ﻻ يوجد ملخص باللغة العربية
The baroclinic annular mode (BAM) is a leading-order mode of the eddy-kinetic energy in the Southern Hemisphere exhibiting. oscillatory behavior at intra-seasonal time scales. The oscillation mechanism has been linked to transient eddy-mean flow interactions that remain poorly understood. Here we demonstrate that the finite memory effect in eddy-heat flux dependence on the large-scale flow can explain the origin of the BAMs oscillatory behavior. We represent the eddy memory effect by a delayed integral kernel that leads to a generalized Langevin equation for the planetary-scale heat equation. Using a mathematical framework for the interactions between planetary and synoptic-scale motions, we derive a reduced dynamical model of the BAM - a stochastically-forced oscillator with a period proportional to the geometric mean between the eddy-memory time scale and the diffusive eddy equilibration timescale. Our model provides a formal justification for the previously proposed phenomenological model of the BAM and could be used to explicitly diagnose the memory kernel and improve our understanding of transient eddy-mean flow interactions in the atmosphere.
Eddy saturation is the regime in which the total time-mean volume transport of an oceanic current is relatively insensitive to the wind stress forcing and is often invoked as a dynamical description of Southern Ocean circulation. We revisit the probl
The sub-seasonal and synoptic-scale variability of the Indian summer monsoon rainfall are controlled primarily by monsoon intra-seasonal oscillations (MISO) and low pressure systems (LPS), respectively. The positive and negative phases of MISO lead t
We present the results of in-situ measurements of $^{134}$Cs and $^{137}$Cs released from the Fukushima Nuclear Power Plant (FNPP) collected at surface and different depths in the western North Pacific in June and July 2012. It was found that 15 mont
Eddy saturation refers to a regime in which the total volume transport of an oceanic current is insensitive to the wind stress strength. Baroclinicity is currently believed to be key to the development of an eddy-saturated state. In this paper, it is
We study the impact of three stochastic parametrizations in the ocean component of a coupled model, on forecast reliability over seasonal timescales. The relative impacts of these schemes upon the ocean mean state and ensemble spread are analyzed. Th