeration. In this paper we significantly extend their work. We propose a new PDE formulation that relaxes the strong assumptions on the solution space. We solve large instances of this formulation with a two-step heuristic. The first step reduces the dimension of the feasible space by performing clustering of commodities based on instance-specific information about demand and supply interactions. The formulation along with the first step allow to solve the problem in a second step by either metaheuristics or the state-of-the-art black-box optimization solver NOMAD. In an extensive empirical study using real data from the Canadian National Railway Company, we show that our methodology produces high quality solutions and outperforms existing ones.
In this extended abstract, we report on ongoing work towards an approximate multimodal optimization algorithm with asymptotic guarantees. Multimodal optimization is the problem of finding all local optimal solutions (modes) to a path optimization pro
blem. This is important to compress path databases, as contingencies for replanning and as source of symbolic representations. Following ideas from Morse theory, we define modes as paths invariant under optimization of a cost functional. We develop a multi-mode estimation algorithm which approximately finds all modes of a given motion optimization problem and asymptotically converges. This is made possible by integrating sparse roadmaps with an existing single-mode optimization algorithm. Initial evaluation results show the multi-mode estimation algorithm as a promising direction to study path spaces from a topological point of view.
We study query and computationally efficient planning algorithms with linear function approximation and a simulator. We assume that the agent only has local access to the simulator, meaning that the agent can only query the simulator at states that h
ave been visited before. This setting is more practical than many prior works on reinforcement learning with a generative model. We propose an algorithm named confident Monte Carlo least square policy iteration (Confident MC-LSPI) for this setting. Under the assumption that the Q-functions of all deterministic policies are linear in known features of the state-action pairs, we show that our algorithm has polynomial query and computational complexities in the dimension of the features, the effective planning horizon and the targeted sub-optimality, while these complexities are independent of the size of the state space. One technical contribution of our work is the introduction of a novel proof technique that makes use of a virtual policy iteration algorithm. We use this method to leverage existing results on $ell_infty$-bounded approximate policy iteration to show that our algorithm can learn the optimal policy for the given initial state even only with local access to the simulator. We believe that this technique can be extended to broader settings beyond this work.
We introduce an extension to local principal component analysis for learning symmetric manifolds. In particular, we use a spectral method to approximate the Lie algebra corresponding to the symmetry group of the underlying manifold. We derive the sam
ple complexity of our method for a variety of manifolds before applying it to various data sets for improved density estimation.
Ptychography is a popular imaging technique that combines diffractive imaging with scanning microscopy. The technique consists of a coherent beam that is scanned across an object in a series of overlapping positions, leading to reliable and improved
reconstructions. Ptychographic microscopes allow for large fields to be imaged at high resolution at the cost of additional computational expense. In this work, we propose a multigrid-based optimization framework to reduce the computational burdens of large-scale ptychographic phase retrieval. Our proposed method exploits the inherent hierarchical structures in ptychography through tailored restriction and prolongation operators for the object and data domains. Our numerical results show that our proposed scheme accelerates the convergence of its underlying solver and outperforms the Ptychographic Iterative Engine (PIE), a workhorse in the optics community.
الأسئلة المقترحة
سجل دخول لتتمكن من نشر تعليقات
التعليقات
جاري جلب التعليقات
سجل دخول لتتمكن من متابعة معايير البحث التي قمت باختيارها
