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Identifying frequencies with low signal-to-noise ratios in time series of stellar photometry and spectroscopy, and measuring their amplitude ratios and peak widths accurately, are critical goals for asteroseismology. These are also challenges for time series with gaps or whose data are not sampled at a constant rate, even with modern Discrete Fourier Transform (DFT) software. Also the False-Alarm Probability introduced by Lomb and Scargle is an approximation which becomes less reliable in time series with longer data gaps. A rigorous statistical treatment of how to determine the significance of a peak in a DFT, called SigSpec, is presented here. SigSpec is based on an analytical solution of the probability that a DFT peak of a given amplitude does not arise from white noise in a non-equally spaced data set. The underlying Probability Density Function (PDF) of the amplitude spectrum generated by white noise can be derived explicitly if both frequency and phase are incorporated into the solution. In this paper, I define and evaluate an unbiased statistical estimator, the spectral significance, which depends on frequency, amplitude, and phase in the DFT, and which takes into account the time-domain sampling. I also compare this estimator to results from other well established techniques and demonstrate the effectiveness of SigSpec with a few examples of ground- and space-based photometric data, illustratring how SigSpec deals with the effects of noise and time-domain sampling in determining significant frequencies.
We discuss the traditional criterion for discovery in Particle Physics of requiring a significance corresponding to at least 5 sigma; and whether a more nuanced approach might be better.
Several experiments in high-energy physics and astrophysics can be treated as on/off measurements, where an observation potentially containing a new source or effect (on measurement) is contrasted with a background-only observation free of the effect
The experimental issue of the search for new particles of unknown mass poses the challenge of exploring a wide interval to look for the usual signatures represented by excess of events above the background. A side effect of such a broad range quest i
An algorithm for optimization of signal significance or any other classification figure of merit suited for analysis of high energy physics (HEP) data is described. This algorithm trains decision trees on many bootstrap replicas of training data with
The MOST (Microvariability & Oscillations of STars) satellite obtains ultraprecise photometry from space with high sampling rates and duty cycles. Astronomical photometry or imaging missions in low Earth orbits, like MOST, are especially sensitive to