Critical slowing-down as indicator of approach to the loss of stability

We consider stochastic electro-mechanical dynamics of an overdamped power system in the vicinity of the saddle-node bifurcation associated with the loss of global stability such as voltage collapse or phase angle instability. Fluctuations of the system state vector are driven by random variations of loads and intermittent renewable generation. In the vicinity of collapse the power system experiences so-called phenomenon of critical slowing-down characterized by slowing and simultaneous amplification of the system state vector fluctuations. In generic case of a co-dimension 1 bifurcation corresponding to the threshold of instability it is possible to extract a single mode of the system state vector responsible for this phenomenon. We characterize stochastic fluctuations of the system state vector using the formal perturbative expansion over the lowest (real) eigenvalue of the system power flow Jacobian and verify the resulting expressions for correlation functions of the state vector by direct numerical simulations. We conclude that the onset of critical slowing-down is a good marker of approach to the threshold of global instability. It can be straightforwardly detected from the analysis of single-node autostructure and autocorrelation functions of system state variables and thus does not require full observability of the grid.

Random load fluctuations and collapse probability of a power system operating near codimension 1 saddle-node bifurcation

For a power system operating in the vicinity of the power transfer limit of its transmission system, effect of stochastic fluctuations of power loads can become critical as a sufficiently strong such fluctuation may activate voltage instability and lead to a large scale collapse of the system. Considering the effect of these stochastic fluctuations near a codimension 1 saddle-node bifurcation, we explicitly calculate the autocorrelation function of the state vector and show how its behavior explains the phenomenon of critical slowing-down often observed for power systems on the threshold of blackout. We also estimate the collapse probability/mean clearing time for the power system and construct a new indicator function signaling the proximity to a large scale collapse. The new indicator function is easy to estimate in real time using PMU data feeds as well as SCADA information about fluctuations of power load on the nodes of the power grid. We discuss control strategies leading to the minimization of the collapse probability.

Quantum kinetics and prethermalization of Hawking radiation

We reinvestigate the emission of Hawking radiation during gravitational collapse to a black hole. Both CGHS collapse of a shock wave in (1+1)-dimensional dilaton gravity and Schwarzschild collapse of a spherically symmetric thin shell in (3+1)-dimensional gravity are considered. Studying the dynamics of in-vacuum polarization, we find that a multi-parametric family of out-vacua exists. Initial conditions for the collapse lead dynamically to different vacua from this family as the final state. Therefore, the form of the out-vacuum encodes memory about the initial quantum state of the system. While most out-vacua feature a non-thermal Hawking flux and are expected to decay quickly, there also exists a thermal vacuum state. Collectively, these observations suggest an interesting possible resolution of the information loss paradox.

On triviality of $lambdaphi^4$ quantum field theory in four dimensions

Interacting quantum scalar field theories in $dS_Dtimes M_d$ spacetime can be reduced to Euclidean field theories in $M_d$ space in the vicinity of $I_+$ infinity of $dS_D$ spacetime. Using this non-perturbative mapping, we analyze the critical behavior of Euclidean $lambdaphi_4^4$ theory in the symmetric phase and find the asymptotic behavior $beta(lambda)sim lambda$ of the beta function at strong coupling. Scaling violating contributions to the beta function are also estimated in this regime.

Dynamical renormalization group methods in theory of eternal inflation

Dynamics of eternal inflation on the landscape admits description in terms of the Martin-Siggia-Rose (MSR) effective field theory that is in one-to-one correspondence with vacuum dynamics equations. On those sectors of the landscape, where transport properties of the probability measure for eternal inflation are important, renormalization group fixed points of the MSR effective action determine late time behavior of the probability measure. I argue that these RG fixed points may be relevant for the solution of the gauge invariance problem for eternal inflation.

Disorder on the landscape

Disorder on the string theory landscape may significantly affect dynamics of eternal inflation leading to the possibility for some vacua on the landscape to become dynamically preferable over others. We systematically study effects of a generic disorder on the landscape starting by identifying a sector with built-in disorder -- a set of de Sitter vacua corresponding to compactifications of the Type IIB string theory on Calabi-Yau manifolds with a number of warped Klebanov-Strassler throats attached randomly to the bulk part of the Calabi-Yau. Further, we derive continuum limit of the vacuum dynamics equations on the landscape. Using methods of dynamical renormalization group we determine the late time behavior of the probability distribution for an observer to measure a given value of the cosmological constant. We find the diffusion of the probability distribution to significantly slow down in sectors of the landscape where the number of nearest neighboring vacua for any given vacuum is small. We discuss relation of this slow-down with phenomenon of Anderson localization in disordered media.

Eternal inflation and localization on the landscape

We model the essential features of eternal inflation on the landscape of a dense discretuum of vacua by the potential $V(phi)=V_{0}+delta V(phi)$, where $|delta V(phi)|ll V_{0}$ is random. We find that the diffusion of the distribution function $rho(phi,t)$ of the inflaton expectation value in different Hubble patches may be suppressed due to the effect analogous to the Anderson localization in disordered quantum systems. At $t to infty$ only the localized part of the distribution function $rho (phi, t)$ survives which leads to dynamical selection principle on the landscape. The probability to measure any but a small value of the cosmological constant in a given Hubble patch on the landscape is exponentially suppressed at $tto infty$.

General asymptotic solutions of the Einstein equations and phase transitions in quantum gravity

We discuss generic properties of classical and quantum theories of gravity with a scalar field which are revealed at the vicinity of the cosmological singularity. When the potential of the scalar field is exponential and unbounded from below, the general solution of the Einstein equations has quasi-isotropic asymptotics near the singularity instead of the usual anisotropic Belinskii - Khalatnikov - Lifshitz (BKL) asymptotics. Depending on the strength of scalar field potential, there exist two phases of quantum gravity with scalar field: one with essentially anisotropic behavior of field correlation functions near the cosmological singularity, and another with quasi-isotropic behavior. The ``phase transition between the two phases is interpreted as the condensation of gravitons.