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This paper studies how to construct confidence regions for principal component analysis (PCA) in high dimension, a problem that has been vastly under-explored. While computing measures of uncertainty for nonlinear/nonconvex estimators is in general difficult in high dimension, the challenge is further compounded by the prevalent presence of missing data and heteroskedastic noise. We propose a suite of solutions to perform valid inference on the principal subspace based on two estimators: a vanilla SVD-based approach, and a more refined iterative scheme called $textsf{HeteroPCA}$ (Zhang et al., 2018). We develop non-asymptotic distributional guarantees for both estimators, and demonstrate how these can be invoked to compute both confidence regions for the principal subspace and entrywise confidence intervals for the spiked covariance matrix. Particularly worth highlighting is the inference procedure built on top of $textsf{HeteroPCA}$, which is not only valid but also statistically efficient for broader scenarios (e.g., it covers a wider range of missing rates and signal-to-noise ratios). Our solutions are fully data-driven and adaptive to heteroskedastic random noise, without requiring prior knowledge about the noise levels and noise distributions.
We introduce uncertainty regions to perform inference on partial correlations when data are missing not at random. These uncertainty regions are shown to have a desired asymptotic coverage. Their finite sample performance is illustrated via simulations and real data example.
This paper studies the problem of accurately recovering a sparse vector $beta^{star}$ from highly corrupted linear measurements $y = X beta^{star} + e^{star} + w$ where $e^{star}$ is a sparse error vector whose nonzero entries may be unbounded and $w
Classical semiparametric inference with missing outcome data is not robust to contamination of the observed data and a single observation can have arbitrarily large influence on estimation of a parameter of interest. This sensitivity is exacerbated w
This paper presents and analyzes an approach to cluster-based inference for dependent data. The primary setting considered here is with spatially indexed data in which the dependence structure of observed random variables is characterized by a known,
We study the statistical problem of estimating a rank-one sparse tensor corrupted by additive Gaussian noise, a model also known as sparse tensor PCA. We show that for Bernoulli and Bernoulli-Rademacher distributed signals and emph{for all} sparsity