ترغب بنشر مسار تعليمي؟ اضغط هنا

On almost sure limit theorems for detecting long-range dependent, heavy-tailed processes

111   0   0.0 ( 0 )
 نشر من قبل Sounak Paul
 تاريخ النشر 2020
  مجال البحث
والبحث باللغة English




اسأل ChatGPT حول البحث

Marcinkiewicz strong law of large numbers, ${n^{-frac1p}}sum_{k=1}^{n} (d_{k}- d)rightarrow 0 $ almost surely with $pin(1,2)$, are developed for products $d_k=prod_{r=1}^s x_k^{(r)}$, where the $x_k^{(r)} = sum_{l=-infty}^{infty}c_{k-l}^{(r)}xi_l^{(r)}$ are two-sided linear process with coefficients ${c_l^{(r)}}_{lin mathbb{Z}}$ and i.i.d. zero-mean innovations ${xi_l^{(r)}}_{lin mathbb{Z}}$. The decay of the coefficients $c_l^{(r)}$ as $|l|toinfty$, can be slow enough for ${x_k^{(r)}}$ to have long memory while ${d_k}$ can have heavy tails. The long-range dependence and heavy tails for ${d_k}$ are handled simultaneously and a decoupling property shows the convergence rate is dictated by the worst of long-range dependence and heavy tails, but not their combination. The results provide a means to estimate how much (if any) long-range dependence and heavy tails a sequential data set possesses, which is done for real financial data. All of the stocks we considered had some degree of heavy tails. The majority also had long-range dependence. The Marcinkiewicz strong law of large numbers is also extended to the multivariate linear process case.



قيم البحث

اقرأ أيضاً

89 - Randolf Altmeyer 2019
The approximation of integral type functionals is studied for discrete observations of a continuous It^o semimartingale. Based on novel approximations in the Fourier domain, central limit theorems are proved for $L^2$-Sobolev functions with fractiona l smoothness. An explicit $L^2$-lower bound shows that already lower order quadrature rules, such as the trapezoidal rule and the classical Riemann estimator, are rate optimal, but only the trapezoidal rule is efficient, achieving the minimal asymptotic variance.
163 - Patrizia Berti 2009
An urn contains balls of d colors. At each time, a ball is drawn and then replaced together with a random number of balls of the same color. Assuming that some colors are dominated by others, we prove central limit theorems. Some statistical applications are discussed.
157 - Irene Crimaldi 2015
We consider a variant of the randomly reinforced urn where more balls can be simultaneously drawn out and balls of different colors can be simultaneously added. More precisely, at each time-step, the conditional distribution of the number of extracte d balls of a certain color given the past is assumed to be hypergeometric. We prove some central limit theorems in the sense of stable convergence and of almost sure conditional convergence, which are stronger than convergence in distribution. The proven results provide asymptotic confidence intervals for the limit proportion, whose distribution is generally unknown. Moreover, we also consider the case of more urns subjected to some random common factors.
Consider a $p$-dimensional population ${mathbf x} inmathbb{R}^p$ with iid coordinates in the domain of attraction of a stable distribution with index $alphain (0,2)$. Since the variance of ${mathbf x}$ is infinite, the sample covariance matrix ${math bf S}_n=n^{-1}sum_{i=1}^n {{mathbf x}_i}{mathbf x}_i$ based on a sample ${mathbf x}_1,ldots,{mathbf x}_n$ from the population is not well behaved and it is of interest to use instead the sample correlation matrix ${mathbf R}_n= {operatorname{diag}({mathbf S}_n)}^{-1/2}, {mathbf S}_n {operatorname{diag}({mathbf S}_n)}^{-1/2}$. This paper finds the limiting distributions of the eigenvalues of ${mathbf R}_n$ when both the dimension $p$ and the sample size $n$ grow to infinity such that $p/nto gamma in (0,infty)$. The family of limiting distributions ${H_{alpha,gamma}}$ is new and depends on the two parameters $alpha$ and $gamma$. The moments of $H_{alpha,gamma}$ are fully identified as sum of two contributions: the first from the classical Marv{c}enko-Pastur law and a second due to heavy tails. Moreover, the family ${H_{alpha,gamma}}$ has continuous extensions at the boundaries $alpha=2$ and $alpha=0$ leading to the Marv{c}enko-Pastur law and a modified Poisson distribution, respectively. Our proofs use the method of moments, the path-shortening algorithm developed in [18] and some novel graph counting combinatorics. As a consequence, the moments of $H_{alpha,gamma}$ are expressed in terms of combinatorial objects such as Stirling numbers of the second kind. A simulation study on these limiting distributions $H_{alpha,gamma}$ is also provided for comparison with the Marv{c}enko-Pastur law.
We obtain Central Limit Theorems in Functional form for a class of time-inhomogeneous interacting random walks on the simplex of probability measures over a finite set. Due to a reinforcement mechanism, the increments of the walks are correlated, for cing their convergence to the same, possibly random, limit. Random walks of this form have been introduced in the context of urn models and in stochastic approximation. We also propose an application to opinion dynamics in a random network evolving via preferential attachment. We study, in particular, random walks interacting through a mean-field rule and compare the rate they converge to their limit with the rate of synchronization, i.e. the rate at which their mutual distances converge to zero. Under certain conditions, synchronization is faster than convergence.
التعليقات
جاري جلب التعليقات جاري جلب التعليقات
سجل دخول لتتمكن من متابعة معايير البحث التي قمت باختيارها
mircosoft-partner

هل ترغب بارسال اشعارات عن اخر التحديثات في شمرا-اكاديميا