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Developing Cyber Peacekeeping: Observation, Monitoring and Reporting

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 Added by Michael Robinson
 Publication date 2018
and research's language is English




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Cyber peacekeeping is an emerging and multi-disciplinary field of research, touching upon technical, political and societal domains of thought. In this article we build upon previous works by developing the cyber peacekeeping activity of observation, monitoring and reporting. We take a practical approach: describing a scenario in which two countries request UN support in drawing up and overseeing a ceasefire which includes cyber terms. We explore how a cyber peacekeeping operation could start up and discuss the challenges it will face. The article makes a number of proposals, including the use of a virtual collaborative environment to bring multiple benefits. We conclude by summarising our findings, and describing where further work lies.



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Peacekeeping is a noble and essential activity, helping to bring peace to conflict torn areas and providing security to millions of people around the world. Peacekeepers operate in all domains of war: buffer zones on land, no fly zones in the air and ensuring free passage at sea. With the emergence of cyberspace as a domain of war, questions on the role of peacekeeping in this domain naturally arise. There is extensive research around the topic of cyber warfare, but surprisingly little on how to restore and maintain peace in its aftermath. This is a significant gap which needs addressing. We begin by providing an overview of peacekeeping, describing its overarching goals and principles, using the United Nations model as a reference. We then review existing literature on cyber peacekeeping. The paper progresses to discuss the question of whether cyber peacekeeping is needed, and if so, if it is a plausible concept. We explore some ideas on how cyber peacekeeping could be performed and the challenges cyber peacekeepers will face, before making suggestions on where future work should be focused.
In Cyberspace nowadays, there is a burst of information that everyone has access. However, apart from the advantages the Internet offers, it also hides numerous dangers for both people and nations. Cyberspace has a dark side, including terrorism, bullying, and other types of violence. Cyberwarfare is a kind of virtual war that causes the same destruction that a physical war would also do. In this article, we discuss what Cyberterrorism is and how it can lead to Cyberwarfare.
The United Nations conducts peace operations around the world, aiming tomaintain peace and security in conflict torn areas. Whilst early operations werelargely successful, the changing nature of warfare and conflict has often left peaceoperations strugglingto adapt. In this article, we make a contribution towardsefforts to plan for the next evolution in both intra and inter-state conflict: cyberwarfare. It is now widely accepted that cyber warfare will be a component offuture conflicts, and much researchhas been devoted to how governments andmilitaries can prepare for and fight in this new domain [1]. Despite the vastamount of research relating to cyber warfare, there has been less discussion onits impact towards successful peace operations. This is agap in knowledge thatis important to address, since the restoration of peace following conflict of anykind is of global importance. It is however a complex topic requiring discussionacross multiple domains. Input from the technical, political, governmental andsocietal domains are critical in forming the concept of cyber peacekeeping.Previous work on this topic has sought to define the concept of cyber peacekeeping[2, 3, 4]. We build upon this work by exploring the practicalities ofstarting up a cyber peacekeeping component and setting up a Cyber Buffer Zone (CBZ).
We present a novel approach to estimate the delay observed between the occurrence and reporting of rape crimes. We explore spatial, temporal and social effects in sparse aggregated (area-level) and high-dimensional disaggregated (event-level) data for New York and Los Angeles. Focusing on inference, we apply Gradient Boosting and Random Forests to assess predictor importance, as well as Gaussian Processes to model spatial disparities in reporting times. Our results highlight differences and similarities between the two cities. We identify at-risk populations and communities which may be targeted with focused policies and interventions to support rape victims, apprehend perpetrators, and prevent future crimes.
Police departments around the world have been experimenting with forms of place-based data-driven proactive policing for over two decades. Modern incarnations of such systems are commonly known as hot spot predictive policing. These systems predict where future crime is likely to concentrate such that police can allocate patrols to these areas and deter crime before it occurs. Previous research on fairness in predictive policing has concentrated on the feedback loops which occur when models are trained on discovered crime data, but has limited implications for models trained on victim crime reporting data. We demonstrate how differential victim crime reporting rates across geographical areas can lead to outcome disparities in common crime hot spot prediction models. Our analysis is based on a simulation patterned after district-level victimization and crime reporting survey data for Bogota, Colombia. Our results suggest that differential crime reporting rates can lead to a displacement of predicted hotspots from high crime but low reporting areas to high or medium crime and high reporting areas. This may lead to misallocations both in the form of over-policing and under-policing.
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