ﻻ يوجد ملخص باللغة العربية
We establish Bernstein inequalities for functions of general (general-state-space, not necessarily reversible) Markov chains. These inequalities achieve sharp variance proxies and recover the classical Bernsteins inequality under independence. The key analysis lies in upper bounding the operator norm of a perturbed Markov transition kernel by the limiting operator norm of a sequence of finite-rank and perturbed Markov transition kernels. For each finite-rank and perturbed Markov kernel, we bound its norm by the sum of two convex functions. One coincides with what delivers the classical Bernsteins inequality, and the other reflects the influence of the Markov dependence. A convex analysis on conjugates of these two functions then derives our Bernstein inequalities.
Markov chain models are used in various fields, such behavioral sciences or econometrics. Although the goodness of fit of the model is usually assessed by large sample approximation, it is desirable to use conditional tests if the sample size is not
We extend Hoeffdings lemma to general-state-space and not necessarily reversible Markov chains. Let ${X_i}_{i ge 1}$ be a stationary Markov chain with invariant measure $pi$ and absolute spectral gap $1-lambda$, where $lambda$ is defined as the opera
We study the following learning problem with dependent data: Observing a trajectory of length $n$ from a stationary Markov chain with $k$ states, the goal is to predict the next state. For $3 leq k leq O(sqrt{n})$, using techniques from universal com
We give a simple, elementary, and at least partially new proof of Arestovs famous extension of Bernsteins inequality in $L_p$ to all $p geq 0$. Our crucial observation is that Boyds approach to prove Mahlers inequality for algebraic polynomials $P_n
This paper proposes a new sharpened version of the Jensens inequality. The proposed new bound is simple and insightful, is broadly applicable by imposing minimum assumptions, and provides fairly accurate result in spite of its simple form. Applicatio